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Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH)

適正価値
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryUnited States

ファンダメンタル

69

株価

$963.09

時価総額

$122.27B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Parker-Hannifin is a US manufacturer of motion and control technologies: hydraulic and pneumatic components, filtration, sealing, fluid connectors, electromechanical drives, thermal management, and aircraft fuel, hydraulic and flight-control systems. It sells engineered components that go inside other people's machines — tractors, excavators, factory lines, trucks, refrigeration plants, aircraft engines and airframes — rather than finished equipment of its own. The company runs a deliberately decentralised structure of many small divisions, each close to its own customers, under a common operating system it calls The Win Strategy. In fiscal 2026 (year ended 30 June 2026) it reported net sales of $21.5 billion, serving several hundred thousand OEM and distributor customer locations worldwide.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling physical components and systems, in two waves. The first is the original-equipment sale: Parker's part is designed into a machine or an aircraft programme and then ships for years as that platform is built. The second is the aftermarket: the same parts wear out and are replaced through a worldwide network of independent distributors on the industrial side, and sold directly to airlines and operators as spares and maintenance on the aerospace side. Aerospace work in particular carries long programme lifecycles, so an engine or airframe win produces decades of spare-part and repair revenue. The filing notes that no single product contributed more than one percent of total net sales in fiscal 2026 — the business is an enormous catalogue of small items rather than a few big ones.

セグメント別売上高

Diversified Industrial67%

Motion-control, hydraulic, pneumatic, filtration, sealing, fluid-connector, electrification and thermal-management products sold to original equipment manufacturers and to independent distributors serving the replacement market, across off-highway machinery, factory automation, transportation, energy, HVAC and refrigeration. The segment is run through North American operations ($8.392 billion of sales in fiscal 2026) and international operations ($6.046 billion).

Aerospace Systems33%

Engineered airframe and engine components and systems — fuel systems, hydraulics, electrical and flight-control equipment, thermal management — sold to aircraft and engine manufacturers, plus spare parts and maintenance sold directly to end users. Customers are commercial transport, regional and business aircraft, helicopters and defence programmes; segment sales were $7.061 billion in fiscal 2026.

競争優位性(moat)

スイッチングコスト · 広い

Parker's advantage is that its parts are specified into someone else's design. Once a hydraulic circuit, a seal or a fuel pump is qualified into a machine or an aircraft, swapping it means re-engineering and, in aerospace, re-certifying the platform — so the component keeps shipping for the life of the programme and then again as a spare. Two further things reinforce this: the breadth of the catalogue, where no single product is even one percent of sales, which makes Parker a one-stop supplier that a distributor or an OEM can standardise on, and the certified aerospace aftermarket, where only approved parts may be fitted. The counterweight is real competition in commodity industrial components, where many products face substitutes and price pressure.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Two thirds of sales sit in industrial end markets — construction and agricultural machinery, factory automation, trucks, energy, refrigeration — whose demand follows capital spending and moves with the industrial cycle; the company itself names cyclicality as a disclosed risk. Two things soften the swing. Replacement demand through distributors keeps flowing even when new-machine orders stall, because installed equipment still wears out. And the aerospace third of the business runs on a different clock: aircraft build rates and defence budgets, plus a spares and maintenance stream tied to flying hours rather than to new orders. Fiscal 2026 was an up-leg of that cycle, with sales rising 8.3 percent and organic growth of 6.6 percent.

主なリスク

  • Cyclical and uncertain end-market demand — The company discloses that macroeconomic uncertainty and the cyclical nature of the markets it serves can cause demand for its products to fluctuate, and that shifts in supply and demand may not be matched by its production and inventory decisions.
  • International operations and geopolitical exposure — A large part of sales is made outside the United States, exposing the company to currency movements, trade and tariff measures, political instability and differing legal and regulatory regimes in the countries where it manufactures and sells.
  • Raw material cost and supply availability — The company identifies volatility in the price and availability of raw materials and purchased components, and disruption of its supply chain, as risks to its cost structure and its ability to deliver on time.
  • Competition and the need to keep developing new products — Parker discloses that it competes in highly competitive markets and that failing to develop new products, or to bring them to market ahead of competitors, could cost it business.
  • Acquisitions and their integration — Growth partly depends on acquisitions; the company discloses the risk that it may not identify suitable targets, may not integrate acquired businesses successfully, and may not realise the benefits it expected from them.
  • Cybersecurity and information systems — The company discloses that cyber attacks, data breaches or failures of its information technology systems could disrupt operations, compromise confidential information and expose it to liability.

顧客集中度

The fiscal 2026 filing does not quantify how much of sales the largest customers represent. What it does say points to an unusually spread-out customer base: Parker serves several hundred thousand OEM and distributor customer locations, and no single product contributed more than one percent of total net sales in the year. In earlier filings the company stated that no single customer accounted for more than a low single-digit share of net sales, but that figure is not repeated for fiscal 2026, so treat concentration as undisclosed rather than measured.

強気材料

Buyers argue that the mix has quietly changed: aerospace, with its long programme lifecycles and certified aftermarket, is now a third of sales and growing faster than the industrial side, which makes the whole company less hostage to the industrial cycle than it used to be. They point to fiscal 2026 as evidence that the operating system works — record sales above $20 billion for the first time, adjusted segment operating margin up to 27.3 percent, record operating cash flow of $4.4 billion, and a record backlog of $12.8 billion that gives visibility into the next year. They also argue that the catalogue itself is the asset: hundreds of thousands of customer locations, no product worth even one percent of sales, and parts that are designed into machines rather than bid for each year. And they read the 70 consecutive fiscal years of dividend increases as a sign that the cash generation is structural rather than cyclical luck.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that fiscal 2026 was the top of the cycle rather than a new baseline. Record margins and a record backlog are reached at the point where industrial demand is strongest, and the company's own risk factors say demand fluctuates with macroeconomic conditions — a downturn in construction, agriculture or factory capital spending would hit two thirds of sales at once, with fixed costs already carried for peak volumes. They worry about the international half of the industrial segment, exposed to currency swings, tariffs and political disruption, and about raw-material and supply-chain volatility that the filing lists among its risks. They also note that growth has leaned on acquisitions, which brings integration risk and the possibility that expected benefits do not arrive, and that in commodity industrial components the competitive pressure the company discloses is genuine — the moat that holds in certified aerospace parts is thinner in a hydraulic fitting.

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 33.9Score: 64Market cap: $88.91B

Through its ASCO and AVENTICS lines Emerson sells solenoid valves, pneumatic actuators and fluid-control components to the same process and automation customers Parker targets.

P/E: 9.7Score: 61Market cap: $67.12B

Honeywell bids against Parker's Aerospace Systems segment for content on commercial and military aircraft programmes, including fuel systems, pneumatics and flight controls.

Eaton Corporation plcETN

Parker names Eaton as a primary global competitor in both of its segments, overlapping in fluid conveyance and filtration for industrial customers and in fuel, hydraulic and actuation systems sold to aircraft manufacturers.

Danfoss A/SNot tracked

Danfoss, which absorbed Eaton's hydraulics business in 2021, sells pumps, motors and valves for mobile and industrial hydraulics to the same off-highway and machinery builders Parker supplies.

Bosch Rexroth AGNot tracked

Bosch Rexroth competes with Parker across industrial hydraulics, pneumatics and electromechanical drives sold to factory-automation and mobile-equipment customers, especially in Europe.

Moog Inc.MOG.A

Moog competes head-on with Parker for precision motion-control and actuation systems on aircraft, launch vehicles and defence platforms.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$21.50B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$3.65B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$3.90B

自己資本合計

$15.40B

負債合計

$15.46B

流動比率

1.26

利払い倍率

12.64

負債/EBITDA

1.72

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$886.71

現在株価

$963.09

安全マージン

-8.6%

適正価値レンジ

$634.15 - $1139.28

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$1158.41
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$807.11
利益倍率(P/E):$762.13
グレアムの成長公式:$1031.76
収益力価値(EPV):$267.38
正当化されたP/B:$381.73
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$114.00
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:$549.19
売上高倍率:$478.40
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (27B / 7H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+8.89%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

33.55

ROE

23.7%

P/B レシオ

7.82

P/FCF

30.84

粗利益率

37.7%

ROIC

16.2%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

16.2%

WACC

10.2%

ROIC − WACC

+5.9 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.53%
  • Price CAGR 21.11%
  • ROIC 16.2%
  • Gross Margin 37.7%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 23.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 25.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 79% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.20
  • Share Dilution -1.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

不合格(7)

  • P/FCF 30.84
  • P/B Ratio 7.82
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG Ratio 2.05
  • Net Margin Trend 17.0% vs 17.8%

データなし(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

8/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

1.20

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-1.6%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Ms. Jennifer A. ParmentierChairman of the Board & CEO58
Mr. Andrew D. RossPresident & COO58
Mr. Todd M. LeombrunoExecutive VP & CFO55
Mr. Joseph R. Leonti J.D.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary53
Mr. Patrick M. ScottVP & President of Fluid Connectors Group47
Mr. Mark T. CzajaVP and Chief Technology & Innovation Officer63
Mr. Dinu J. ParelVP and Chief Digital & Information Officer44
Jeffrey J. MillerVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Aidan GormleyDirector of Global Communications & Branding-
Mr. Douglas A. GilbertVice President of Global Sales & Marketing-

監査リスク

8

取締役会リスク

4

報酬リスク

6

株主権利リスク

8

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-08-21

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-05-01

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-14

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PH, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/16/2026POSITIVE
    $100 Invested In Parker Hannifin 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Parker Hannifin Corporation 15 years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's long-term growth and value creation. While specific figures are not provided in the title, this type of analysis typically highlights substantial capital appreciation and dividend reinvestment. Parker Hannifin, a global leader in motion and control technologies, has a history of consistent performance, strategic acquisitions, and operational efficiency. Investors who held the stock over the past decade and a half have likely benefited from its resilience and ability to adapt to market dynamics, making it a potentially attractive long-term holding.

  • 3/2/2026NEUTRAL
    Is the Market Bullish or Bearish on Parker Hannifin Corp?

    Markets Gazette is closely monitoring Parker Hannifin Corp, but today's analysis is hindered by a significant lack of concrete information. The question posed by the headline, 'Is the Market Bullish or Bearish on Parker Hannifin Corp?', remains unanswered due to the absence of financial data, operational news, or future outlook within the provided content. Investors are left with uncertainty regarding the true market sentiment for this prominent manufacturing sector company. Without key elements such as quarterly results, partnership announcements, or regulatory developments, it is impossible to outline a clear direction for the PH stock. Future updates are awaited to formulate a more precise and informed assessment.

via Markets Gazette