Hubbell Inc (HUBB)
適正価値ファンダメンタル
72
株価
$453.60
時価総額
$24.61B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Hubbell Incorporated, founded in 1888 and based in the United States, manufactures electrical and utility infrastructure products sold under more than 75 brands. Its catalogue spans the path electricity takes from the grid to the socket: transmission and distribution hardware, insulators, arresters, connectors, switches, smart meters and grid communications equipment on the utility side; wiring devices, rough-in products, grounding products, industrial controls and enclosures inside buildings and factories. The company describes its markets as 'In Front of the Meter' (the utility grid), 'The Edge' (metering and grid intelligence) and 'Behind the Meter' (commercial, industrial and datacenter facilities). These are physical, unglamorous components — a utility pole connector, an industrial socket — but they are specified into projects that last decades and must meet strict safety and reliability standards.
収益の仕組み
Hubbell sells physical products: revenue is recognised when hardware is shipped, not on subscriptions or licences. The Utility Solutions segment sells primarily through distributors or directly to electric and gas utilities. The Electrical Solutions segment sells primarily through electrical and industrial distributors, home centres, retail and hardware outlets and product-oriented internet sites, with special-application products going through wholesale distributors. The economics are therefore those of a branded industrial manufacturer: volume times price, with margin driven by manufacturing productivity, the price it can pass on for raw materials such as steel, aluminium and copper, and the mix between higher-margin utility components and more competitive commercial products. Growth comes both organically and from acquisitions — Hubbell spent $958 million on acquisitions in 2025.
セグメント別売上高
Components that let the electric grid conduct, communicate and control energy: transmission and distribution hardware, arresters, insulators, connectors, bushings and switches, plus smart meters, grid communications systems and protection and control devices. Sold through distributors or directly to electric and gas utilities and telecommunications operators.
Products that manage power inside buildings, factories and industrial infrastructure: wiring devices, rough-in products, connectors, grounding products, industrial controls and communication systems. Sold into non-residential, light and heavy industrial, datacenter, transmission and distribution and renewables applications, mostly through electrical and industrial distributors and retail channels.
競争優位性(moat)
スイッチングコスト · 狭いHubbell's advantage rests on specification and qualification rather than on technology. Utility components are approved by each utility's engineering standards and then bought for years; changing supplier means re-qualifying a part that sits on a live grid, which utilities rarely do to save a few percent. The portfolio of more than 75 brands, built since 1888, carries recognition with the distributors and contractors who actually choose the part on a jobsite. That said, the company itself states it 'operates in markets that are subject to competitive pressures that could affect selling prices or demand for our products', and the Electrical Solutions half competes against large, well-capitalised rivals in commodity-like categories. The advantage is real but narrow, and stronger on the utility side than behind the meter.
需要を左右する要因
中程度の景気循環性The two halves of Hubbell behave differently, and that is the point. Utility Solutions, roughly two thirds of sales, follows utility capital spending — grid replacement, substation work, metering upgrades, telecom build-out. That spending is set by regulated investment plans rather than by the business cycle, so it is steadier than most industrial demand; but the filing warns that substantial variability in purchases by electrical utilities would affect the segment, and utility orders can pause for a year while distributors work off inventory. Electrical Solutions, the other third, tracks non-residential construction, industrial capex, datacenter build and renewables, and those are genuinely cyclical. In 2025 the company attributed the segment's 7.1% sales growth to datacenter and light industrial markets. Taken together the company sits between a defensive utility supplier and a cyclical industrial: it does not collapse in a recession the way a housing-linked manufacturer does, but it does not have the immunity of a regulated utility either.
主なリスク
- Inflation and unfavourable economic conditions — Hubbell discloses that inflation and other unfavourable economic conditions may adversely affect its business, results of operations and financial condition. As a metal-intensive manufacturer it is exposed to the cost of steel, aluminium and copper, and to its ability to raise prices fast enough to keep up.
- Competitive pressure on prices and demand — The company states it operates in markets subject to competitive pressures that could affect selling prices or demand for its products. This is the risk that shows up first in a downturn, when distributors have inventory and competitors discount.
- Supply chain: availability, price or quality of sourced materials — Hubbell manufactures and sources products and materials from various countries throughout the world, and discloses that disruption in the availability, price or quality of these products or materials could adversely affect its operating results.
- Acquisitions may not deliver the expected benefits — The filing discloses both the general risk of finding and integrating acquisitions and a specific one: that Hubbell may fail to realise all the anticipated benefits of the Ventev, Nicor, DMC Power and Systems Control acquisitions, or that those benefits may take longer than expected. The company also warns it may be required to recognise impairment charges on goodwill and other intangible assets — the accounting consequence if an acquisition disappoints.
- Information technology and cybersecurity — Hubbell discloses risks around failures of its information technology and industrial control systems, the use of emerging technologies including artificial intelligence, network disruptions, breaches in data security and compliance with data privacy laws and regulations.
- Execution of productivity and restructuring programmes — The company discloses that it may not be able to successfully implement initiatives, including its continuing restructuring activities, intended to improve productivity and streamline operations to control or reduce costs.
- Currency exchange rates — Hubbell discloses that volatility in currency exchange rates may adversely affect its financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
顧客集中度
主要顧客が売上高の42%を占める
Hubbell states in its 10-K that it is not dependent on a single customer, but that its top ten customers account for approximately 42% of net sales. Those customers are largely electrical and industrial distributors rather than end users — the concentration is in the channel, not in the final demand. That matters in two ways: a large distributor deciding to cut its inventory can dent a quarter even when installation activity is unchanged, and it gives those distributors real negotiating weight on price.
強気材料
Buyers argue that Hubbell sells the physical parts of an electricity grid that has to be rebuilt regardless of the economy: ageing transmission and distribution assets, metering upgrades, and load growth from datacenters and electrification. They point to the 2025 results as evidence the model works — net sales of $5,844.6 million, up 3.8%, with gross margin at 35.3% of sales and operating income at 20.7%, up 130 basis points, expansion the company attributes to manufacturing productivity rather than to price alone. They see the utility two thirds of the business as a long, visible order book tied to regulated capital plans, the brand portfolio and specification position as protection against being designed out, and the $958 million of 2025 acquisitions as a way to keep adding adjacent capability. The cash return is part of the argument too: $286.6 million of dividends and $225 million of buybacks in 2025.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that the recent margin expansion reflects a period of scarce supply and easy price increases that is already ending. The company itself discloses that it operates in markets subject to competitive pressures that could affect selling prices or demand, and that inflation and unfavourable economic conditions may hurt results — a manufacturer that lifted prices on the way up gives some back when distributors are full. The channel concentration is the second worry: ten customers at roughly 42% of net sales means inventory decisions made in a handful of distribution head offices can move a quarter independently of real installation demand. Third is the acquisition record: Hubbell spent $958 million in 2025 and funded part of it with $400 million of 4.800% notes due 2035 and a $600 million term loan, while disclosing both that it may fail to realise the anticipated benefits of Ventev, Nicor, DMC Power and Systems Control and that it may have to recognise impairment charges on goodwill and intangibles — the standard sequence when acquired growth disappoints. Finally, the Electrical Solutions third is exposed to non-residential construction and industrial capex, and its 2025 strength leaned on datacenter demand, a driver sellers treat as concentrated rather than diversified.
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
Eaton's utility T&D business (Cooper Power Systems) and its electrical components lines sell transformers, switchgear, arresters, connectors and wiring devices to the same electric utilities, industrial plants and electrical distributors Hubbell serves in North America.
ABB's Electrification business competes for the same utility substation, distribution and industrial electrification budgets, offering switching, protection and grid-edge equipment alongside low-voltage products sold through the same channels.
Schneider Electric sells medium- and low-voltage distribution equipment, grid automation and commercial-building electrical products to the same utilities, contractors and data-center customers Hubbell targets.
nVent overlaps with Hubbell's Electrical Solutions segment in enclosures, grounding and electrical connection and fastening hardware for industrial, infrastructure and data-center projects.
S&C Electric, privately held in Chicago, is a direct rival on the distribution grid for switching, fusing, reclosers and protection and control gear bought by the same electric utilities.
Preformed Line Products makes the same pole-line hardware, connectors, anchors and cable-support products for overhead transmission, distribution and telecom lines that Hubbell's Utility Solutions segment supplies.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$6.00B
直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)
純利益
$906M
直近12か月(2026/3/31まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
$875M
自己資本合計
$3.85B
負債合計
$4.37B
流動比率
1.58
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
2.31
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$532.24
現在株価
$453.60
安全マージン
+14.8%
適正価値レンジ
$361.37 - $703.12
使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
26.79
ROE
23.1%
P/B レシオ
6.36
P/FCF
26.36
粗利益率
35.5%
ROIC
14.2%
収益性レーダー
価値創造(経済的モート)
ROIC
14.2%
WACC
8.0%
ROIC − WACC
+6.2 pp
ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(21)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 8.82%
- Price CAGR 14.71%
- ROIC 14.2%
- Gross Margin 35.5%
- P/FCF 26.36
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 20.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 23.7%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 9.7%
- Analyst Consensus 62% Buy
- PEG Ratio 1.32
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.19
- Share Dilution -0.9%
- Net Margin Trend 15.1% vs 14.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
不合格(5)
- P/B Ratio 6.36
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg 0.1%
データなし(2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的
機関投資家の保有
この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Gerben W. Bakker | President, CEO & Chairman | 60 |
| Ms. Katherine Anne Lane | Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary | 47 |
| Mr. William R. Sperry | Executive Vice President | 63 |
| Mr. Mark E. Mikes | President of Hubbell Electrical Solutions Segment | 60 |
| Mr. Gregory A. Gumbs | President of Hubbell Utility Solutions Segment | 55 |
| Mr. Joseph Anthony Capozzoli | Senior VP & CFO | 50 |
| Mr. Guillermo Locht | Vice President of Global Operations | - |
| Dr. Alexis P. Bernard | Chief Technology Officer | 51 |
| Drew M. Marquardt | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Daniel Joseph Innamorato | Director of Investor Relations | - |
監査リスク
1
取締役会リスク
8
報酬リスク
3
株主権利リスク
3
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
業績推移
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for HUBB, sourced from Markets Gazette.