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D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS)

割安
TechnologyComputer HardwareUnited States

ファンダメンタル

29

株価

$16.70

時価総額

$6.64B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

D-Wave builds quantum computers that use a physical technique called quantum annealing, tuned for optimization problems — finding the best arrangement among a huge number of possibilities, such as scheduling or routing. Customers reach the machines mostly over the cloud rather than buying one outright, though some research institutions and government labs do buy systems for on-site use. In January 2026 the company agreed to acquire Quantum Circuits to add a second, gate-model quantum computing approach.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from three sources: cloud subscription access to its quantum computers through the Leap platform, professional services helping customers build quantum applications, and outright sales of on-premises Advantage2 systems to research institutions and government buyers. System sales are large but infrequent, so revenue is described as lumpy — a single contract can move a quarter's results — rather than a smooth recurring stream.

競争優位性(moat)

特許・ライセンス · 狭い

D-Wave describes itself as the first company to deliver commercial-grade annealing quantum computing and the only vendor offering both annealing and, after the Quantum Circuits deal, gate-model systems. That head start is backed by patents, but the company itself lists patent validity and third-party infringement claims as risks, and warns that global competition — from both quantum and classical computing rivals — is intense.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Much of the revenue comes from large, infrequent system sales and multi-year research or government contracts rather than steady recurring usage, so results swing with the timing of a handful of deals. The company itself has flagged that if even one expected contract slips, it changes the picture for that period, making revenue more lumpy than tied to a broad economic cycle.

主なリスク

  • History of losses — The company states it has a history of losses and expects significant expenses and continuing losses for the foreseeable future as it builds out its technology and commercial base.
  • May need more capital sooner than planned — The company warns it may need additional financing sooner than expected and cannot guarantee it will be available on acceptable terms.
  • Intense global competition — The industry is competitive on a global scale from both quantum computing rivals and classical computing alternatives that can solve some of the same problems.
  • Unproven market adoption — Cloud-based quantum computing is a relatively new and unproven market, and the company cannot be certain that demand will develop as expected.
  • Intellectual property protection — The company may be unable to obtain, maintain or defend its patents, and third parties could bring infringement claims that are costly to fight regardless of outcome.

強気材料

Buyers argue that being first to commercial-grade annealing quantum computing, now paired with a gate-model capability through the Quantum Circuits acquisition, gives D-Wave a technology lead just as government and enterprise interest in quantum computing accelerates, and that a fully funded cash position removes near-term financing risk.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that revenue still depends on a small number of large, unpredictable system sales and research contracts, that commercial demand for quantum computing remains unproven at scale, and that a long history of losses means the business has yet to show it can fund itself from operations rather than continued equity raises.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$12M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$-249M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$-76M

自己資本合計

$852M

負債合計

$64M

流動比率

20.55

利払い倍率

25.01

負債/EBITDA

-

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$34.65

現在株価

$16.70

安全マージン

+51.8%

適正価値レンジ

$32.92 - $36.38

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$34.65
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
利益倍率(P/E):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
グレアムの成長公式:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
収益力価値(EPV):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
正当化されたP/B:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$0.17
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (21B / 2H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-14.19%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

-

ROE

-41.7%

P/B レシオ

5.65

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

64.2%

ROIC

-11.9%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

-11.9%

WACC

16.9%

ROIC − WACC

-28.8 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(9)

  • Price CAGR 8.32%
  • Gross Margin 64.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 36.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 88% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 16.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

不合格(11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC -11.9%
  • P/B Ratio 5.65
  • Operating Margin -1372.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -26.7%
  • Share Dilution 66.7%
  • Net Margin Trend -2001.6% vs -1263.9%

データなし(7)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-スコア

5/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

-

低品質:会計処理を調査してください

株式希薄化

66.7%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Dr. Alan E. Baratz Ph.D.President, CEO & Director70
Ms. Diane NguyenExecutive VP, Chief Legal Officer & General Counsel40
Mr. Eric LadizinskyCo-Founder & Chief Scientist-
Mr. Greg GolkovActing CFO and Principal Financial & Accounting Officer48
Mr. Stanley T. Black CISSPExecutive VP & Chief Information Security Officer59
Mr. Kevin M. HuntSenior Director of Investor Relations-
Ms. Allison SchwartzSenior Vice President of Global Government Relations & Public Affairs-
Ms. Michelle MaggsSenior Vice President of Marketing-
Ms. Sophie C. AmesExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer60
Mr. Trevor LantingChief Development Officer-

監査リスク

2

取締役会リスク

4

報酬リスク

8

株主権利リスク

8

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-26

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-06

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-10-01

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for QBTS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/5/2026POSITIVE
    D-Wave CEO Says Quantum Computing Is Moving Into Daily Business Operations After $10 Million Deal With Fortune 100 Firm

    D-Wave Quantum Inc. has secured a significant $10 million deal with an unnamed Fortune 100 company, marking a pivotal moment for quantum computing's integration into daily business operations. This agreement is expected to unlock an additional $120 million in active Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) revenue capacity. The deal validates the tangible return on investment (ROI) for quantum computing solutions, signaling a maturation of the technology from theoretical applications to practical enterprise use. Investors should note this development as a key indicator of D-Wave's market traction and the broader potential for quantum computing adoption.

  • 5/22/2026NEUTRAL
    D-Wave Vice President Sophie Ames Sells $437,000 Worth Of Shares: QBTS Stock Is Trending Overnight

    D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) saw its shares trending overnight following reports of potential quantum funding from Donald Trump and an insider stock sale. Vice President Sophie Ames sold $437,000 worth of shares. While insider selling can sometimes signal a lack of confidence, the concurrent news of potential government quantum initiatives provides a counterbalancing factor. Investors are weighing the implications of both events, leading to mixed sentiment and increased trading activity.

  • 5/13/2026POSITIVE
    D-Wave Quantum Bookings Surge 16x To $32 Million In Q1

    D-Wave Quantum Inc. reported a significant surge in Q1 bookings, reaching $32 million, a 16-fold increase. Analyst John McPeake from Rosenblatt maintained a $43 price target, underscoring the company's strong performance. The upcoming Analyst Day on June 1st is also a key event to watch. This substantial growth in bookings indicates strong market demand for D-Wave's quantum computing solutions and suggests positive future revenue potential, which is a key indicator for investors in the high-growth technology sector.

  • 2/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Why D-Wave Quantum Computing Stock Crashed Today

    D-Wave Systems Inc., a pioneer in the quantum computing sector, experienced a significant stock price crash, reflecting growing investor concerns about its financial performance. The company continues to face operational losses and shrinking orders, signals that point to persistent market challenges. Despite the current situation, management has expressed cautious optimism, suggesting that positive free cash flow could be just around the corner. This future outlook, however, was not enough to mitigate the impact of the immediate negative news, prompting investors to liquidate positions. The market now awaits concrete evidence of D-Wave's ability to turn the tide.

  • 2/26/2026POSITIVE
    Why D-Wave Quantum Stock Popped Thursday Morning

    D-Wave Quantum Inc. has kicked off 2026 with a significant boost, securing a substantial $20 million order. This contract, announced Thursday morning, has fueled investor optimism, leading to a notable surge in the stock price. For market participants, an order of this magnitude not only strengthens the company's near-term revenue prospects in the quantum computing sector but also signals growing confidence and adoption of its innovative technologies. This development suggests a solid foundation for future growth and could attract further interest from institutional and retail investors, positioning D-Wave for a promising fiscal year.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    D-Wave (QBTS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    D-Wave (QBTS) has announced the release of the Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While specific details are not yet available, this event is crucial for investors seeking to delve into the company's financial performance and future outlook within the quantum computing sector. Analyzing such transcripts allows investors to grasp management strategies, challenges faced, and growth opportunities, providing essential insights for evaluating an investment in D-Wave and its competitive positioning in a rapidly evolving market.

  • 2/25/2026NEGATIVE
    Software Bear Market: Should You Buy the Dip in D-Wave Quantum Stock Right Now?

    The software sector is currently experiencing a significant downturn, marked by a historic drop in stock prices. Despite rising artificial intelligence infrastructure budgets and breakthroughs in generative AI models, which might otherwise be seen as positive catalysts, the market is reacting with a broad contraction. This "bear market" environment raises questions about the advisability of buying stocks like D-Wave Quantum Inc. at this time. Investors must carefully assess whether the current decline represents a long-term buying opportunity or a signal of further challenges for the sector, given the ongoing downward pressure.

  • 2/23/2026NEGATIVE
    Down 60%, Should You Buy the Dip on D-Wave Quantum?

    Shares of D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), a pioneer in quantum computing, have plummeted by 60%, raising questions about a potential 'buy the dip' opportunity. However, a deeper analysis reveals a complex picture. Even after the dramatic pullback, the stock continues to trade at a 'hefty premium.' This indicates that the company's valuation remains elevated relative to its current fundamentals, suggesting the market had previously priced in extremely optimistic growth expectations. For investors, this serves as a cautionary signal. The steep drop may not be enough to justify an entry, as the risk of further downside remains tangible until the valuation aligns with more realistic prospects. While the technology is promising, the stock's price is still considered too high.

via Markets Gazette