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MarketAxess Holdings, Inc. (MKTX)

適正価値
Financial ServicesCapital MarketsUnited States

ファンダメンタル

67

株価

$164.03

時価総額

$5.77B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

MarketAxess Holdings operates electronic trading platforms for fixed-income securities — corporate bonds (U.S. investment grade and high yield, eurobonds, emerging markets), municipal bonds and U.S. Treasuries. Institutional investors and broker-dealers meet on its platforms instead of negotiating bond by bond over the phone. Its distinctive feature is Open Trading, an all-to-all anonymous marketplace where any participant can trade with any other rather than only investor-to-dealer; the 10-K reports roughly 1,800 firms active in that pool and estimates it delivered $496.4 million of price improvement to clients in 2025. Around the execution business the company sells market data (including the CP+ AI-driven pricing engine), regulatory trade reporting and matching, and trading technology. MarketAxess is an intermediary: it does not take principal risk on the bonds traded, it takes a fee on the trade.

収益の仕組み

Most of the money is a commission on trades executed on the platforms. Commissions come in two forms: variable transaction fees, charged per trade and usually scaled to the size and maturity of the bond, and fixed distribution fees, a subscription-style charge dealers pay for access to the platform. In 2025 variable transaction fees were $600.4 million and fixed distribution fees $134.2 million, out of $846.3 million of total revenue. The rest is recurring service revenue: information services (data and pricing subscriptions), post-trade services (regulatory reporting and trade matching) and technology services, together $111.6 million in 2025. So the top line tracks how much bond volume moves across the platforms, cushioned by a smaller subscription base.

セグメント別売上高

Commissions86.8%

Fees earned on bond trades executed on the platforms — a variable fee per transaction paid mainly by institutional investors, plus fixed distribution fees paid by broker-dealers for platform access.

Information services6.3%

Subscriptions to market data and analytics, including the CP+ pricing engine and composite bond pricing, sold to asset managers, dealers and other market participants.

Post-trade services5.3%

Regulatory transaction reporting, trade matching and transparency tools sold mainly to European and UK financial institutions that must report their trades.

Technology services1.6%

Trading technology licensed to clients, including execution management and algorithmic trading tools used alongside the company's venues.

競争優位性(moat)

ネットワーク効果 · 狭い

The advantage is liquidity begetting liquidity: the more investors and dealers quote on Open Trading, the better the prices, and better prices attract more participants — a pool of roughly 1,800 active firms that a new entrant cannot simply buy. Years of executed trades also feed the CP+ pricing data that the company then sells back to the market, which is an intangible a smaller rival cannot replicate. The reason for calling it narrow rather than wide is that the company's own filing stresses substantial competition and a rapidly evolving industry, and that clients can and do route the same order flow to competing venues; the network is real but it has not prevented rivals from taking share in electronic credit trading.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Revenue follows the volume of bonds changing hands, and that volume has two opposing drivers over a cycle. Bond issuance and portfolio rebalancing fall when credit markets freeze, which hurts; but volatility and repricing episodes push more investors to trade and to seek the platform's all-to-all liquidity, which helps. Electronic adoption in fixed income is also still growing structurally, a tailwind that runs underneath the cycle. The subscription lines — data, post-trade reporting, technology, together about one euro in eight — are steadier than commissions. The result is a business that is less cyclical than an investment bank but clearly exposed to how active credit markets are, and to how much of that activity lands on its own venues rather than a competitor's.

主なリスク

  • Demand depends on factors outside the company's control — The filing states that global economic, political and market factors beyond its control — interest rate movements, inflation, geopolitical tension — could reduce demand for its services, and that a decline in fixed-income trading volumes would harm its business and profitability.
  • Substantial competition — The company discloses that it faces substantial competition that could reduce trading on its platforms or its market share and harm its financial performance.
  • A rapidly evolving industry — The filing warns that the industry is evolving quickly and that, if the company cannot adapt effectively to keep pace, it may not compete effectively — with a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition and results.
  • Dependence on broker-dealer clients — The company relies on broker-dealer clients to provide liquidity on its platforms; the filing notes that these clients may reduce their activity or move it to competing venues, lowering volumes.
  • Regulation, and self-clearing — As a regulated financial intermediary the company is subject to extensive government oversight that can affect volumes and raise costs, including changes in data protection and AI rules; it also flags the operational, liquidity and regulatory demands of self-clearing and the effect of central clearing mandates for U.S. Treasury securities.
  • Technology, cybersecurity and third-party suppliers — The business runs on its own systems and on third-party providers; the filing identifies information-technology and cybersecurity failures, and the failure of a supplier, as risks to operations, and adds that developing and deploying AI technology can expose it to reputational harm and liability.

顧客集中度

The filing does not disclose a percentage of revenue from its largest clients. It does warn, as a risk factor, that certain clients may account for a significant portion of trading volume on its platforms, and the business depends on a relatively small group of broker-dealers to supply liquidity alongside a much broader base of institutional investors. Without a stated number, treat the concentration as acknowledged by the company but unquantified.

強気材料

Buyers argue that fixed income is still early in its move from the telephone to the screen, and that whoever owns the deepest all-to-all liquidity pool collects a toll on that shift: Open Trading already gathers around 1,800 firms and produced an estimated $496.4 million of price improvement for clients in 2025, which is the argument for why participants keep coming back. They point to a capital-light model — the company takes a fee, not principal risk on the bonds — and to the services lines, which reached a record $111.6 million in 2025 and grew faster than commissions, giving a recurring, less volume-dependent layer on top. The data franchise, they add, is a by-product of the trading itself: every executed trade improves CP+, which is then sold back to the market.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that the network is less exclusive than it looks. The company's own filing stresses substantial competition and a rapidly evolving industry, and rival venues have been winning share in exactly the protocols — portfolio trading, dealer-initiated flow — where growth has been fastest. They note that commissions are 86.8% of revenue and are tied to volumes the company does not control, while total revenue grew only 3.6% in 2025 and net income fell 9.9% year on year: growth that slow makes the outcome depend on holding share, not just on the market expanding. They also point to dependence on a limited set of broker-dealers for liquidity, to the operational and regulatory load the company itself flags around self-clearing and central clearing of Treasuries, and to the risk that better-capitalised competitors or new AI-driven pricing tools erode the pricing power of the data business.

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 24.1Score: 73Market cap: $0

Tradeweb runs the closest rival electronic platform for institutional fixed-income trading, competing with MarketAxess for the same asset managers and dealers in US credit as well as in rates and emerging markets.

P/E: 21.5Score: 62Market cap: $85.84B

Through BondPoint, TMC Bonds and Creditex, ICE offers electronic bond and credit-derivative execution alongside fixed-income pricing data, addressing the same dealers and institutional clients.

P/E: 22.2Score: 68Market cap: $17.92B

CME's BrokerTec platform is a direct rival in electronic US Treasury and repo trading, the rates business MarketAxess has been expanding into.

Trumid Financial, LLCNot tracked

Trumid is a privately held US corporate bond trading network whose daily volumes in investment grade and high yield now sit within a whisker of MarketAxess's, fighting for the same buy-side order flow.

Bloomberg L.P.Not tracked

Bloomberg's terminal-based execution venues and fixed-income data services compete with MarketAxess both for bond trading flow and for the market-data and analytics budgets of the same institutions.

TP ICAP Group plcTCAP

TP ICAP competes for institutional bond execution through Liquidnet's fixed-income venue and Neptune's pre-trade data network, targeting the same buy-side credit desks.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$870M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$306M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$374M

自己資本合計

$1.15B

負債合計

$777M

流動比率

2.19

利払い倍率

59.88

負債/EBITDA

0.43

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$147.48

現在株価

$164.03

安全マージン

-11.2%

適正価値レンジ

$114.58 - $180.38

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$158.00
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$168.19
利益倍率(P/E):$160.88
グレアムの成長公式:$63.28
収益力価値(EPV):$87.22
正当化されたP/B:$131.36
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$64.55
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$147.00
中間サイクル利益:$128.32
売上高倍率:$64.60
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (7B / 11H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+3.16%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

19.38

ROE

21.5%

P/B レシオ

4.66

P/FCF

29.69

粗利益率

-

ROIC

-

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

-

WACC

8.8%

ROIC − WACC

-

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 18.83%
  • P/FCF 29.69
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 40.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 24.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 15.3%
  • Share Dilution -1.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 35.2% vs 26.6%

不合格(9)

  • Price CAGR 1.09%
  • P/B Ratio 4.66
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.65
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

データなし(5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

4/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

0.65

中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある

株式希薄化

-1.4%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Christopher Robert Concannon J.D.CEO & Director58
Ms. Ilene J. Fiszel BielerChief Financial Officer56
Mr. Dean BerryGroup COO & CEO of Europe, the Middle East & Africa, and Asia-Pacific52
Mr. Kevin M. McPhersonChief Revenue Officer54
Mr. Nitin A. MirwaniChief Accounting Officer45
Mr. William QuanChief Technology Officer42
Mr. Stephen C. DavidsonHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Scott Pintoff J.D.General Counsel & Corporate Secretary54
Ms. Julie SheffetChief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. James Nevil Blair RuckerGlobal Head of Operations Services69

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

1

報酬リスク

2

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-24

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-07

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-29

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MKTX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/4/2026POSITIVE
    Van Den Berg Boosts MarketAxess Stake as Electronic Platforms Compete for Credit Trading Flow

    Van Den Berg Management has increased its stake in MarketAxess Holdings Inc., a key player in electronic trading platforms for corporate bonds. This increased position by a significant institutional investor signals confidence in MarketAxess's business model within a rapidly evolving sector. As more credit trading moves online and competition among trading venues intensifies, MarketAxess's ability to anchor institutional bond market liquidity is crucial. This move could indicate a positive outlook on the platform's future.

via Markets Gazette