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ORIX Corporation (ORXCF)

割安
Financial ServicesFinancial ConglomeratesJapan

ファンダメンタル

61

株価

$5911.00

時価総額

$6.37T

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

ORIX is a Japanese financial conglomerate that does not fit one label: it leases equipment to businesses, lends money, develops and manages real estate, runs private-equity investments and airport and water concessions, sells life insurance, owns a bank, leases aircraft and ships, and generates and retails renewable energy — mostly in Japan, with growing operations in the Americas, Europe and Asia. Its edge is being able to move capital across all of these businesses as opportunities shift.

収益の仕組み

Because it spans leasing, lending, insurance, banking and investing, ORIX earns money in several different ways at once: interest and fees on loans and leases, insurance premiums, gains on private-equity and real-estate investments, and returns on aircraft, ship and infrastructure assets it owns and operates. Group results are reported mainly as segment profit rather than a single, clean revenue split, reflecting how different these businesses are from one another.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Spreading across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure means different parts of the group respond to different conditions at different times — private equity and real estate lean cyclical, insurance and core leasing lean steadier — so the group as a whole tends to be less exposed to any single economic swing than a pure-play in one of those businesses would be.

主なリスク

  • Credit risk across many businesses — ORIX monitors credit exposure across loans, leases and investments by borrower type, region and asset quality; concentration in any of these can expose the group to loan and lease losses.
  • Interest rate exposure — A meaningful part of interest income comes from floating-rate installment loans and related instruments, so a drop in market interest rates can reduce income earned on that book.
  • Market risk from diverse exposures — The group is exposed to interest rate, foreign exchange and equity market price movements across its lending, investment and insurance businesses simultaneously.
  • Liquidity and funding risk — As a business that lends and leases using borrowed and raised capital, ORIX depends on continued access to funding markets at reasonable cost to sustain its lending and leasing activities.
  • Operational and cybersecurity risk — The group names information security, IT and operational risk among its principal risk categories, given how many financial systems and customer data it operates across its many business lines.

強気材料

Buyers argue that spreading capital across leasing, lending, insurance, real estate, private equity and infrastructure lets ORIX shift money toward whichever business is performing best at a given time, and that this diversification makes the group's overall earnings steadier than any single one of its businesses would be on its own.

弱気材料

Sellers worry that a conglomerate spanning lending, insurance, real estate and private equity is hard for an outside investor to value cleanly, that credit, interest-rate and market risk hit several of its businesses at once in a downturn, and that segment profit — the way results are reported — can mask which parts of the group are actually struggling.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc. (三菱HCキャピタル株式会社)8593

Japan's largest diversified lessor, chasing the same corporate customers as ORIX in equipment leasing, auto mobility, aircraft, real estate and renewable-energy finance, both in Japan and overseas.

Tokyo Century Corporation (東京センチュリー株式会社)8439

Competes directly for Japanese equipment-leasing and auto-fleet contracts and, like ORIX, has built specialty finance in aircraft, shipping and international leasing.

Sumitomo Mitsui Finance and Leasing Company, Limited (三井住友ファイナンス&リース株式会社)Not tracked

One of the three biggest Japanese lessors, unlisted because it is jointly owned by Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and Sumitomo Corporation, and it bids against ORIX for corporate leasing, aircraft and real-estate finance mandates.

Mizuho Leasing Company, Limited (みずほリース株式会社)8425

Offers the same mix of equipment leasing, lending, real-estate and aircraft operating leases to Japanese corporate borrowers that ORIX serves.

Fuyo General Lease Co., Ltd. (芙蓉総合リース株式会社)8424

A mid-sized independent Japanese lessor competing for the same equipment, vehicle and real-estate leasing business among domestic small and mid-cap corporates.

AerCap Holdings N.V.AER

The world's largest aircraft lessor, competing head-on with ORIX Aviation for aircraft placements and sale-leaseback deals with the same global airline customers.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$2.27T

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$620.81B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$4.47T

負債合計

$6.31T

流動比率

1.68

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

5.47

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$10471.14

現在株価

$5911.00

安全マージン

+43.5%

適正価値レンジ

$6806.24 - $14136.04

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$7000.00
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$16838.37
利益倍率(P/E):$5636.81
グレアムの成長公式:$24323.51
収益力価値(EPV):$2709.73
正当化されたP/B:$3497.52
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$2222.63
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$7292.47
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (8B / 8H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+37.10%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

10.88

ROE

14.0%

P/B レシオ

1.42

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

43.6%

ROIC

5.5%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

5.5%

WACC

5.6%

ROIC − WACC

-0.1 pp

ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(13)

  • Price CAGR 13.54%
  • ROIC 5.5%
  • Gross Margin 43.6%
  • P/B Ratio 1.42
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 10.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 21.7%
  • PEG Ratio 0.71
  • Net Margin Trend 13.4% vs 12.2%

不合格(2)

  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

データなし(12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-スコア

0/9

重大な財務上の懸念

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

-

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

この企業について機関投資家の報告はありません。

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Hidetake TakahashiPresident & CEO for Digital Innovation, Representative Executive Officer and Director54
Mr. Seiichi MiyakeManaging Executive Officer & Head of Investment and Operation Headquarters57
Mr. Stan H. Koyanagi J.D.Senior Managing Executive Officer & Global General Counsel65
Mr. Satoru MatsuzakiRepresentative Executive Officer Deputy President, COO for Japan & APAC and Director59
Mr. Eiji AritaManaging Executive Officer & Head of Corporate Business Headquarters59
Mr. Masataka YamadaSenior Managing Executive Officer, CFO, Chief Strategy Officer & Director53
Mr. Paddy HoganGlobal Head of Investor Relations-
Koichi UchidaGeneral Manager of Group Corporate Communication-
Mr. Satoru KatahiraChairman of Health Insurance Society and Corporate Pension Fund of ORIX Group-
Mr. Shuji IrieSenior Managing Executive Officer, COO of Infrastructure Business Unit & Director62

監査リスク

1

取締役会リスク

2

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

7

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

Latest News

Recent headlines for ORXCF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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