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Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

割安
EnergyOil & Gas E&PUnited States

ファンダメンタル

58

株価

$184.17

時価総額

$53.17B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Diamondback Energy drills for and produces crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids, almost entirely from the Permian Basin in West Texas — the largest oil-producing region in the United States. It owns roughly 869,000 net acres of drilling rights there and operates its own wells rather than just holding a financial stake in someone else's. Unlike a service company, Diamondback takes on the full cost and risk of drilling, then sells whatever oil and gas it finds.

収益の仕組み

Almost all revenue comes from selling oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids at prevailing market prices — Diamondback is a price-taker, not a price-setter, since crude trades on global benchmarks like WTI and gas on regional hubs like Henry Hub. A smaller portion comes from buying and reselling oil produced by others through its marketing operations, a lower-margin trading activity separate from its own production. Revenue therefore moves directly with commodity prices and with how many barrels the company pumps each day.

セグメント別売上高

Oil, Natural Gas and NGL Sales89.5%

Revenue from Diamondback's own crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids production, priced at prevailing market rates.

Purchased Oil Sales9.8%

Lower-margin trading revenue from buying oil produced by third parties and reselling it, separate from Diamondback's own production.

Other Operating Income0.6%

Small residual income not tied to oil and gas sales.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

Diamondback sells the same commodity every other Permian producer sells, at the same market price, so it has no brand, network or switching-cost advantage over a rival. Its real edge is operating low-cost, contiguous acreage that lets it drill and produce more cheaply than higher-cost basins, which shows up in profitability rather than pricing power — a cost edge, not a moat that keeps competitors out.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Revenue swings with global oil and gas prices, which move with worldwide supply and demand, OPEC+ production decisions, and the broader economic cycle — factors entirely outside Diamondback's control. Production volumes are more within its control, but the company still chooses how much to drill based partly on the same price cycle, so both the price and the volume side of revenue tend to move together rather than offset each other.

主なリスク

  • Revenue tied directly to commodity prices — Oil and gas prices are set by global markets outside the company's control, and a sustained price drop reduces revenue and profitability regardless of how efficiently Diamondback operates.
  • Geographic concentration in the Permian Basin — Nearly all production comes from one region, so a regional issue — pipeline bottlenecks, water disposal limits, or Texas-specific regulation — affects the whole company at once rather than one of several basins.
  • Environmental and regulatory exposure — Drilling, flaring and produced-water disposal are subject to environmental regulation that can tighten, raising compliance costs or restricting where and how much the company can drill.
  • Declining well productivity over time — Individual wells produce less oil each year after an initial peak, so Diamondback must keep drilling new wells just to hold production flat, and the best drilling locations get used up first.

顧客集中度

Diamondback does not name individual customers because it sells into liquid commodity markets at posted or index prices rather than through negotiated relationships with a handful of buyers, so customer concentration is not a meaningful risk the way it would be for a company selling a differentiated product.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Diamondback's low-cost, contiguous Permian acreage lets it stay profitable at oil prices that would squeeze higher-cost producers, that its scale gives it negotiating leverage on drilling and pipeline costs, and that returning cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks makes the stock attractive even without oil-price appreciation.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that a sustained drop in oil prices would hurt Diamondback the same way it hurts every other Permian producer, that the best drilling locations get used up over time and force a shift to lower-quality acreage, and that heavy concentration in one basin and one commodity leaves little room to offset a regional or price-driven downturn.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 13.7Score: 75Market cap: $17.84B

The closest pure-play comparison: an independent producer whose entire business is drilling oil and gas in the Permian Basin, bidding for the same acreage, the same rigs and crews, and selling into the same West Texas crude market.

P/E: 8.6Score: 67Market cap: $56.08B

One of the largest Permian operators after its CrownRock acquisition, competing directly with Diamondback for Midland Basin acreage, oilfield services and takeaway capacity on the same pipelines.

P/E: 10.9Score: 70Market cap: $51.40B

An independent US shale producer anchored in the Delaware side of the Permian, chasing the same barrels, the same acquisitions and the same income-focused shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

P/E: 10.7Score: 77Market cap: $73.76B

A large independent producer active in the Delaware Basin alongside the Eagle Ford and Bakken, competing for the same drilling locations and selling crude and natural gas to the same refiners and processors.

P/E: 16.5Score: 62Market cap: $151.42B

The largest pure exploration-and-production company in the US and a top Permian operator, competing with Diamondback for acreage, services and the same global crude buyers, though with a wider international portfolio.

Matador Resources CompanyMTDR

A smaller Permian-focused independent working the same Wolfcamp and Bone Spring targets in the Delaware Basin, competing for leases, service crews and midstream capacity in the same counties.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$17.10B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$1.47B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$36.97B

負債合計

$28.09B

流動比率

0.47

利払い倍率

5.19

負債/EBITDA

2.00

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

景気循環株割安

適正価値

$246.45

現在株価

$184.17

安全マージン

+25.3%

適正価値レンジ

$170.53 - $322.36

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$234.52
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):この種の企業には適用されません
利益倍率(P/E):$50.24
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$42.70
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):この種の企業には適用されません
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:$308.92
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (32B / 4H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+5.64%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

35.01

ROE

4.5%

P/B レシオ

1.36

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

-

ROIC

1.3%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

1.3%

WACC

6.7%

ROIC − WACC

-5.4 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 13.23%
  • Price CAGR 6.27%
  • P/B Ratio 1.36
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.3%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 39.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.91
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

不合格(8)

  • ROIC 1.3%
  • Current Ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 3.9%
  • Share Dilution 35.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 8.6% vs 27.2%

データなし(6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

5/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

6.91

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

35.1%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Matthew Kaes Van't HofCEO & Director38
Mr. Jere W. Thompson IIIExecutive VP & CFO36
Mr. Daniel N. WessonExecutive VP & COO41
Mr. P. Matt ZmigroskyExecutive VP, Chief Legal & Administrative Officer and Secretary46
Ms. Teresa L. Dick CPAExecutive VP of Accounting & Assistant Secretary55
Mr. Gregory M. LarsonSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. David L. CannonSenior Vice President of Geoscience & Technology-
Mr. Greg DolezalSenior VP & Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Adam T. LawlisVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Johnny D. DosseyVice President of Marketing59

監査リスク

3

取締役会リスク

7

報酬リスク

2

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-25

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-05

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-30

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for FANG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/4/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Diamondback Energy Stock In The Last 5 Years

    Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) has delivered a remarkable 5-year return, significantly outperforming the broader market. While specific figures are not provided in this snippet, the title implies substantial gains for shareholders over the past half-decade. This performance suggests strong operational execution, strategic acquisitions, and favorable market conditions within the oil and gas sector. Investors looking for energy sector exposure with a proven track record of growth may find Diamondback Energy an attractive option, warranting further due diligence into its financial health and future prospects.

  • 5/4/2026POSITIVE
    Top U.S. oil producer declares ‘green’ light on drilling for more oil amid Iran war

    Diamondback Energy, a leading U.S. oil producer, has announced an increase in its drilling and spending activities, citing the ongoing Iran war as a primary driver. This move marks a significant development as the largest U.S. producer to publicly commit to expanded operations due to geopolitical tensions. The decision suggests a bullish outlook on crude oil prices, anticipating sustained or increased demand amidst supply chain uncertainties stemming from the conflict. Investors will monitor production figures and cost management closely.

  • 3/25/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Diamondback Energy 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Diamondback Energy (FANG) five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance in the energy sector. While specific figures are not provided in the title, such a headline typically indicates substantial capital appreciation, likely driven by factors such as increased oil production, favorable commodity prices, and strategic acquisitions. Investors who held FANG stock over this period would have benefited from both share price growth and potential dividend payouts, underscoring the attractiveness of well-managed energy companies in a fluctuating market.

  • 3/10/2026NEGATIVE
    Autry Stephens Daughter Selling $2 Billion in Diamondback Shares

    The daughter of the late wildcatter Autry Stephens is set to sell approximately $2 billion worth of Diamondback Energy Inc. stock. These shares were acquired as part of the proceeds from the sale of her father's oil company. This significant block sale could exert downward pressure on the stock price due to increased supply in the market. Investors will be monitoring the execution of this sale and its immediate impact on Diamondback's trading volume and valuation.

via Markets Gazette