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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc (CCEP)

適正価値
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicUnited Kingdom

ファンダメンタル

61

株価

$101.71

時価総額

$44.14B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners does not make Coca-Cola's recipe or set its marketing; it is the independent bottler that turns concentrate supplied by The Coca-Cola Company into finished drinks and gets them onto shelves and into fridges across Europe, Australia, the Pacific and Indonesia. It owns the factories, trucks and delivery routes, negotiates with individual retailers, and also bottles some Coca-Cola-owned brands like Costa Coffee alongside sparkling and still drinks under long-term bottling agreements.

収益の仕組み

Revenue is unit case volume multiplied by price, shaped by which brands, package sizes and sales channels each case comes from: a can sold through a vending machine or a bar earns a different margin than a large bottle sold in a supermarket. CCEP owns the manufacturing, packaging and delivery, letting it capture wholesale and retail margin, but it pays for concentrate and shares brand investment with The Coca-Cola Company, so its own pricing and product decisions stay bounded by the bottling agreement.

セグメント別売上高

Europe74.4%

Bottling and distribution across most of Western and parts of Central Europe, CCEP's original and largest geography.

Asia-Pacific and Indonesia25.6%

Bottling and distribution in Australia, the Pacific islands, the Philippines and Indonesia, added through mergers that turned CCEP from a European into a global bottler.

競争優位性(moat)

規模の経済 · 狭い

Owning the region's densest bottling plants and delivery routes for Coca-Cola brands is expensive to replicate, and the long-term bottling agreements give CCEP exclusivity in its territories. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because it depends entirely on The Coca-Cola Company continuing to want CCEP as its bottler and on Coca-Cola brands themselves staying popular; CCEP has no control over the product's formulation or brand strategy.

需要を左右する要因

ディフェンシブ

Soft drinks are a low-ticket, habitual purchase that people keep buying through recessions, which makes overall volume fairly steady. The more variable part is mix: consumers can trade down from premium packages or immediate-consumption channels like bars and vending toward cheaper large-format packs at the supermarket, which lowers average price even if volume holds up.

主なリスク

  • Dependence on The Coca-Cola Company — Nearly all of CCEP's revenue comes from Coca-Cola-branded products, and it is the sole supplier of the concentrates and syrups needed to make them. Any strategic shift or reputational problem at The Coca-Cola Company affects CCEP directly, and CCEP does not control marketing or product formulation.
  • Bottling agreement is not owned outright — CCEP's right to bottle Coca-Cola products rests on long-term agreements rather than owning the brand; the terms of those agreements, including territory and product scope, are negotiated with and can be changed by The Coca-Cola Company.
  • Input cost and currency exposure — As a manufacturer operating across many currencies, CCEP is exposed to swings in packaging, sugar and energy costs and to foreign-exchange movements between its many European, Australian and Indonesian markets.

強気材料

Buyers argue that owning the exclusive bottling rights for the world's leading soft-drink brand across a large, diversified set of markets provides steady, recession-resistant cash flow, and that continued mix shift toward premium packaging and immediate-consumption channels can keep growing revenue even where volume growth is modest.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that a business this dependent on a single brand owner has little room to diversify away from decisions made in Atlanta, that rising health consciousness and sugar taxes could weigh on sparkling-drink volumes over time, and that input-cost inflation can compress margins in a business with limited pricing power of its own.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 16.5Score: 61Market cap: $174.91B

PepsiCo's colas, flavoured carbonates, sports drinks and snack-linked beverage brands fight CCEP for the same supermarket shelf space, restaurant contracts and vending placements across Western Europe, Australia and Indonesia.

P/E: 15.4Score: 66Market cap: $1.40T

Through Orangina, Schweppes, Oasis and Lucozade in Europe and Suntory Oceania's Pepsi, V and Gatorade range in Australia and New Zealand, Suntory sells non-alcoholic drinks in almost exactly the same countries and channels as CCEP.

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. (アサヒグループホールディングス)2502

Asahi Beverages holds the Pepsi and Schweppes bottling rights in Australia and runs a soft-drink and water business built on the same model as CCEP Australia, competing store by store for the same shoppers.

Carlsberg Britvic (Carlsberg A/S)Not tracked

Since Carlsberg absorbed Britvic in January 2025 it bottles Pepsi and owns Robinsons, J2O and Tango in Great Britain, competing head-on with CCEP for the same pubs, retailers and out-of-home accounts.

Red Bull GmbHNot tracked

Red Bull is the leading energy drink in CCEP's European and Australian territories, competing directly with the energy portfolio (Monster, Coca-Cola Energy) that CCEP sells through the same chilled cabinets and convenience outlets.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$18.92B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$1.95B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.58B

自己資本合計

$9.43B

負債合計

$12.19B

流動比率

0.89

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

3.45

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$100.73

現在株価

$101.71

安全マージン

-1.0%

適正価値レンジ

$84.33 - $117.13

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$109.29
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$102.16
利益倍率(P/E):$95.03
グレアムの成長公式:$126.03
収益力価値(EPV):$53.93
正当化されたP/B:$90.63
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$52.97
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$49.98
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (15B / 6H / 2S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-1.01%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

22.70

ROE

23.5%

P/B レシオ

5.40

P/FCF

27.89

粗利益率

36.3%

ROIC

10.4%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

10.4%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

+4.2 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(15)

  • Price CAGR 12.25%
  • ROIC 10.5%
  • Gross Margin 36.3%
  • P/FCF 27.89
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 24.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 65% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 2.00
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.55
  • Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs 6.9%

不合格(6)

  • P/B Ratio 5.40
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

1.55

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Damian Paul GammellCEO & Executive Director55
Mr. Ed WalkerChief Financial Officer-
Ms. Francesca FaureChief Information Officer-
Sarah WillettVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Svetlana WalkerGeneral Counsel & Company Secretary-

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

7

報酬リスク

4

株主権利リスク

9

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for CCEP, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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