Afry AB (AFXXF)
適正価値ファンダメンタル
74
株価
$102.20
時価総額
$11.38B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
AFRY is a Swedish engineering, design and advisory firm. It does not manufacture anything: it sells the expertise of roughly 18,000 engineers and consultants to clients building power plants, factories, roads, buildings and transport systems. Its work spans planning, technical design and project management for the energy transition and for industrial and infrastructure projects across the Nordics and internationally.
収益の仕組み
Revenue comes from billing clients for consulting hours and project work, either at hourly rates or as fixed-price contracts for a defined scope. Profitability depends heavily on utilization — how much of each consultant's time is billed to a client rather than idle — rather than on selling more of a physical product. Public-sector and utility clients tend to give a steadier project pipeline than industrial clients, whose spending follows their own capital-investment cycles.
セグメント別売上高
Engineering and advisory work for industrial clients across sectors such as forestry, mining, chemicals and manufacturing.
Design and planning for buildings, cities, roads and rail and other transport infrastructure.
Engineering for power generation, grids and renewable-energy projects, tied to the broader energy transition.
需要を左右する要因
景気循環型AFRY's order book follows its clients' capital-spending plans: when industrial companies and utilities are confident enough to commit to new plants, grids or factories, they hire engineering firms to design them, and when that confidence drops, projects are delayed or shelved. Full-year 2025 net sales fell as clients navigated what the company itself described as market uncertainty across several of its business areas.
強気材料
Buyers argue that the energy transition and infrastructure renewal across the Nordics and Europe give AFRY a long runway of engineering work, and that its scale and breadth across Energy, Industry and Transportation & Places let it win large projects that smaller specialist firms cannot staff alone.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that a consulting business has little pricing power when client capital spending slows, as the 2025 sales decline showed, and that profitability rises and falls with staff utilization rates that management does not fully control once demand softens.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年8月23日 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Sweco is AFRY's closest Nordic rival, bidding for the same engineering, architecture and infrastructure design assignments from the same public authorities, utilities and property clients in Sweden, Finland, Norway and Denmark.
Ramboll, foundation-owned and based in Copenhagen, competes with AFRY across the whole Nordic region for engineering, environmental and energy consulting mandates, and increasingly for the same work in the rest of Europe.
Rejlers sells technical consulting in electrical power, automation and industrial engineering to the same Swedish, Finnish and Norwegian energy and industry clients that make up AFRY's Energy and Industry divisions.
Norconsult competes head-on with AFRY for community planning, transport infrastructure and building design contracts in Norway and Sweden, where both firms bid on the same public tenders.
COWI, the Danish foundation-owned consultancy, overlaps with AFRY on bridges, water, energy and industrial engineering projects across the Nordics and in international infrastructure work.
WSP runs one of Sweden's largest engineering consultancies and competes with AFRY for infrastructure, buildings and environmental design work both in the Nordics and on international projects.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$24.22B
直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計
純利益
$761M
直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計
フリーキャッシュフロー
$2.49B
自己資本合計
$12.27B
負債合計
$7.30B
流動比率
1.03
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
3.94
一株当たり利益（EPS）
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$120.94
現在株価
$102.20
安全マージン
+15.5%
適正価値レンジ
$78.61 - $163.27
使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
14.83
ROE
6.3%
P/B レシオ
0.93
P/FCF
4.40
粗利益率
79.3%
ROIC
5.9%
収益性レーダー
価値創造（経済的モート）
ROIC
5.9%
WACC
6.5%
ROIC − WACC
-0.5 pp
ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格（15）
- ROIC 5.9%
- Gross Margin 79.3%
- P/FCF 4.40
- P/B Ratio 0.93
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 5.5%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.3%
- Analyst Consensus 69% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.13
不合格（5）
- Price CAGR -3.99%
- ROE 6.3%
- Earnings Surprise avg -23.9%
- Net Margin Trend 3.1% vs 4.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
データなし（7）
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-スコア
重大な財務上の懸念
利益の質
高品質：利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
機関投資家の保有
この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Ms. Linda Palsson | President & CEO | 51 |
| Mr. Bo Sandstrom | Executive VP & CFO | 50 |
| Ebba Vassallo | Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Susan Gustafsson | Executive VP & Group General Counsel | 52 |
| Ms. Prima Gamukama | Compliance & Ethics Officer | - |
| Mr. Henrik Tegner | EVP of Commercial & Communications | 55 |
| Daniela Spetz | EVP of Corporate Development and M&A | 35 |
| Sara Klingenborg | Executive VP of People & Culture | 52 |
| Mr. Nicholas Oksanen | EVP of Global Division Industry | 58 |
| Helena Paulsson | Head of Urban Development | - |
監査リスク
2
取締役会リスク
4
報酬リスク
8
株主権利リスク
8
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容：テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
Latest News
Recent headlines for AFXXF, sourced from Markets Gazette.