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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)

Fair Value
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingUnited States

Fondamentale

75

Prezzo

$395.42

Capitalizzazione

$113.69B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale l'azienda

Panoramica

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated downstream energy company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Refining & Marketing; Midstream; and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States; and purchases refined products and ethanol for resale and distributes refined products through transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing services. Its refined products include transportation fuels, such as reformulated gasolines and blend-grade gasolines; heavy fuel oil; and asphalt. This segment also manufactures propane and petrochemicals. The company sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers in the United States and internationally, buyers on the spot market, and independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets, as well as through long-term fuel supply contracts to direct dealer locations primarily under the ARCO brand. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores, distributes, and markets crude oil and refined products, including renewable diesel and other hydrocarbon-based products through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats, and barges; gathers, processes, and transports natural gas; and transports, fractionates, stores, and markets natural gas liquids. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets, and distributes renewable diesel through its Midstream segment and third parties. It sells renewable diesel to wholesale marketing customers, buyers on the spot market, and through long-term supply contracts to direct dealers under the ARCO brand. Marathon Petroleum Corporation was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

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Generato il 19 settembre 2026 con claude-haiku-4-5 — condiviso con tutti gli utenti

P/E: 16.1Punteggio: 74Capitalizzazione: $112.17B

È l'altro grande raffinatore indipendente americano: si contende con Marathon lo stesso greggio e gli stessi clienti all'ingrosso e a marchio per benzina e gasolio sul Golfo del Messico e nel Midwest, oltre che nel diesel rinnovabile.

P/E: 14.6Punteggio: 83Capitalizzazione: $101.17B

Raffina e vende carburanti con una struttura molto simile — raffinerie, rete di distributori a marchio e logistica midstream — e si rivolge agli stessi canali all'ingrosso e al dettaglio negli Stati Uniti.

P/E: 24.3Punteggio: 72Capitalizzazione: $668.27B

Con la sua divisione downstream americana gestisce alcune delle raffinerie più grandi del paese e una rete nazionale di distributori a marchio, contendendo a Marathon volumi di prodotti raffinati e clienti alla pompa.

PBF Energy Inc.PBF

Raffinatore indipendente con impianti sulla costa est, sul Golfo e in California: compra lo stesso greggio e vende i carburanti negli stessi mercati regionali in cui opera Marathon.

HF Sinclair CorporationDINO

Raffinatore indipendente concentrato fra Montagne Rocciose e Midwest, dove contende alle raffinerie interne di Marathon la domanda locale di benzina e gasolio e le materie prime per il diesel rinnovabile.

Delek US Holdings, Inc.DK

Raffinatore indipendente più piccolo, attivo in Texas e nel Midwest, che vende benzina e gasolio agli stessi grossisti e caricatori riforniti da Marathon in quelle aree.

Stato Patrimoniale e Liquidità

Ricavi

$153.58B

Ultimi 12 mesi (al 30/06/2026)

Utile Netto

$8.55B

Ultimi 12 mesi (al 30/06/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$4.77B

Patrimonio Netto Totale

$17.31B

Passività Totali

$59.87B

Rapporto di Liquidità

1.25

Copertura Interessi

8.67

Debito/EBITDA

2.97

Utile per Azione

Ricavi e Utile Netto

Free Cash Flow

Scomposizione Ricavi

Prospetto storico

Margini nel tempo

Il debito nel tempo

Quanto pesa il debito

Griglia della crescita

Crescita — Ricavi

Stima del Fair Value

CiclicaCorrettamente Valutato

Fair Value

$354.66

Prezzo Attuale

$395.42

Margine di Sicurezza

-11.5%

Range Fair Value

$277.31 - $432.01

Intervallo di dispersione tra i metodi di valutazione usati, non una stima statisticamente calibrata.

Metodi di Stima

Target degli analisti:$375.50
Flussi di cassa scontati (DCF):Non applicabile a questo tipo di azienda
Multiplo sugli utili (P/E):$237.91
Formula di Graham:Non applicabile a questo tipo di azienda
Valore della capacità di reddito (EPV):$481.31
P/B giustificato:Non applicabile a questo tipo di azienda
Sconto dei dividendi (Gordon):Non applicabile a questo tipo di azienda
P/FFO, i fondi da operazioni:Non applicabile a questo tipo di azienda
Utili di mezzo ciclo:$302.18
Multiplo sui ricavi:Non applicabile a questo tipo di azienda
Consenso Analisti:Buy (15B / 10H / 0S)
Ultima Sorpresa Utili:+27.72%

Metriche di Valutazione

Rapporto P/E

13.65

ROE

23.4%

Rapporto P/B

5.82

P/FCF

8.61

Margine Lordo

12.5%

ROIC

16.7%

Radar Redditività

Creazione di Valore (Vantaggio Competitivo)

ROIC

16.7%

WACC

6.9%

ROIC − WACC

+9.8 pp

Il ROIC supera il costo del capitale: l'azienda sta creando valore per gli azionisti.

Criteri di Analisi Fondamentale

Superati (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 15.88%
  • Price CAGR 22.91%
  • ROIC 16.7%
  • P/FCF 8.61
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 9.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 48.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 14.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 60% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 45.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.00
  • Share Dilution -10.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.6% vs 1.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Non superati (6)

  • Gross Margin 12.5%
  • P/B Ratio 5.82
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Non disponibili (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Salute finanziaria forte

score
criteria

Qualità degli Utili

2.00

Alta qualità: utili supportati da cash

Diluizione Azionaria

-10.4%

Riacquisto azioni. Favorevole agli azionisti

Partecipazioni istituzionali

Governance

Team Dirigenziale

NomeRuoloEtà
Ms. Maryann T. MannenPresident, CEO & Chairman of the Board62
Ms. Molly R. BensonChief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary58
Mr. Rick D. HesslingChief Commercial Officer58
Ms. Maria A. KhouryExecutive VP & CFO54
Brian WorthingtonVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Marlon J. SullivanSenior VP of Communications & Chief Human Resources Officer50
Mr. Brian K. ParteeChief Business Transformation Officer51
Mr. James R. WilkinsSenior Vice President of Health, Environment, Safety & Security58
Mr. David R. HeppnerChief Strategy Officer & Senior VP of Business Development58
Mr. Ehren D. PowellSenior VP & Chief Digital Officer45

Rischio Audit

7

Rischio CdA

4

Rischio Compensi

1

Rischio Diritti Azionisti

9

Parte 2 · Il prezzo e il momento d'ingresso

Questa parte non serve a capire se l'azienda vale: serve a scegliere quando comprarla, dopo che i fondamentali ti hanno convinto. Dentro: analisi tecnica, potenziale, drawdown storici, esposizione gamma.

Documenti

  • Relazione annuale (10-K)

    Una panoramica annuale del business, dei risultati finanziari e dei rischi dell'azienda.

    Depositato il 2026-02-26

    Vedi documento
  • Relazione trimestrale (10-Q)

    Un aggiornamento sull'andamento finanziario degli ultimi tre mesi.

    Depositato il 2026-08-04

    Vedi documento
  • Comunicazione price-sensitive (8-K)

    Una comunicazione su un evento importante, come un cambio ai vertici o un grande annuncio.

    Depositato il 2026-08-04

    Vedi documento

via SEC EDGAR

Storico Ricavi

via SEC EDGAR

Ultime Notizie

Ultime notizie per MPC, da Markets Gazette.

  • 6/18/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Marathon Petroleum Stock In The Last 5 Years

    Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) has delivered a remarkable performance over the past five years, significantly outperforming the broader market. While specific return figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the title implies substantial gains for shareholders. This sustained positive trend suggests strong operational execution, strategic growth initiatives, and favorable market conditions for the energy sector, particularly in refining and marketing. Investors who held MPC stock during this period would have likely seen considerable capital appreciation and potentially dividend income, underscoring the company's robust financial health and market position.

  • 6/10/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Marathon Petroleum 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Marathon Petroleum Corporation five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance and growth trajectory. This substantial appreciation suggests robust operational efficiency, strategic market positioning, and effective management that have translated into considerable shareholder value. Investors looking at the energy sector might consider MPC's historical performance as an indicator of potential future gains, though past performance is not indicative of future results.

  • 4/10/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Marathon Petroleum 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $100 in Marathon Petroleum Corporation 10 years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance over the past decade. While specific figures are not provided in this snippet, the framing suggests substantial capital appreciation and potentially dividend income for shareholders. This historical performance underscores Marathon Petroleum's resilience and growth trajectory within the energy sector, making it a noteworthy consideration for investors seeking long-term value.

  • 3/24/2026POSITIVE
    Why Marathon Petroleum Stock Is Breaking Out To Fresh All-Time Highs Today

    Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: MPC) has surged to new all-time highs, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict. This renewed focus on geopolitical risk in global energy markets is directly benefiting MPC. The stock's breakout suggests strong investor confidence in the company's ability to navigate and potentially profit from the volatile energy landscape. Investors are likely reacting to the increased likelihood of sustained higher energy prices, which typically boosts refining margins for companies like Marathon Petroleum.

  • 2/21/2026POSITIVE
    Marathon Petroleum Returned $4.5 Billion to Shareholders in 2025. Here's Why It Could Happen Again.

    Marathon Petroleum Corporation returned $4.5 billion to shareholders in 2025, a sign of financial strength that could be repeated. The robustness of its midstream income, which covers the dividend even if refining margins cool, offers notable stability. This approach to shareholder remuneration, supported by resilient cash flows, suggests prudent management focused on investor value. For shareholders, this implies potential continuity in returns and lower stock volatility, making it attractive in an uncertain market environment.

via Markets Gazette