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DLocal Limited (DLO)

割安
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUruguay

ファンダメンタル

82

株価

$13.79

時価総額

$4.05B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

dLocal is a payments company headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay (incorporated in the Cayman Islands, listed on Nasdaq) that connects large global merchants to consumers in emerging markets. Global companies — in e-commerce, streaming and digital services, software-as-a-service, ride-hailing and on-demand delivery, advertising, travel and financial services — want to sell in countries such as Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Nigeria, Egypt, South Africa and India, where shoppers pay with local cards, bank transfers, instant-payment rails such as Pix, cash vouchers and digital wallets rather than with international credit cards. dLocal offers a single technical integration and a single contract that gives access to hundreds of local payment methods across dozens of countries, and handles the local licences, local bank accounts, foreign-exchange conversion and settlement behind the scenes. The platform works in two directions: pay-in, collecting money from local consumers on behalf of the merchant, and pay-out, sending money to local recipients such as drivers, sellers, freelancers and content creators. In its Form 20-F the company states that it manages its business under a single operating segment, payment processing. For the full year 2025 it reported total payment volume of US$40.8 billion, revenue of US$1,093.6 million and gross profit of US$402.8 million.

収益の仕組み

dLocal earns a fee on each transaction it processes, so revenue tracks total payment volume multiplied by an average take rate. The fee is typically a percentage of the amount processed, sometimes plus a fixed component, and it varies widely by country, by payment method and by merchant: cross-border flows (where dLocal also converts currency and moves money out of the country) carry a higher take rate than local-to-local flows, where the merchant already holds a local entity and dLocal only processes domestic payments. Because dLocal pays away a large part of that fee to local acquirers, banks and payment-method providers, gross profit — not revenue — is the number management steers by; in 2025 revenue grew 47% while gross profit grew 37%, meaning the average margin per dollar processed kept compressing as volume mix shifted toward large, lower-priced merchants and local-to-local business. There is no subscription or licence line: essentially all revenue is volume-based and repeats only as long as merchants keep routing payments through the platform. The 20-F does not disclose a numerical split of revenue between cross-border and local-to-local or between individual countries.

競争優位性(moat)

特許・ライセンス · 狭い

What is genuinely hard to copy is not the software but the regulatory and banking plumbing behind it: payment licences and registrations in dozens of emerging markets, local bank relationships, settlement accounts, tax and anti-money-laundering compliance in each jurisdiction, and hundreds of individually negotiated integrations with local payment methods. A global merchant that wanted to replicate this would have to repeat the work country by country, which is why a single contract and a single integration have value. The advantage looks narrow rather than wide: dLocal's own filing describes substantial and increasingly intense competition, from global processors moving into emerging markets and from strong local players, and the continuing gap between revenue growth and gross-profit growth shows that pricing power is limited. Large merchants routinely connect to more than one provider and can shift volume between them, and the spread of instant local rails such as Pix lowers the cost of entry for competitors.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Volume comes from consumer spending in emerging markets on things that are partly discretionary — streaming subscriptions, online shopping, travel, ride-hailing, gaming, advertising bought by merchants — so it softens when local incomes or currencies weaken. Against that, the underlying shift from cash to digital payments in these countries is structural and continues through weak years, and dLocal can also grow by adding merchants, countries and payment methods regardless of the cycle: 2025 volume rose 60% year over year. The more specific sensitivity is not the global cycle but individual country shocks — the company's own commentary points to election-related currency and rate volatility in Argentina and a disrupted then partially recovering Egypt — and to the fact that revenue is earned in dollars on payments made in devaluing local currencies.

主なリスク

  • A handful of merchants provide most of the revenue — The company discloses that certain large merchants account for a significant share of its revenues: the top ten customers represented 61% of revenues in 2025, and two individual customers each exceeded 10% of revenues. Contracts are generally not exclusive and volume can be re-routed, so the loss of, or a pricing renegotiation with, one of these merchants would be felt immediately.
  • Intense competition and pressure on pricing — Item 3.D states that competition is substantial and increasingly intense, and that failure to keep pace with rapid technological change in the payments industry could harm the business. Competitors include far larger global payment companies as well as local specialists in each market.
  • Licences and evolving regulation in every country — The company warns that it may not hold, or may be unable to obtain or maintain, the regulatory licences required in the jurisdictions where it operates. Payment, e-money, foreign-exchange and anti-money-laundering rules in emerging markets are complex and change frequently, and losing or failing to obtain a licence can shut down a market.
  • Currency devaluation, capital controls and tax complexity — dLocal reports exposure to complex and evolving tax regimes and foreign-exchange regulations, and to currency restrictions and devaluation in the countries where it operates. It holds local balances and converts currency as part of its service, so restrictions on moving money out of a country, or a sharp devaluation, hit both settlement and results.
  • Concentration in Latin America and in politically unstable markets — A substantial portion of the end users served are concentrated in Latin America, and the filing flags political, economic, regulatory and social instability, government influence over the economies in which it operates, sovereign credit-rating downgrades, weak infrastructure and internet connectivity, and — in the 2025 filing — the 2026 U.S. military and economic intervention in Venezuela.
  • Technology failures and cyberattacks — Interruption or failure of the information technology and communications systems would disrupt payment processing, and the company states it is subject to cyberattacks and may suffer security breaches. It handles payment data and holds merchant funds, so an incident carries both direct losses and reputational damage, and the filing separately notes that the business depends on its reputation.
  • Voting control concentrated in the founders' shares — The dual-class structure means holders of Class B shares owned 43.76% of the shares as of December 31, 2025 but controlled the large majority of the voting rights, enough to elect the board. Minority shareholders therefore have little influence over governance decisions.

顧客集中度

主要顧客が売上高の61%を占める

The 20-F discloses that the top ten customers by revenue represented 61% of revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, against 62% in 2024 and 60% in 2023, and that two customers individually exceeded 10% of revenues in 2025 (two in 2024 as well, one in 2023, none in 2022). The company does not name them. Concentration has risen sharply since 2022, when the top ten were 50% of revenues, and it is disclosed as a risk factor in its own right.

強気材料

Buyers argue that dLocal sits on a structural shift — hundreds of millions of consumers in Latin America, Africa and Asia coming online and paying with local methods — and that global merchants will not build that plumbing themselves country by country. They point to volumes growing faster than the market, to a business that needs little capital and converts profit into cash, and to net income rising alongside volume in 2025. They also argue that licences, local banking relationships and years of integrations are a real barrier, that each new country and each new merchant is additive at low incremental cost, and that pay-outs and local-to-local processing open flows much larger than the original cross-border business.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the economics are quietly deteriorating: volume and revenue grow much faster than gross profit, which is what happens when a business wins ever-larger merchants by charging them less, and when the mix moves toward cheap local rails. They fear that with the top ten merchants at 61% of revenues and two above 10% each, a single renegotiation or a merchant bringing processing in-house changes the picture at once. They also point to the jurisdictional risk the company itself lists — licences that can be lost, tax and foreign-exchange rules that change, capital controls, devaluations, political instability in the markets that carry most of the volume — and to a dual-class structure that leaves outside shareholders without a vote if any of that is handled badly.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

EBANX Ltda.Not tracked

EBANX is the other emerging-market payments specialist, selling the same single-integration access to local payment methods in Latin America, Africa and Asia to the same global merchants such as streaming, gaming and e-commerce platforms.

Adyen N.V.ADYEN

Adyen sells large international merchants a single payment platform and has been adding local acquiring and local payment methods in Brazil, Mexico and India, the same contracts dLocal bids for.

Rapyd Financial Network Ltd.Not tracked

Rapyd offers cross-border pay-ins and payouts in the same regions and, after buying PayU's acquiring business in six Latin American countries plus Nigeria and South Africa in March 2025, now holds local licences in dLocal's core markets.

Stripe, Inc.Not tracked

Stripe is the default payment platform for digital-first global merchants and competes for the same budgets as it extends local payment methods into Brazil, Mexico and India.

PayU Payments Private LimitedNot tracked

Now focused on India, Turkey and Southeast Asia after selling its Latin American and African arm, PayU processes local payment methods for merchants selling into those markets, where dLocal is also present.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$1.36B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$204M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$348M

自己資本合計

$333M

負債合計

$67M

流動比率

1.25

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.28

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$65.00

現在株価

$13.79

安全マージン

+78.8%

適正価値レンジ

$42.25 - $87.75

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$18.80
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$157.97
利益倍率(P/E):$9.55
グレアムの成長公式:$35.01
収益力価値(EPV):$6.56
正当化されたP/B:$11.64
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$9.63
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$23.39
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (13B / 2H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-4.86%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

20.24

ROE

41.3%

P/B レシオ

7.35

P/FCF

7.04

粗利益率

34.3%

ROIC

42.9%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

42.9%

WACC

9.4%

ROIC − WACC

+33.5 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(15)

  • ROIC 42.9%
  • Gross Margin 34.3%
  • P/FCF 7.04
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 37.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 60.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 87% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.41
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.18
  • Net Margin Trend 18.0% vs 16.1%

不合格(4)

  • Price CAGR -17.00%
  • P/B Ratio 7.35
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

2.18

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Pedro ArntCEO & Director51
Mr. Sergio Enrique Fogel KaplanCo-Founder & Strategic Advisor61
Mr. Guillermo Lopez PerezChief Financial Officer49
Mr. Carlos J. MenendezChief Operating Officer55
Mr. Alberto AlmeidaChief Technology Officer37
Mirele de AragaoHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Gabriela VieiraChief Legal & Compliance Officer36
Mr. Christopher StromeyerSenior Vice President of Corporate Development-
Mr. John O'BrienChief Revenue Officer40

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for DLO, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/14/2026NEUTRAL
    DLocal Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    dLocal Limited has released its Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript. While the transcript itself is a factual record of the discussion, it does not inherently contain forward-looking guidance or specific financial results that would immediately impact the stock price. Investors will need to analyze the content of the transcript for any qualitative insights into business performance, strategic developments, or management outlook that may not have been fully captured in prior earnings releases. The absence of new quantitative data makes this a neutral signal pending further analysis of the transcript's details.

  • 3/19/2026POSITIVE
    DLocal Shares Rise On Q4 Revenue Beat, Buyback Plan

    DLocal's stock surged following its Q4 earnings report, which showcased a revenue beat against analyst expectations. The company also unveiled a substantial $300 million share buyback program, signaling strong confidence in its financial health and future prospects. This dual announcement suggests robust operational performance and a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Investors are likely to view the buyback as a positive catalyst, potentially driving the stock price higher by reducing the number of outstanding shares and increasing earnings per share.

via Markets Gazette