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Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF)

割高
Basic MaterialsGoldAustralia

ファンダメンタル

68

株価

$13.08

時価総額

$27.97B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Evolution Mining is an Australian miner that digs up and processes rock to extract gold, with copper as a significant byproduct at some of its mines. It operates a portfolio of underground and open-pit mines, including Cowal, Ernest Henry, Red Lake, Mungari and Northparkes, spanning Australia and Canada. It does not sell to a single end customer; it produces gold bullion and copper concentrate that are sold into global commodity markets at prevailing prices.

収益の仕組み

Revenue is simply ounces of gold and tonnes of copper produced, multiplied by the market price on the day they are sold; Evolution has little influence over that price. Gold is the primary product across the portfolio, with copper — produced mainly at Ernest Henry and Cowal — a smaller but meaningful secondary contributor. Because mining and processing costs are largely fixed once a mine is running, profit is highly sensitive to swings in the gold and copper price.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

Gold and copper are undifferentiated commodities sold at a price set by global markets, not by Evolution. A mining company can have better or worse ore bodies and lower or higher costs than its peers, but it cannot charge more for its gold than anyone else does, so there is no durable competitive advantage in the way a brand or a patent provides one.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Evolution's results move with global gold and copper prices, which themselves swing with macroeconomic cycles: gold tends to rise when investors seek a safe haven during uncertainty or falling real interest rates, while copper tracks industrial and construction activity worldwide. A period of high metal prices can lift profit sharply, and a downturn in prices compresses it just as fast, independent of how well the mines themselves are run.

強気材料

Buyers argue that record gold and copper output, combined with strong metal prices, has already delivered record profit and a higher dividend, and that a long-life, multi-mine portfolio spread across two countries reduces the risk of any single operation disappointing.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that today's record results depend on metal prices Evolution does not control and that could fall back, that mining carries operational risks such as lower ore grades or unexpected costs at any given site, and that a portfolio built around a handful of mines leaves less room to absorb a problem at one of them.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 14.6Score: 79Market cap: $122.28B

The world's largest gold miner, producing gold and copper from the Boddington and Tanami mines in Australia, the same metals and the same domestic operating ground as Evolution.

Northern Star Resources LimitedNST

The other large ASX-listed gold producer, mining the same Western Australian and multi-mine gold portfolio and competing with Evolution for the same ounces, assets, skilled workers and gold-equity investors.

Ramelius Resources LimitedRMS

A mid-tier Western Australian gold producer running the same hub-and-spoke model around Mt Magnet and Edna May, bidding against Evolution for Australian gold deposits and acquisitions.

Regis Resources LimitedRRL

An Australian pure-play gold producer with the Duketon operations and a stake in Tropicana, selling the same metal out of the same Australian cost base.

Genesis Minerals LimitedGMD

A fast-growing gold producer consolidating the Leonora district of Western Australia, competing directly with Evolution for regional gold assets and for the same investors in ASX gold stocks.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$5.59B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$1.49B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.16B

自己資本合計

$5.87B

負債合計

$1.44B

流動比率

1.82

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.46

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

景気循環株割高

適正価値

$10.22

現在株価

$13.08

安全マージン

-28.0%

適正価値レンジ

$6.65 - $13.80

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$13.48
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):この種の企業には適用されません
利益倍率(P/E):$10.89
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$5.00
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):この種の企業には適用されません
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (10B / 9H / 2S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-2.89%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

17.90

ROE

27.4%

P/B レシオ

4.54

P/FCF

24.01

粗利益率

45.4%

ROIC

25.5%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

25.5%

WACC

16.2%

ROIC − WACC

+9.3 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(15)

  • Price CAGR 20.46%
  • ROIC 25.5%
  • Gross Margin 45.4%
  • P/FCF 24.01
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 39.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.0%
  • PEG Ratio 0.66
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.79
  • Net Margin Trend 26.5% vs 21.3%

不合格(6)

  • P/B Ratio 4.54
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 48% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

1.79

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Lawrence John Conway BBus, C.P.A., MAICDCEO, MD & Director-
Ms. Frances SummerhayesChief Financial Officer-
Mr. Matthew O'NeillChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Nancy GuayChief Technical Officer-
Peter O'ConnorGeneral Manager of Investor Relations-
Mr. Evan Elstein A.C.A., B.Com., FCIS, GradDipACGCompany Secretary and VP of IT, Communications & Corporate Affairs-
Mr. Kirron SchmidtVice President of Corporate Development-
Mr. Paul Eagle CAHRI, MNLPVice President of People & Culture-
Ms. Fiona MurfittVice President of Sustainability-

監査リスク

2

取締役会リスク

6

報酬リスク

9

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for CAHPF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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