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OMV Aktiengesellschaft (OMVJF)

適正価値
EnergyOil & Gas IntegratedAustria

ファンダメンタル

86

株価

$70.65

時価総額

$23.90B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

OMV is an Austrian energy and chemicals group that pumps oil and gas out of the ground, refines crude into fuels at plants in Austria, Germany and Romania, and turns some of that output into plastics and other chemicals. It is present across the whole chain from exploration to the pump and the plastics factory, with its oil-and-gas production centered in Central and Eastern Europe alongside interests in the Middle East, Africa and the North Sea.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling crude oil and gas production, refined fuels and petrochemical products at prices set on global commodity markets, so profit depends on the margin between input costs — crude, natural gas, CO2 emission certificates — and what the finished products fetch, a margin the company calls volatile rather than one it controls. OMV reports operating results by its Energy, Fuels & Feedstock and Chemicals businesses, but does not publish a clean external-sales split between them.

競争優位性(moat)

規模の経済 · 狭い

Owning refineries in three countries alongside its own oil-and-gas production and downstream chemicals gives OMV a vertically integrated footprint that a pure refiner or pure producer lacks, letting it capture margin at more than one stage of the chain. That integration is a scale advantage within Central Europe, but it does not protect the company from the commodity price swings that set the price of everything it produces.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

OMV states that it has significant exposure to oil, natural gas and chemicals prices, and that refining and chemicals margins in particular are volatile — results move with global energy and industrial-chemicals cycles rather than with a steady consumption pattern.

主なリスク

  • Commodity price volatility — The company has significant exposure to oil, natural gas and chemicals prices, plus volatile refining and chemicals margins and CO2 emission certificate costs, all of which move independently of anything OMV does.
  • Geopolitical exposure tied to Russia — OMV regularly assesses risks from Russia's war against Ukraine, including further sanctions, changes in Russian commodity flows, and disruption to supply chains — a legacy of long-standing gas supply contracts with Russia.
  • Political and regulatory risk — The company names political and regulatory changes among the main uncertainties that can influence its performance, alongside the commodity and currency risks inherent to its business.
  • Cyberattacks on infrastructure — OMV warns that a growing threat of physical and cyber-based hybrid attacks poses a risk to its IT and operational technology infrastructure and to operational security.

強気材料

Buyers argue that integration across exploration, refining and chemicals lets OMV capture margin wherever it appears in the value chain instead of depending on a single stage, and that a diversified geographic base across Central and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the North Sea spreads out political and operational risk.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that results ultimately hinge on volatile global oil, gas and chemicals prices the company does not control, that long-standing gas ties to Russia leave OMV exposed to sanctions and supply disruption from a war it has no influence over, and that growing cyber and hybrid-warfare threats add a newer layer of operational risk.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 11.6Score: 71Market cap: $179.04B

Competes with OMV across the whole chain in Europe: gas and LNG supply to industrial and wholesale buyers, refining and service-station fuel sales, and petrochemical volumes sold to the same converters.

MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Public Limited Company (MOL Magyar Olaj- és Gázipari Nyrt.)MOL

The closest regional peer to OMV: an integrated Central European group with upstream production, Danube-basin refining and about 2,400 service stations competing for the same fuel and petrochemical customers in Austria, Hungary, Slovakia, Romania and the Balkans.

Orlen S.A.PKN

The largest refiner in Central and Eastern Europe, competing with OMV in refining and in fuel retail in the same countries — including Austria itself, where it runs the Turmöl network, plus the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Germany.

Eni S.p.A.ENI

A southern European integrated oil and gas company of comparable shape — upstream, refining, fuel retail and gas supply — competing with OMV for European gas and fuel customers and for the same exploration acreage in North Africa and the Middle East.

Repsol S.A.REP

A mid-sized European integrated group with the same three-legged model of production, refining and chemicals, competing with OMV in European polyolefins and low-carbon fuels such as sustainable aviation fuel.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.LYB

A direct rival of OMV's chemicals arm rather than of its fuel business: it sells polyethylene and polypropylene to the same European packaging, automotive and pipe customers that OMV supplies through its Borealis-derived polyolefin capacity.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$26.18B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

純利益

$2.65B

直近の公表四半期までの12か月 — 1株当たり指標からの推計

フリーキャッシュフロー

$7.46B

自己資本合計

$15.13B

負債合計

$8.00B

流動比率

1.22

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

1.37

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

景気循環株適正価値

適正価値

$61.02

現在株価

$70.65

安全マージン

-15.8%

適正価値レンジ

$52.59 - $69.46

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$64.04
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):この種の企業には適用されません
利益倍率(P/E):$41.29
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$65.29
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):この種の企業には適用されません
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:保有 (6B / 7H / 13S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+12.42%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

8.80

ROE

8.8%

P/B レシオ

1.30

P/FCF

3.20

粗利益率

33.8%

ROIC

13.0%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

13.0%

WACC

8.9%

ROIC − WACC

+4.1 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(17)

  • Price CAGR 8.21%
  • ROIC 13.0%
  • Gross Margin 33.8%
  • P/FCF 3.20
  • P/B Ratio 1.30
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 15.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.0%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.4%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 4.78
  • Net Margin Trend 4.0% vs 4.0%

不合格(3)

  • CapEx intensity
  • Analyst Consensus 23% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

データなし(7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

2/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

4.78

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Reinhard FloreyCFO & Deputy Chairman of Executive Board60
Mr. Martijn Arjen van KotenExecutive VP of New Fuels & Chemicals and Member of the Executive Board55
Dr. Berislav Gaso Ph.D.Executive VP of Energy & Member of Executive Board51
Mr. Daniel TurnheimSenior Vice President of Corporate Finance50
Mr. Florian GregerSenior VP and Head of Investor Relations & Sustainability-
Ms. Magdalena MollSenior Vice President of Corporate Affairs63

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

2

報酬リスク

2

株主権利リスク

6

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

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