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Fortive Corp (FTV)

適正価値
TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

55

株価

$56.79

時価総額

$17.00B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Fortive is a US industrial technology company that designs, makes and sells professional instruments, connected hardware, consumables and workflow software used to keep physical operations running safely and efficiently. After spinning off its Precision Technologies business as Ralliant Corporation on 28 June 2025, Fortive reports through two segments: Intelligent Operating Solutions, which sells test and measurement instruments, gas-detection equipment and facility, asset and EHS management software under brands such as Fluke, Industrial Scientific, Accruent, Gordian, ServiceChannel and Intelex; and Advanced Healthcare Solutions, which sells sterilization systems and consumables, instrument tracking, biomedical test tools, radiation dosimetry and clinical documentation software under brands such as Advanced Sterilization Products (ASP), Censis, Fluke Biomedical, Landauer and Provation. Its customers are electrical engineers, maintenance technicians, facility and safety managers, and hospitals and surgery centres. Fiscal 2025 revenue was $4,159.1 million.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes partly from one-off sales of instruments and capital equipment through distributors and a direct sales force, and partly from a recurring stream: consumables and service contracts tied to an installed base (notably sterilization consumables and dosimetry badge services), plus software sold on subscription or licence with maintenance. At the 2025 separation Fortive described the remaining company as having roughly 50% recurring revenue; the 10-K itself does not restate that figure. The 10-K notes that capital equipment and sterilization consumable sales are often stronger in the fourth calendar quarter, but that the company as a whole is not subject to material seasonality.

セグメント別売上高

Intelligent Operating Solutions68.7%

Advanced instrumentation, connected devices, software and services for mission-critical maintenance, measurement, condition monitoring, worker safety and facility and asset management. Sold to electrical engineers, technicians, facility managers and first responders in manufacturing, process industries, utilities and healthcare. Sales were $2,856.3 million in fiscal 2025.

Advanced Healthcare Solutions31.3%

Workflow solutions for healthcare providers: instrument sterilization systems and consumables, surgical instrument tracking, biomedical test tools, radiation detection and dosimetry services, and clinical documentation and productivity software. Sold to hospitals, surgery centres and medical device makers. Sales were $1,302.8 million in fiscal 2025.

競争優位性(moat)

ブランド · 狭い

Fortive's own filing says management believes the company holds a market leadership position in most of the markets it serves, and it markets through long-established professional brands — Fluke, Industrial Scientific, ASP, Landauer — where brand name recognition is listed among the key competitive factors, alongside price, quality, applications expertise, distribution channel access and service. Part of the revenue is attached to an installed base of equipment that consumes proprietary consumables and service, which tends to make the relationship sticky. The filing does not quantify switching costs, market shares or barriers to entry, and it describes competition as intense in every business, so the advantage should be read as real but not fortress-like.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Demand splits in two. The larger Intelligent Operating Solutions segment sells tools and instruments used in maintenance and repair, which follows industrial activity and maintenance budgets more than new plant construction, and software for facilities and assets that renews; it is exposed to the industrial cycle but cushioned by replacement and consumable demand. Advanced Healthcare Solutions follows hospital procedure volumes and capital budgets, which are steadier through a downturn, though equipment purchases can be deferred. Fortive's own risk factors name the growth rate and cyclicality of its markets as a risk; the 10-K says capital equipment and sterilization consumable sales are often stronger in the fourth calendar quarter but that the company as a whole is not subject to material seasonality.

主なリスク

  • Global economy and end-market conditions — Fortive lists conditions in the global economy, in the markets it serves and in financial markets as able to adversely affect its business and results, and separately flags the growth rate and cyclicality of those markets as a risk.
  • Supply chain, manufacturing capacity and input costs — The company cites challenges in managing manufacturing capacity and its supply chain, and fluctuations in the cost of commodities and components, as risks to its cost structure and ability to deliver.
  • Competition and dependence on new products — Fortive discloses that it faces intense competition and that its results depend on successfully developing and launching new products and software; failure to innovate at the pace of its markets is listed as a risk.
  • Cybersecurity and product defects — Risk factors cover cybersecurity incidents and data breaches — relevant for a business selling connected devices and clinical software — as well as product defects and the resulting liability and recall exposure.
  • Healthcare and environmental regulation — Compliance with healthcare regulation, with changing industry standards and with environmental, health and safety requirements is disclosed as a risk, as are liabilities arising from those requirements.
  • Acquisitions, divestitures and separation-related liabilities — Fortive flags execution risk in its capital allocation, acquisitions and integrations, contingent liabilities retained from divestitures, indemnification obligations linked to Ralliant and Vontier, and the tax risks arising from the separation transactions.
  • International operations, trade and currency — The filing lists the risks of operating internationally, volatility in trade relations, and adverse movements in foreign currency exchange rates.
  • Goodwill impairment and debt — Because Fortive has grown by acquisition, it discloses the risk of impairment of goodwill and other intangible assets, along with risks tied to its debt obligations and access to financing.

顧客集中度

The 10-K does not disclose a customer concentration figure: there is no statement that any single customer accounted for 10% or more of sales, and no top-customers share is given. Fortive describes selling through a combination of direct sales forces and distributors and channel partners to a broad base of industrial, utility, government and healthcare customers, and lists the loss of distributor and channel partner relationships — not the loss of a single end customer — among its risk factors.

強気材料

Buyers argue that after the Ralliant spin-off Fortive is a simpler, higher-margin company: two segments built on recognised professional brands, with roughly half the revenue recurring through consumables, dosimetry services, maintenance and software subscriptions, which should make results less volatile than a pure instrument maker's. They point to management's stated market leadership in most served niches, to a healthcare segment tied to procedure volumes rather than industrial capex, and to a balance sheet freed of the spun-off business that can fund buybacks and bolt-on acquisitions of the kind Fortive has assembled its portfolio with.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that growth is thin: consolidated revenue rose 1.9% in fiscal 2025, with Advanced Healthcare Solutions up only 1.2%, so the company is compounding slowly for a business classified as technology. They worry that a portfolio assembled through acquisitions carries a large goodwill and intangible balance that the company itself flags as impairment-exposed, and debt to service; that competition is described as intense in every line, with results depending on a continuous stream of new products; and that the industrial half of the business follows maintenance budgets and the market cycles Fortive lists among its own risk factors. Separation leaves indemnification obligations toward Ralliant and Vontier and tax exposure if the spin-offs are challenged.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 36.4Score: 71Market cap: $57.70B

AMETEK sells electronic instruments and process, test and calibration equipment to the same plant engineers, technicians and maintenance teams that buy Fortive's Fluke instrumentation.

P/E: 51.2Score: 68Market cap: $61.24B

Keysight is the main rival in electronic test and measurement instruments, overlapping with Fluke on the electrical and electronic testing tools used by engineers and field technicians.

P/E: 9.8Score: 61Market cap: $67.12B

Honeywell sells gas detection and connected-worker safety gear plus building and asset management software, overlapping with both Industrial Scientific and Fortive's Accruent and ServiceChannel facility software.

STERIS plcSTE

STERIS competes head-on with Fortive's Advanced Sterilization Products and Censis businesses for hospital sterile-processing departments, selling sterilizers, endoscope reprocessing and instrument-tracking systems.

MSA Safety IncorporatedMSA

MSA Safety competes with Fortive's Industrial Scientific for the same industrial-safety budgets, selling portable and fixed gas detection and connected-worker monitoring to oil & gas, mining and manufacturing sites.

Getinge ABNot tracked

The Swedish group is, with STERIS, the other global supplier of hospital sterilization and endoscope reprocessing equipment, competing directly with Fortive's ASP sterilizers.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$4.24B

直近12か月(2026/4/3まで)

純利益

$544M

直近12か月(2026/4/3まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$978M

自己資本合計

$6.45B

負債合計

$5.28B

流動比率

0.71

利払い倍率

5.98

負債/EBITDA

3.09

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$47.62

現在株価

$56.79

安全マージン

-19.3%

適正価値レンジ

$30.95 - $64.29

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$64.31
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$60.28
利益倍率(P/E):$33.21
グレアムの成長公式:$14.14
収益力価値(EPV):$19.58
正当化されたP/B:$14.73
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$4.64
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$53.36
中間サイクル利益:$58.23
売上高倍率:$69.04
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (7B / 12H / 2S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+3.44%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

33.44

ROE

9.0%

P/B レシオ

2.80

P/FCF

17.84

粗利益率

63.3%

ROIC

6.3%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

6.3%

WACC

9.0%

ROIC − WACC

-2.7 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(16)

  • ROIC 6.3%
  • Gross Margin 63.3%
  • P/FCF 17.84
  • P/B Ratio 2.80
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 8.5%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 9.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.98
  • Share Dilution -5.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

不合格(10)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -3.50%
  • Price CAGR 4.92%
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -2.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 33% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 12.8% vs 19.5%

データなし(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

6/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.98

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-5.1%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Olumide O. Soroye J.D.President, CEO & Director52
Mr. Mark D. Okerstrom J.D.Senior VP & CFO52
Mr. Peter C. Underwood J.D.Senior VP & Chief Legal Officer55
Mr. Christopher M. MulhallChief Accounting Officer51
Mr. Victor P. Fetter IIISenior VP & Chief Technology and Business System Officer56
Ms. Christina JonesVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Amee DesjourdySenior VP & Chief People Officer52
Mr. Parker BurkePresident of Fluke & Group President of Connected Reliability Group (CRG)-
Mr. Arul ElumalaiPresident of Gordian and Group President of Facilities & Asset Lifecycle (FAL) Group-
Mr. Chad RohrerPresident of ASP & Group President of Infection Prevention Group (IPG)-

監査リスク

2

取締役会リスク

1

報酬リスク

9

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-25

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-07-29

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-10

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

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