ランキングに戻る

Webull Corporation (BULL)

割安
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

ファンダメンタル

75

株価

$7.05

時価総額

$3.69B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Webull Corporation runs a digital brokerage and investing app for self-directed retail investors. Through a group of licensed broker-dealer subsidiaries it lets customers trade equities and ETFs, options, futures, cryptocurrency (reintroduced in the third quarter of 2025) and event-based prediction contracts, and it also offers advisory accounts through Webull Advisors. The company is incorporated in the Cayman Islands, is headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida, and files with the SEC as a foreign private issuer on Form 20-F. It holds broker-dealer licences in twelve major markets across North America, Asia Pacific, Europe and Africa and is pursuing licences in Latin America. At the end of 2025 it reported 26.8 million registered users, 5.0 million funded accounts and $24.6 billion of customer assets. Despite the 'Software — Application' label attached to the ticker, this is a regulated brokerage business, not a software vendor.

収益の仕組み

Webull does not charge a commission on most trades; it is paid by the plumbing behind the trade. The largest line is payment for order flow — rebates from market makers and liquidity providers for routing customer equity and option orders — which was $304.1 million in 2025, or 53.3% of total revenues, against $197.1 million and 50.5% in 2024. The second line is interest-related income ($154.3 million in 2025): stock lending, margin financing, and interest earned on customer and corporate cash balances, which rises and falls with interest rates. Third come handling charges ($87.3 million), mostly per-contract options fees and platform and trading fees, and finally other revenues ($25.3 million) such as data subscriptions and co-marketing. Total revenues were $571 million in 2025, up 46% on 2024. The company reported net income of $24.8 million for 2025 against a net loss of $22.7 million in 2024; after accretion on preferred shares and warrant fair-value effects, the net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was $487.5 million in 2025 and $517.8 million in 2024.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

Webull's nearest thing to a barrier is its stack of broker-dealer licences in twelve markets, which takes years and capital to assemble, plus the habit and inertia of an app with 5.0 million funded accounts. Neither is durable protection: the company itself describes the market for digital trading services as rapidly evolving and intensely competitive, pricing is already at zero commission across the sector, and a retail account can be transferred to a rival broker. Webull was also loss-making at the ordinary-shareholder level in both 2024 and 2025, which is not what a protected franchise usually looks like.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Almost every revenue line moves with the market. Order flow rebates and handling charges depend on how much retail investors trade, which swells in volatile, rising markets and dries up in quiet ones; Webull's daily average revenue trades grew 55% and equity notional volume 87% in the fourth quarter of 2025, the kind of swing that can reverse. Interest income depends on rate levels and on margin balances, which themselves shrink when investors de-risk. Customer assets of $24.6 billion at the end of 2025 were up 81%, partly because markets rose. A long bear market would hit trading activity, margin lending and new account growth at the same time.

主なリスク

  • The majority of trading income comes from payment for order flow — The company states that the majority of its trading-related income is derived from PFOF, and that the practice has drawn heightened scrutiny from the U.S. Congress, the SEC and state regulators, who could require additional disclosure, cap payment rates, or ban the practice entirely. It also discloses that PFOF may create a misalignment of interest with customers.
  • Dependence on a limited number of market makers — Among the risks relating to its products and services, Webull states that it relies on a limited number of market makers and liquidity providers to generate a large portion of its revenues, and that losing any of them could negatively affect the business. The filing does not quantify how much each one contributes.
  • Revenues follow trading activity — The company flags that its business is heavily reliant on trading-related income and would be hurt by a sustained slowdown in securities trading. Order flow rebates and handling charges are both paid per trade, so a quiet market reduces two of the four revenue lines at once.
  • Exposure to interest rates — Webull states that a large part of its revenue comes from interest-related income on stock lending, margin financing and customer and corporate deposits, and that interest rates are a key driver of that income. It is directly and indirectly exposed to rate fluctuations and to rapidly changing rate environments.
  • Short history and past losses — The filing warns that the company has a limited operating history whose results are not necessarily indicative of future performance, that it has incurred net losses attributable to ordinary shareholders — $487.5 million in 2025 and $517.8 million in 2024 — and that it may not maintain net income.
  • Regulation in many jurisdictions, including event contracts and crypto — Webull is subject to extensive and constantly evolving regulatory requirements in every market where it operates, may be involved in investigations, actions and settlements, and states that its ability to offer event contracts depends on the outcome of ongoing and potential future regulatory enforcement actions. It separately flags that cryptocurrency laws, regulations and accounting standards are hard to interpret and evolving fast, and that crypto prices are volatile.
  • Concentration of people and ownership in mainland China — The company discloses that its founder and chief executive officer is a citizen of the People's Republic of China and beneficially owns 16.4% of the ordinary shares, and that its mainland China subsidiary, Hunan Weibu Information Technology Co., Ltd., employed 863 people — 62% of all employees — as of December 31, 2025. Its FY2024 risk factors group this under concerns about the company's China connections.
  • Platform outages and cybersecurity — The platform relies on software that may contain undetected errors, a surge in volume can make systems malfunction, and the company may suffer network interruptions, security breaches or attacks. It also warns that incorporating AI technologies into its products and processes brings business, compliance and reputational risks.

顧客集中度

Webull has millions of small retail customers — 5.0 million funded accounts at the end of 2025 — so no single account matters. The concentration sits on the other side of the trade: the company states it relies on a limited number of market makers and liquidity providers for a large portion of its revenues, and payment for order flow alone was 53.3% of total revenues in 2025. The filing does not disclose how many such counterparties there are or what share the largest one represents, so no number can be given.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Webull is scaling fast and has just crossed into profitability: total revenues rose 46% to $571 million in 2025, trading-related revenue grew 59%, and the company posted net income of $24.8 million after a $22.7 million loss the year before. They point to the operating metrics behind that — 26.8 million registered users, 5.0 million funded accounts, customer assets up 81% to $24.6 billion and record net deposits of $8.6 billion — and to a licensed footprint in twelve markets that lets the same app be sold in new countries at low marginal cost. They also argue the product mix is widening beyond stocks into options, futures, crypto and event contracts, each of which carries its own fee per trade.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the business rests on a payment stream regulators may take away: PFOF was 53.3% of 2025 revenues, the company itself says it could be capped or banned outright, and it comes from a limited number of market makers rather than from customers. They note that the remaining revenue is barely more diversified — interest income tracks rates and margin balances, handling charges track trade counts — so a quiet market or falling rates would compress several lines together. They also point to the loss attributable to ordinary shareholders of $487.5 million in 2025, a short operating history, zero-commission competitors with far deeper pockets, and the governance and geopolitical questions raised by a CEO who is a PRC citizen owning 16.4% of the shares and by 62% of employees sitting in a mainland China subsidiary.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 49.8Score: 63Market cap: $0

The closest rival for the same U.S. self-directed retail trader, offering commission-free stocks, options, futures and crypto on a mobile-first app monetised largely through payment for order flow and margin lending.

P/E: 1.3Score: 80Market cap: $122.53B

Its moomoo app chases exactly the same tech-savvy retail traders in the United States, Singapore, Australia and Japan, with the same mix of advanced charting tools and low-cost multi-market execution.

P/E: 34.0Score: 59Market cap: $5.75B

Interactive Brokers takes the upper end of Webull's audience — the active trader who wants low margin rates, global market access and professional-grade order routing.

P/E: 17.8Score: 69Market cap: $169.99B

Schwab, which absorbed TD Ameritrade and its thinkorswim platform, competes for the same U.S. self-directed brokerage account and the same margin and cash-sweep revenue on it.

P/E: 10.0Score: 80Market cap: $2.13B

eToro fights for the same internationally spread retail customer trading equities and crypto from an app, overlapping with Webull in the United Kingdom, Europe and Australia.

UP Fintech Holding Limited (老虎证券) — Tiger BrokersTIGR

Tiger Brokers competes for the same cross-border retail customer in Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia and the United States, selling a comparable app-based account that trades U.S. and Asian equities and options.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$681M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$43M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$562M

自己資本合計

$1.02B

負債合計

$2.86B

流動比率

1.33

利払い倍率

10.71

負債/EBITDA

1.46

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$16.66

現在株価

$7.05

安全マージン

+57.7%

適正価値レンジ

$10.83 - $22.49

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$12.75
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$27.47
利益倍率(P/E):$18.33
グレアムの成長公式:$9.93
収益力価値(EPV):$1.54
正当化されたP/B:$0.59
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$6.40
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (8B / 1H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+213.73%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

89.16

ROE

2.4%

P/B レシオ

3.59

P/FCF

6.50

粗利益率

77.5%

ROIC

4.2%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

4.2%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

-3.6 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(16)

  • Gross Margin 77.5%
  • P/FCF 6.50
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 53.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 22.87
  • Share Dilution -431.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 4.3% vs -5.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(5)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR -6.89%
  • ROIC 4.2%
  • P/B Ratio 3.59
  • ROE 4.2%

データなし(6)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

22.87

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-431.0%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Anquan WangFounder, CEO & Chairman45
Mr. Anthony Michael DenierPresident & Director47
Mr. H. C. WangCFO & Director42
Mr. Carlos QuestellChief of Staff, Head of Strategic Partnerships & Head of Investor Relations-
Mr. Benjamin W. JamesGeneral Counsel & Director44
Ms. Arianne AdamsChief Strategy Officer47
Mr. James ChaoHead of Internal Controls-

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for BULL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/22/2026NEGATIVE
    What's Going On With Webull Stock Today?

    Webull Corporation (NASDAQ:BULL) experienced a decline in its stock price following the release of its first-quarter earnings report. The company's performance in the initial quarter of the fiscal year has led to investor concern, resulting in a downward trend for its shares. Further details on the earnings report are expected to provide more clarity on the specific factors contributing to this market reaction. Investors will be closely monitoring future announcements for signs of recovery or continued pressure.

via Markets Gazette