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NCAB GROUP AB (NCABF)

割高
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSweden

ファンダメンタル

58

株価

$85.80

時価総額

$15.31B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

NCAB Group does not manufacture anything itself. It designs the specification, sources printed circuit boards (PCBs) from a network of partner factories mainly in China and other parts of Asia, and sells them to industrial customers worldwide, offering local design support, quality control and logistics on top of the board itself. It operates through local sales companies in 19 countries grouped into four regions: Nordics, Europe, North America and East (China and Malaysia).

収益の仕組み

Revenue is booked when a customer's ordered PCBs are delivered, priced to cover the factory cost plus NCAB's margin for sourcing, design support and quality assurance. Because NCAB owns no factories, its cost base moves with what partner manufacturers charge and with tariffs on goods made in China, which it has partly offset by shifting some production to Taiwan, South Korea, the U.S. and Southeast Asia.

セグメント別売上高

Europe48.1%

Sales offices across Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland and the U.K.

Nordics23.3%

NCAB's home region and largest single market by history, spanning Sweden and neighboring Nordic countries.

North America22.7%

U.S. offices serving defense, medtech, power and industrial customers, with a growing focus on regional and ITAR-approved supply.

East5.9%

Sales offices in China and Malaysia, serving both local and global customers close to the main manufacturing base.

主なリスク

  • Concentration of factories in China — The company states it faces geopolitical risk because a large share of the factories it sources from are located in China, and that tariffs and trade barriers are a potential risk it has only partly offset by shifting some sourcing to other countries.
  • Dependence on partner manufacturers — Because NCAB owns no factories, the company states it is exposed to the production capacity, capacity constraints and order books of the manufacturers it sources from, as well as raw material availability and prices.
  • Currency exposure — The company states it is exposed to currency risk, mainly between the USD, EUR and SEK, through translation of sales and purchases and of reported assets, liabilities and investments.
  • Demand and customer relationship risk — The company cites commercial risk arising from changes in economic activity, demand and customer preferences, and from the state of its relationships with customers.
  • Dependence on skilled staff — The company states it depends on the continued trust of its employees and on its ability to recruit skilled staff, since its role is largely one of technical sourcing and design support rather than owning production assets.

強気材料

Buyers argue that an asset-light sourcing model lets NCAB grow without the capital intensity of owning factories, that its design-support and quality-control services create switching costs beyond just finding a cheaper board supplier, and that diversifying manufacturing beyond China reduces tariff exposure over time.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that without owned factories NCAB has limited control over its cost base and delivery reliability, that heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing capacity leaves it exposed to tariffs and trade policy shifts it cannot control, and that the business is ultimately a distributor with thinner structural protection than a manufacturer.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

ICAPE Holding SA (ICAPE Group)ALICA

French PCB supplier with the same asset-light model as NCAB — local sales offices in Europe and North America backed by an engineering and quality organisation in China — chasing the same high-mix low-volume electronics manufacturers.

Fineline Global GroupNot tracked

Privately held European PCB supplier, named by NCAB itself as a direct competitor, selling Asian-produced boards plus quality assurance and logistics to the same industrial and telecom customers in Europe.

PalPilot International Corp.Not tracked

US-based private PCB supplier named by NCAB as a direct competitor, competing for the same North American customers with the same combination of local account teams and Chinese factory partners.

Würth Elektronik Circuit Board Technology (part of Würth Elektronik Group)Not tracked

Private German PCB maker that supplies prototypes and small-to-medium series to the same European industrial, automotive and medical customers NCAB serves, but from its own European plants.

Schweizer Electronic AGNot tracked

German PCB manufacturer competing for European automotive and industrial board orders, offering its own factory output where NCAB offers sourced and quality-controlled Asian production.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$4.08B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$272M

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$290M

自己資本合計

$1.49B

負債合計

$1.31B

流動比率

1.60

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

2.74

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割高

適正価値

$53.27

現在株価

$85.80

安全マージン

-61.1%

適正価値レンジ

$34.62 - $71.91

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$91.33
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$22.58
利益倍率(P/E):$52.48
グレアムの成長公式:$35.02
収益力価値(EPV):$13.71
正当化されたP/B:$12.87
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$0.01
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$111.36
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (7B / 3H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+5.04%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

56.69

ROE

18.9%

P/B レシオ

10.32

P/FCF

52.71

粗利益率

35.1%

ROIC

12.1%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

12.1%

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

+0.5 pp

ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(13)

  • Price CAGR 33.67%
  • ROIC 12.1%
  • Gross Margin 35.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 18.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.56

不合格(8)

  • P/FCF 52.71
  • P/B Ratio 10.32
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 6.55
  • Net Margin Trend 5.5% vs 7.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

1.56

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Peter KrukPresident & CEO57
Mr. Timothy Benjamin Jr.Chief Financial Officer43
Mr. Chris NuttallChief Operating Officer52
Mr. Bo AnderssonTechnical Manager-
Ms. Ann JuvikenChief Digital & Information Officer55
Ms. Gunilla Öhman WikmanIR Manager66
Ms. Sanna MagnussonGroup Marketing Director46
Claire-Lise SarninVice President of People & Culture45
Mr. Andy LiuMD of China Sales & VP of Asia45
Mr. Jack KeiManaging Director of China-

監査リスク

4

取締役会リスク

6

報酬リスク

4

株主権利リスク

1

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for NCABF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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