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MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR)

割安
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

ファンダメンタル

28

株価

$153.09

時価総額

$64.20B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, began as a maker of business-intelligence and analytics software that companies use to build dashboards and reports from their own data. Since 2020 it has become primarily known as a corporate treasury built around Bitcoin: it has raised billions of dollars through stock and debt sales specifically to buy and hold bitcoin, and now holds hundreds of thousands of coins. The software business still generates revenue and cash flow, but Bitcoin holdings, not software sales, now dominate the company's balance sheet and market value.

収益の仕組み

The software business earns money from subscription and cloud services, older-style perpetual license sales being phased out, and support/maintenance fees on existing licenses — a small, roughly flat-to-declining revenue base of a few hundred million dollars a year. Alongside it, Strategy raises new capital by issuing shares and convertible debt and uses the proceeds to buy more bitcoin, whose fair-value changes now flow through the income statement and dwarf the software business's results; reported profit or loss in a given period is driven mainly by bitcoin's price, not by software sales.

競争優位性(moat)

明確な優位性なし · なし

The software segment is a small, mature player in a market dominated by much larger business-intelligence providers such as Microsoft, Salesforce and Oracle, with no scale, brand or switching-cost advantage strong enough to be called durable. Whatever edge the company has today comes almost entirely from its bitcoin balance sheet, not from a defensible position in its original product line.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

The company's results are now driven almost entirely by the price of bitcoin, which swings far more than a typical business cycle, rallying and falling by large percentages within months. The small software business, by contrast, follows the ordinary enterprise-IT spending cycle, but it is now too small relative to the bitcoin holdings to meaningfully offset those swings.

主なリスク

  • Bitcoin price risk — Reported profit or loss and the balance-sheet value of the company's main asset are now driven by bitcoin's market price, which is highly volatile and entirely outside the company's control.
  • Leverage and dilution — The strategy has been funded with large amounts of debt and repeated stock issuance, which dilutes existing shareholders and creates repayment obligations against an asset, bitcoin, that generates no cash flow of its own.
  • Regulatory risk on digital assets — Changes in how regulators treat corporate bitcoin holdings, custody arrangements, or accounting rules could materially affect the company's reported results or ability to operate its strategy.
  • Declining legacy software business — The original software segment, now a small part of the business, has faced years of competitive pressure from larger vendors and a difficult shift from license to subscription revenue.

強気材料

Buyers see the company as a leveraged, liquid way to gain exposure to bitcoin's price without buying it directly, and expect that continued institutional demand for bitcoin, combined with the company's ability to keep raising capital against its holdings, will keep growing its bitcoin-per-share over time.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that the strategy is essentially a leveraged bet funded by debt and repeated share issuance, that a sustained fall in bitcoin's price would hit both the balance sheet and the ability to refinance, and that the original software business is too small and competitively weak to provide a cushion if the bitcoin strategy goes wrong.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 28.6Score: 80Market cap: $3.70T

Power BI is the volume leader in enterprise analytics and displaces MicroStrategy's dashboarding and reporting platform in the same large-company IT budgets.

P/E: 20.9Score: 81Market cap: $187.04B

Its Tableau division sells the same self-service visualization and enterprise BI deployments MicroStrategy bids for, often to the same Fortune 500 data teams.

P/E: 21.5Score: 66Market cap: $400.95B

Oracle Analytics Cloud is bundled with the database and ERP stack that large customers already run, taking analytics spend MicroStrategy would otherwise win.

Qlik (QlikTech International AB)Not tracked

An independent analytics vendor named in MicroStrategy's own filings, competing head-on for enterprise BI platform contracts in hybrid and on-premise environments.

Domo, Inc.DOMO

A pure-play cloud BI vendor selling dashboards and data apps to the same mid-size and large enterprise buyers MicroStrategy targets.

Metaplanet Inc. (メタプラネット株式会社)Not tracked

MicroStrategy's 10-K says it competes for capital with other companies holding bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, and Metaplanet raises money from the same investors seeking leveraged bitcoin exposure through a listed share.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$498M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$-30.41B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$-75M

自己資本合計

$44.12B

負債合計

$10.60B

流動比率

5.39

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

-

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$229.87

現在株価

$153.09

安全マージン

+33.4%

適正価値レンジ

$218.37 - $241.36

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$229.87
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
利益倍率(P/E):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
グレアムの成長公式:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
収益力価値(EPV):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
正当化されたP/B:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$9.04
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$7.22
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (23B / 3H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-222.96%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

-

ROE

-8.7%

P/B レシオ

1.88

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

67.6%

ROIC

-55.2%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

-55.2%

WACC

16.2%

ROIC − WACC

-71.4 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(7)

  • Price CAGR 23.45%
  • Gross Margin 67.6%
  • P/B Ratio 1.88
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Analyst Consensus 88% Buy

不合格(11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC -55.2%
  • Operating Margin -7295.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -60.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -0.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -627.5%
  • Share Dilution 31.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

データなし(9)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-スコア

3/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

31.2%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Michael J. SaylorExecutive Chairman60
Mr. Phong Q. LePresident, CEO & Director48
Mr. Andrew KangExecutive VP, CFO & Principal Accounting Officer49
Mr. Thomas C. Chow Esq.Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary46
Mr. Reza VirastehExecutive Vice President of Operations-
Ms. Ponna ArumugamExecutive VP & CTO-
Mr. Chaitanya JainHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Joty PaparelloExecutive VP & Chief Human Resource Officer-
Mr. Saurabh AbhyankarExecutive VP & Chief Product Officer-
Mr. Jeremy PriceSenior Vice President of Financial Planning & Analysis-

監査リスク

9

取締役会リスク

10

報酬リスク

6

株主権利リスク

9

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-19

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-03

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-10-01

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MSTR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3d agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Strategy (MSTR) calano mentre la società acquista 1,665 BTC

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shares dipped 0.75% following the announcement of an additional 1,665 Bitcoin purchase for approximately $142.7 million. The acquisition, made between September 21-27 at an average price of $85,681 per BTC, brings the company's total Bitcoin holdings to 847,666 BTC. These holdings are now valued at roughly $70.6 billion, with an average acquisition cost of $75,437 per Bitcoin. Despite the continued accumulation of Bitcoin, the immediate market reaction saw a slight decline in the stock price, indicating investor caution or a potential disconnect between the company's strategy and short-term stock performance.

  • 10d agoPOSITIVE
    Le azioni Strategy volano dell'8% mentre la società riprende gli acquisti di Bitcoin

    MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) shares surged 8% on Monday following the company's resumption of Bitcoin purchases after a two-week hiatus. The company acquired an additional 950 Bitcoin for approximately $75.7 million in the week ending September 20th, at an average price of $79,670 per Bitcoin. This latest acquisition brings MicroStrategy's total Bitcoin holdings to 846,000 BTC, with an average cost of $75,416 per coin. The news also mentioned continued repurchases of STRC preferred stock. For investors, this signals renewed conviction in the company's Bitcoin strategy and potential upside from its substantial digital asset reserves.

  • 16d agoNEGATIVE
    Le azioni di Strategy (MSTR) scendono del 5% mentre il Clarity Act si blocca

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shares fell 5% on Tuesday following a decline in Bitcoin, as the U.S. Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. This legislative setback for comprehensive cryptocurrency regulation, supported by digital asset industry leaders, has negatively impacted crypto-related stocks. Coinbase shares dropped 10% after the vote. The stalled Clarity Act creates pressure for crypto-linked equities, with Congress expected to adjourn this month. Investors are reassessing the regulatory landscape's impact on companies heavily invested in digital assets.

  • 28d agoPOSITIVE
    Strategy e Coinbase in rally mentre Bitcoin riconquista $80,000

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) shares surged over 15% on Thursday, mirroring Bitcoin's ascent above $80,000. Coinbase Global Inc. also saw a significant boost, with its stock climbing more than 10% to surpass $193. This broad rally in crypto-related equities is directly linked to Bitcoin's nearly 5% gain in the past 24 hours, reaching $80,982.09. The cryptocurrency market's upward movement coincided with lower Treasury yields and a weaker dollar, suggesting a favorable macroeconomic environment for risk assets. Investors are closely watching these trends for potential continued upside in digital asset-linked stocks.

  • 8/31/2026POSITIVE
    Strategy (MSTR) avanza dopo la ripresa degli acquisti di Bitcoin dopo 10 settimane

    Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) saw its stock price climb on Monday following the resumption of its Bitcoin acquisition strategy. The company announced it purchased 4,603 BTC for approximately $369.7 million between August 24th and August 30th, ending a 10-week hiatus. The average price paid was $80,318 per Bitcoin. This latest acquisition was funded through the sale of Strategy's Class A common stock under its at-the-market program, with the company selling 4,531,421 MSTR shares for roughly $602.8 million during the same period. The move signals renewed confidence in Bitcoin's potential by the company's leadership.

  • 8/27/2026POSITIVE
    Perché il titolo Strategy (MSTR) guadagna il 12% oggi

    MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares surged over 12% on Thursday, propelled by Bitcoin's ascent past $80,000. This rally underscores the market's perception of MSTR as a leveraged equity proxy for Bitcoin, given its substantial holdings. Despite mixed analyst ratings, with Bernstein lowering its price target to $350 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating, the overarching positive sentiment towards Bitcoin's prospects appears to be the dominant driver for MSTR's stock performance. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 also saw gains, but MSTR's outperformance highlights its strong correlation with cryptocurrency movements.

  • 8/24/2026POSITIVE
    MSTR sale mentre Strategy mantiene Bitcoin e crea riserva da $1,59 mld

    MicroStrategy (formerly Strategy) did not purchase Bitcoin last week but utilized a stock sale of approximately $2 billion to bolster its liquidity. This strategic move occurred as Bitcoin experienced a significant surge, climbing nearly 25% in the past week and nearing $80,000. MicroStrategy's stock saw a notable increase of about 7.2% on Monday, ultimately closing up 2.5% for the day and a substantial 34% over the week, outperforming crypto-exposed peers like Coinbase and Robinhood. The company has built a cash pool of $1.59 billion, according to an SEC filing, positioning itself to manage its Bitcoin holdings effectively amidst market volatility.

  • 8/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Strategy launches $1.6B cash pool after $2B common shares raise, maintains hold on BTC buys

    MicroStrategy has successfully raised $2 billion through the sale of common shares, bolstering its cash reserves to approximately $1.59 billion. Despite this significant capital infusion, the company has maintained its Bitcoin holdings at 840,447 BTC and has not engaged in new Bitcoin purchases. This strategic move suggests a cautious approach to further Bitcoin accumulation, prioritizing liquidity and potentially awaiting more favorable market conditions or specific investment opportunities. Investors will monitor future capital allocation decisions closely.

  • 8/21/2026POSITIVE
    Azioni crypto MARA, COIN, Strive, MSTR in rally con l'avvio del bull run, ma i rischi restano

    MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) is experiencing a significant rally, alongside other crypto-related stocks like MARA Holdings, Coinbase, and CleanSpark. This surge is primarily driven by the ongoing recovery in Bitcoin and major altcoins. MSTR's stock has seen substantial gains, reflecting the broader positive sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. The upward trend is expected to continue if the crypto rally gains further momentum, indicating a strong correlation between digital asset performance and these equity investments. Investors are closely watching the crypto market's trajectory for further upside potential in these stocks.

  • 8/20/2026POSITIVE
    Previsioni MSTR: rally di Bitcoin e aumento degli afflussi ETF

    MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) shares experienced a significant surge, reaching $115.65 in pre-market trading, a level not seen since June 22nd and representing a 40% increase from its year-to-date low. This rally is closely tied to the broader recovery in Bitcoin prices and a positive shift in market sentiment, as indicated by the Crypto Fear and Greed Index entering the 'greed' zone at 61. The associated YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) also saw gains, climbing to $13.95. The strong performance suggests that MSTR is benefiting from the renewed optimism in the cryptocurrency market, potentially signaling a positive outlook for investors.

via Markets Gazette