Coupang Inc (CPNG)
割安ファンダメンタル
40
株価
$13.87
時価総額
$24.68B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Coupang is a US-incorporated, Nasdaq-listed technology and retail company whose operations are overwhelmingly in South Korea, where it is the largest e-commerce platform. Its defining asset is an owned end-to-end logistics network — fulfillment centers, its own delivery fleet and last-mile couriers — that powers 'Rocket Delivery', under which most orders placed by late evening arrive the next morning. Around this core it sells first-party inventory, hosts third-party merchants on the same marketplace, and runs a paid membership (WOW) that bundles free delivery and free returns with the Coupang Play streaming service. Beyond Korean retail it operates restaurant delivery (Coupang Eats), fintech services, an international rollout in Taiwan, and the global luxury marketplace Farfetch, acquired in early 2024. The company employs roughly 108,000 people, mostly in Korea, and reported total net revenues of $34,534 million for fiscal 2025.
収益の仕組み
Revenue arrives through three channels. The largest by far is net retail sales — merchandise Coupang buys, holds in its own warehouses and sells directly, so the full ticket price is booked as revenue and the cost of the goods sits in cost of sales; this was $26,312 million of the $34,534 million total in fiscal 2025. Second, third-party merchant services: commissions, fulfillment and delivery fees charged to sellers who list on the marketplace, where only the fee is revenue, not the value of the goods. Third, other revenue — advertising bought by merchants, WOW membership fees, and the developing services. The mix matters for anyone reading the numbers: growth in the first-party half inflates revenue at thin gross margin, while marketplace and advertising revenue is small in dollars but carries far higher margin.
セグメント別売上高
The mature core: first-party retail and the third-party marketplace in Korea, including groceries and fresh food, plus fulfillment, delivery and advertising services sold to merchants on that platform. It generated $29,592 million of net revenues in fiscal 2025 and is the part of the company that carries the profits.
The businesses still being built out: the Taiwan expansion of Rocket Delivery, Coupang Eats restaurant delivery, Coupang Play streaming, fintech, and the Farfetch luxury marketplace acquired in 2024. Net revenues were $4,942 million in fiscal 2025, growing far faster than the core but operating at a loss.
競争優位性(moat)
規模の経済 · 狭いCoupang's advantage is physical and geographic rather than technological: years of capital spending built a fulfillment and delivery network dense enough that most of the Korean population lives close to one of its facilities, which makes next-morning delivery economic at a cost per parcel a rival would have to spend billions to match. Density feeds itself — more orders per route lower the unit cost, which funds faster service, which wins more orders — and the WOW membership plus free returns raise the small friction of shopping elsewhere. The limits are real, though: the moat is confined to one country, Korea is contested by large domestic and Chinese-owned rivals, the network is an owned fixed-cost base that must be kept full, and it does not travel to Taiwan, Farfetch or food delivery, where Coupang is a challenger without it.
需要を左右する要因
中程度の景気循環性Demand sits between the two extremes. A large slice of what Coupang sells is groceries, fresh food and household staples — bought on a weekly rhythm regardless of the economy — and the WOW membership turns that habit into recurring orders, which cushions a downturn. The other slice is discretionary: electronics, apparel, furniture and the luxury goods sold through Farfetch, where order values fall when Korean households pull back, and restaurant delivery, which is among the first things people cut. Two more forces shape the trajectory more than the cycle does: the long shift of Korean retail from stores to online, which lifts the whole market, and the won-dollar exchange rate, which moves reported revenue in dollars even when Korean volumes do not change — in fiscal 2025 total revenue grew 14% as reported against 18% in constant currency.
主なリスク
- The November 2025 data incident and its cost — The company discloses a data incident exposing names, contact details, delivery addresses and some order histories for roughly 33 million customer accounts, followed by Korean government investigations and US litigation. It also discloses a $1.2 billion customer voucher programme in response, which reduces future reported revenue.
- History of losses and uncertain profitability — Coupang cites a history of net losses prior to 2023 and an accumulated deficit of $4.0 billion as of 31 December 2025, and warns that it may not sustain or grow profitability.
- Intense competition — The filing names intense competition from online and offline retailers and from delivery platforms, in a market where customers can switch at no cost.
- Dependence on fulfillment and logistics infrastructure — The business relies on its own fulfillment centres and delivery network; capacity limits, disruption or failure to expand them in step with demand would damage the service that customers buy Coupang for.
- Regulation, labour and workplace safety in Korea — The company flags complex and changing fair trade, labour, employment and workplace safety laws, and notes that executives of its Korean subsidiaries face potential criminal liability for corporate conduct — alongside privacy compliance obligations across several jurisdictions.
- Managing growth and an evolving business model — Coupang discloses fluctuating operating results, a limited operating history in several of its newer lines, and the difficulty of managing growth across businesses — Taiwan, Eats, Play, fintech, Farfetch — that differ from the Korean core.
- Reliance on suppliers and third-party merchants — The assortment depends on supplier relationships and on third-party merchants choosing to list on the platform; losing either would narrow selection, which is a reason customers stay.
顧客集中度
The filing discloses no material customer concentration, and none would be expected: revenue comes from millions of individual Korean households buying small baskets, so no single buyer moves the numbers. The concentration that does matter for Coupang sits on the other side of the ledger and in geography — the great majority of revenue comes from one country, Korea, which makes the company sensitive to Korean consumer spending, Korean regulation and the won exchange rate in a way a diversified retailer would not be.
強気材料
Buyers argue that Coupang owns a logistics network in Korea that nobody can replicate without spending years and billions, and that the heavy building phase is now behind it: the Product Commerce segment turned profitable and generated $29,592 million of net revenues in fiscal 2025 while the capital intensity eases, so incremental orders flow through a network already paid for. They point to Korean e-commerce penetration still rising, to the WOW membership locking in repeat purchases, and above all to the higher-margin layers riding on the same infrastructure — advertising sold to merchants and third-party marketplace fees — which can grow profits faster than revenue. They read the Developing Offerings segment, up 38% to $4,942 million, as option value bought cheaply: if Taiwan, Eats or Farfetch work, each adds a business on top of the core; if they do not, spending on them can be stopped.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that the profits of the Korean core are being consumed by the ventures around it: Developing Offerings grew fast but at a loss, and each of Taiwan, Eats, Play and Farfetch competes against entrenched incumbents without the density advantage that makes Korea work. They point to the November 2025 data incident — roughly 33 million accounts exposed, Korean investigations, US litigation, and a $1.2 billion voucher programme that will reduce reported revenue — as evidence that a platform built on trust and habit can be damaged in ways the balance sheet does not capture, in a market where switching to a rival costs a customer nothing. They note the accumulated deficit of $4.0 billion, the fixed-cost burden of an owned network that must be kept full, and the fragility of a company whose revenue comes almost entirely from one country: Korean consumer weakness, a regulatory move against platform practices, or a weaker won all hit the whole business at once, and reported dollar growth of 14% in fiscal 2025 against 18% in constant currency shows how much the currency alone can take away.
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Temu competes for the same Korean consumers on low-priced non-food merchandise, trading longer shipping times for prices below what Coupang's sellers can match.
Naver Shopping is the other half of the Korean online retail duopoly, competing for the same Korean shoppers, the same third-party merchants and the same online advertising budgets as Coupang's marketplace.
Through SSG.COM and Gmarket, Emart sells the same general merchandise and online groceries to Korean households, with dawn delivery going head to head with Coupang's Rocket Fresh.
AliExpress has become one of the most used shopping apps in Korea, taking the same price-sensitive general-merchandise purchases that Coupang's marketplace relies on, and its joint venture with Shinsegae targets the Korean market directly.
SK Square's open marketplace sells the same categories to the same Korean shoppers and courts the same third-party sellers, though its sales have been shrinking against Coupang.
Kurly built the dawn-delivery grocery model that Coupang's Rocket Fresh attacks, competing for the same premium urban food shoppers in Seoul and the capital region.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$35.46B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$-767M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$522M
自己資本合計
$4.62B
負債合計
$13.16B
流動比率
0.87
利払い倍率
8.26
負債/EBITDA
5.69
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$23.51
現在株価
$13.87
安全マージン
+41.0%
適正価値レンジ
$22.33 - $24.68
使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
125.00
ROE
4.5%
P/B レシオ
7.60
P/FCF
229.38
粗利益率
28.4%
ROIC
-7.3%
収益性レーダー
価値創造(経済的モート)
ROIC
-7.3%
WACC
9.1%
ROIC − WACC
-16.5 pp
ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(11)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Revenue Growth 5Y 23.6%
- Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
- Share Dilution -1.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
不合格(12)
- Price CAGR -12.44%
- ROIC -7.3%
- Gross Margin 28.4%
- P/FCF 229.38
- P/B Ratio 7.60
- Operating Margin -1.8%
- CapEx intensity
- Return on Tangible Assets
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE -18.8%
- Earnings Surprise avg -78.3%
- Net Margin Trend -2.2% vs 1.1%
データなし(4)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
低品質:会計処理を調査してください
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
機関投資家の保有
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Bom Kim | Founder, CEO & Chairman | 46 |
| Mr. Gaurav Anand | Chief Financial Officer | 49 |
| Mr. Harold L. Rogers J.D. | General Counsel & Chief Administrative Officer | 48 |
| Mr. Jonathan Lee | Chief Accounting Officer | 46 |
| Mr. Michael Parker | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
監査リスク
10
取締役会リスク
8
報酬リスク
9
株主権利リスク
10
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
業績推移
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for CPNG, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/11/2026NEGATIVESouth Korea fines Coupang record $409 million for data breach
South Korea's Personal Information Protection Commission has imposed a record fine of 552.5 billion KRW (approximately $409 million USD) on e-commerce giant Coupang. The penalty stems from a data breach where a former employee improperly accessed personal information from nearly 34 million customer accounts. This significant financial penalty and the reputational damage from the breach could impact Coupang's operational costs and investor sentiment, potentially affecting its stock performance.
- 2/27/2026POSITIVEStock Market Today, Feb. 27: Coupang Rises After Investors Focus on Stabilization Following Data Incident
Coupang Inc. (CPNG) demonstrated a notable recovery today, with its stock rising as investors positively assess the company's post-data breach recovery plan. The South Korean e-commerce giant, listed in the U.S., has unveiled a robust stabilization strategy, complemented by share buybacks and fresh financial guidance that instills confidence. Despite broader sector-wide pressures, the market appears to be rewarding Coupang's efforts to overcome recent challenges, focusing on its resilience and initiatives aimed at enhancing shareholder value. This signal suggests an an improved perception of the company's risk management and future growth strategy.
via Markets Gazette