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DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc (DKS)

割安
Consumer CyclicalSpecialty RetailUnited States

ファンダメンタル

64

株価

$134.47

時価総額

$13.22B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

DICK'S Sporting Goods is the largest sporting goods retailer in the United States, selling athletic footwear, apparel and equipment through its own stores and websites. Alongside the core DICK'S Sporting Goods banner it runs Golf Galaxy, Public Lands, the off-price Going Going Gone!, the experiential House of Sport and Field House formats, Golf Galaxy Performance Centers, and GameChanger, a youth-sports scheduling, scoring and streaming app that generated nearly $150 million of revenue in fiscal 2025. On 8 September 2025 the company acquired Foot Locker, Inc. for total consideration of $2.5 billion, adding the Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, WSS and atmos sneaker banners and, with them, a large international store base. Fiscal 2025 (the 52 weeks ended 31 January 2026) consolidated net sales were $17.215 billion, up from $13.443 billion in fiscal 2024. By product line, footwear was 40% of fiscal 2025 sales, hardlines 29%, apparel 28% and other 3%.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes almost entirely from retail sale of third-party branded merchandise at a markup over cost, in physical stores and online; there is no subscription or contracted revenue to speak of. More than 80% of DICK'S Business online orders are fulfilled out of the stores, so the store fleet doubles as the distribution network. Three things lift the margin above plain reselling: vertical (own) brands such as CALIA, DSG, ETHOS, Fitness Gear, MAXFLI and Alpine Design, which were $1.8 billion or roughly 13% of fiscal 2025 net sales; the DICK'S Media Network, which sells advertising to vendors; and services, licensing and the GameChanger app. The ScoreCard loyalty programme, with about 30 million members, accounts for over 75% of DICK'S Business sales, and the 8 million Gold-tier members alone for more than 50%. The Foot Locker banners work the same way — buying sneakers, mainly from the big athletic brands, and reselling them at retail — but across roughly twenty countries.

セグメント別売上高

DICK'S Business81.96%

The historic US business: DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Public Lands, Going Going Gone!, the House of Sport and Field House formats and GameChanger. It sells footwear, apparel and sports equipment to American consumers in stores and online. Net sales were $14.109 billion in fiscal 2025.

Foot Locker Business18.04%

The sneaker banners acquired on 8 September 2025 — Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, WSS and atmos — selling athletic footwear and apparel to the sneaker community in North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. Net sales were $3.106 billion in fiscal 2025, but that covers only the roughly five months since the acquisition date, so the segment's weight in a full year of ownership will be materially larger.

競争優位性(moat)

規模の経済 · 狭い

The advantage, such as it is, rests on being the biggest buyer in its category: scale earns allocation of the scarce, sought-after product from the major athletic brands, and Nike alone is about 31% of consolidated merchandise purchases. The store fleet doubles as the fulfilment network for more than 80% of online orders, and the ScoreCard programme covers over 75% of DICK'S Business sales, which makes the customer base measurable and reachable. But none of this is a contractual lock: the filing says there are no long-term purchase contracts with the roughly 1,500 vendors, and the company's own risk factors describe intense competition from other sporting goods retailers, mass merchants, off-price chains and the brands selling direct. Adding Foot Locker increases the scale but not the durability of the advantage.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Demand tracks consumer discretionary income closely: a new pair of basketball shoes, a set of golf clubs or a kayak is a purchase that can be postponed for a year without consequence, which is why the company's own first risk factor is macroeconomic pressure on discretionary spending. Within the year the business is heavily seasonal — back-to-school and the holiday quarter carry a disproportionate share of sales — and specific categories swing with sports participation cycles, youth league enrolment, the weather (winter sports, outdoor) and the release calendar of the major athletic brands. The sneaker side acquired with Foot Locker is more fashion-driven still, so its demand turns on product cycles as much as on the economy.

主なリスク

  • Consumer discretionary spending — The company's first disclosed risk factor is that macroeconomic conditions may adversely affect consumer discretionary spending and, with it, its business, operations, liquidity and financial results. Sporting goods are bought with money left over after necessities.
  • Intense competition — The filing states that intense competition in the sporting goods and retail industries could limit growth and reduce profitability. The company competes with specialty retailers, mass merchants, off-price chains, online sellers and the athletic brands' own direct-to-consumer channels.
  • Product cost and availability — Fluctuations in product costs and availability could adversely affect the business, financial condition and results of operations — raw material prices, tariffs and supply-chain disruption all feed straight into the cost of goods.
  • Foreign manufacturing and international operations — The company discloses that its reliance on products manufactured outside the United States, and its now significant international operations, expose it to global economic, political, regulatory and supply-chain risks. The Foot Locker acquisition widened this exposure to roughly twenty countries.
  • Missing shifts in consumer taste — The filing warns that if it cannot anticipate or respond effectively to changes in consumer demand, preferences, fashion trends or shopping patterns, sales and profitability may suffer. Athletic footwear in particular is a fashion business bought months in advance.
  • Transformation and integration projects may not pay off — The company discloses the risk that investments in omni-channel growth, the DICK'S Media Network, the integration of the Foot Locker Business or other business transformation initiatives may not produce the anticipated benefits within the expected time frame, or at all. Merger and integration charges are guided at $500 million to $750 million pre-tax, of which $390 million was already taken in fiscal 2025, against medium-term cost synergies of $100 million to $125 million.

顧客集中度

There is no customer concentration to report: the company sells to millions of individual consumers in its stores and online, and the filing discloses no customer accounting for a meaningful share of sales. The concentration sits on the other side of the ledger — with suppliers. Nike, the largest vendor, represented approximately 31% of consolidated merchandise purchases across the DICK'S and Foot Locker Businesses in fiscal 2025, and no other vendor reached 10%. The company buys from roughly 1,500 vendors and states it has no long-term purchase contracts with them.

強気材料

Buyers argue that the DICK'S Business is doing well on its own — fiscal 2025 net sales of $14.109 billion were a record, and the House of Sport and Field House formats give the company a way to keep opening productive square footage while much of retail shrinks. They point to the ScoreCard programme covering more than 75% of DICK'S Business sales as a direct line to 30 million customers, to vertical brands at roughly 13% of sales as a margin lever the company controls, and to the DICK'S Media Network as revenue with almost no cost of goods. On Foot Locker, buyers argue that $2.5 billion bought $3.1 billion of sales in five months plus a ready-made international footprint, that management has identified $100 million to $125 million of medium-term cost synergies, and that a fixed integration bill of $500 million to $750 million is a one-off against a permanently larger buying position with Nike and the other athletic brands.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the company has bolted a struggling business onto a healthy one. Foot Locker contributed $3.106 billion of sales in fiscal 2025 but a segment loss on a non-GAAP basis, and the $390 million of acquisition-related charges already taken is only part of a $500 million to $750 million bill against synergies of $100 million to $125 million — the payback arithmetic is unflattering until the sneaker banners themselves turn. They point to the share issuance of 9.6 million shares that funded most of the deal as permanent dilution, and to management's need to run a turnaround across roughly twenty countries while also running the core chain. Beyond the deal, sellers fear the structural position: no long-term supply contracts, roughly 31% of merchandise purchases from a single vendor that is itself expanding direct-to-consumer, intense competition on price from mass and off-price retail, and demand that the company's own risk factors admit is hostage to discretionary spending.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 8.0Score: 75Market cap: $2.96B

The other large-format sporting goods chain in the United States, selling the same team sports, fitness, footwear and outdoor assortment to the same suburban family shopper, with an overlapping store footprint across the South and Midwest.

P/E: 37.7Score: 49Market cap: $853.59B

As a mass merchant it sells entry-level sporting goods, athletic apparel and fitness equipment at lower price points, capturing the casual buyer before they reach a specialty store.

P/E: 20.0Score: 69Market cap: $2.69T

The largest online seller of sporting goods and athletic footwear in the United States, competing on assortment breadth and delivery speed for the same purchases DICK'S makes in store and on its own site.

JD Sports Fashion plcNot tracked

Through its US banners Finish Line, Hibbett and JD, it fights for the same sneaker and athletic apparel customer that DICK'S now serves with the Foot Locker and Champs Sports stores it acquired in September 2025.

Scheels All Sports, Inc.Not tracked

A privately held Midwestern chain of very large experiential sporting goods stores, the format DICK'S is itself building with House of Sport, competing for the same regional shopper.

Bass Pro Group, LLC (Bass Pro Shops / Cabela's)Not tracked

The dominant privately held outdoor retailer in hunting, fishing and camping gear, the categories DICK'S sells through its Public Lands banner.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$21.15B

直近12か月(2026/8/1まで)

純利益

$839M

直近12か月(2026/8/1まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$400M

自己資本合計

$5.54B

負債合計

$11.87B

流動比率

1.48

利払い倍率

16.37

負債/EBITDA

5.03

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$180.10

現在株価

$134.47

安全マージン

+25.3%

適正価値レンジ

$117.06 - $243.13

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$158.27
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$294.86
利益倍率(P/E):$97.20
グレアムの成長公式:$255.41
収益力価値(EPV):$96.54
正当化されたP/B:$103.58
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$76.95
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$228.28
中間サイクル利益:$232.95
売上高倍率:$402.14
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (19B / 11H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-7.13%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

14.82

ROE

15.3%

P/B レシオ

2.20

P/FCF

52.60

粗利益率

32.1%

ROIC

6.9%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

6.9%

WACC

6.6%

ROIC − WACC

+0.3 pp

ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 9.78%
  • ROIC 6.9%
  • Gross Margin 32.1%
  • P/B Ratio 2.20
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 15.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 61% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.1%
  • PEG Ratio 1.20
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.90

不合格(7)

  • P/FCF 52.60
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Share Dilution 2.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 4.0% vs 8.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

データなし(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

4/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.90

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

2.7%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Edward W. StackExecutive Chairman70
Ms. Lauren R. HobartPresident, CEO & Director57
Mr. Navdeep GuptaExecutive VP & CFO52
Mr. Vladimir RakExecutive VP & CTO48
Mr. Raymond A. SlivaExecutive Vice President of Stores51
Mr. Shawn McGoranSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Nathaniel A. GilchVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Elizabeth H. BaranSenior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary46
Ms. Emily SilverSenior VP and Chief Marketing, eCommerce & Athlete Experience Officer-
Ms. Julie Lodge-JarrettExecutive VP and Chief People, Purpose & Transformation Officer49

監査リスク

8

取締役会リスク

7

報酬リスク

2

株主権利リスク

9

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-03-27

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-09-03

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-25

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for DKS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/26/2026POSITIVE
    12 stocks for ‘bottom-fishing’ investors looking for cheap growth opportunities

    Dick's Sporting Goods is highlighted as a 'bottom-fishing' opportunity for investors seeking growth at a low price. The stock is trading near its 52-week low, a common indicator for potential undervaluation. Analysts anticipate a significant rebound, suggesting that the current low price may not reflect the company's future growth prospects. This presents a potential entry point for investors willing to take on a contrarian position, betting on a recovery and subsequent appreciation in the stock's value.

  • 8/26/2026NEGATIVE
    DKS: titolo da comprare dopo il calo del 30% di martedì? Cosa dicono gli analisti

    Dick's Sporting Goods experienced a significant downturn, with shares plummeting over 30% on Tuesday, marking its worst trading session ever. This sharp decline followed a quarterly earnings report that missed Wall Street expectations and a substantial reduction in the company's full-year financial outlook by management. The stock continued its downward trend, falling over 1% in pre-market trading Wednesday. Year-to-date, the shares are now down approximately 38%. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $3.53, falling short of the $3.76 consensus estimate, raising concerns about deeper operational issues.

  • 8/25/2026NEGATIVE
    Dick’s Sporting Goods’ epic drop hits other footwear giants, as shoppers sour on retro sneakers

    Dick's Sporting Goods experienced a record selloff, with shares plummeting after the company reported earnings and sales that fell short of analyst expectations. The retailer also significantly lowered its full-year financial outlook, citing a downturn in consumer spending, particularly on retro sneakers. This sharp decline in performance and guidance suggests a weakening demand environment for the company's core products. The negative sentiment may also spill over to other footwear and sporting goods retailers as shoppers become more cautious with discretionary spending.

  • 8/25/2026NEGATIVE
    Dick’s Sporting Goods’ stock is having its worst day ever, as sneakers aren’t selling without deeper discounts

    Dick's Sporting Goods experienced its worst trading day following a significant miss on both profit and sales expectations, leading to a drastic reduction in its full-year outlook. The company cited weaker-than-anticipated demand for sneakers, necessitating deeper discounts to move inventory. This downturn suggests a significant slowdown in consumer spending on athletic footwear and apparel, impacting the retailer's top and bottom lines. Investors are reacting to the reduced earnings guidance and the apparent need for aggressive promotional activity to clear stock, signaling potential headwinds for the company's future performance.

  • 8/25/2026NEGATIVE
    Dick’s Sporting Goods: azioni -19% dopo il taglio delle previsioni annuali

    Dick's Sporting Goods has significantly lowered its annual sales and earnings forecasts, following a quarter where both earnings per share and revenue fell short of analyst expectations. The company reported an adjusted EPS of $3.53, missing the $3.76 consensus, and revenue of $5.59 billion, slightly below the $5.65 billion target. This downward revision, coupled with a pre-market stock drop of approximately 19%, signals considerable headwinds for the retailer. The negative sentiment extended to competitors like Nike, Adidas, and Puma, suggesting broader concerns within the sporting apparel sector.

  • 5/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Dick's Sporting Goods Rides Sneaker Culture And Sports Craze To Massive Sales Growth

    Dick's Sporting Goods reported Q1 results with earnings per share missing estimates, though sales figures surpassed expectations. The company reaffirmed its 2026 financial outlook, indicating confidence in its full-year performance despite the quarterly EPS miss. The narrative highlights the company's ability to capitalize on sneaker culture and the broader sports participation trend, which is driving top-line growth. Investors will monitor the balance between sales momentum and profitability challenges as the company navigates the current retail environment.

  • 5/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Dick's Sporting, HP And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Wednesday

    U.S. stock futures showed an upward trend as markets prepared for Wednesday's trading session, with a spotlight on several key earnings reports. Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Box Inc. (BOX), and Zscaler Inc. (ZS) all surpassed analyst expectations in their latest earnings. However, Zscaler also provided a cautious outlook, issuing lower sales guidance for the upcoming period, introducing a mixed sentiment for the stock. Investors will be closely monitoring these companies for further insights into consumer spending and enterprise technology demand.

  • 4/1/2026POSITIVE
    Frustrated with Nike’s failing turnaround? Give this stock a try instead, analyst says.

    Oppenheimer analysts are recommending Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) as a more attractive investment than Nike (NKE) for those anticipating a turnaround in the athletic apparel sector. While Nike faces challenges in its turnaround strategy, Oppenheimer suggests that Dick's Sporting Goods presents a more compelling opportunity for investors. This recommendation implies that Dick's may be better positioned to capitalize on market trends or exhibit stronger operational performance, potentially leading to superior returns for shareholders compared to Nike in the near to medium term.

  • 3/14/2026NEUTRAL
    These Analysts Cut Their Forecasts On Dick's Sporting Following Q4 Earnings

    Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) reported robust Q4 earnings and provided an encouraging outlook for 2026, yet analyst sentiment appears divided. While the company's performance and forward guidance suggest underlying strength, the mixed analyst opinions indicate a divergence in expectations regarding future stock performance. Investors should monitor upcoming analyst commentary and the company's execution against its 2026 guidance to gauge the true trajectory of DKS.

via Markets Gazette