Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)
適正価値ファンダメンタル
67
株価
$235.16
時価総額
$21.39B
パート1 · 企業の価値
概要
Royal Gold provides upfront cash to mining companies that need capital to build or expand a mine, and in exchange receives either a royalty — a percentage of the mine's future revenue or production — or a stream, the right to buy a fixed share of future gold, silver or copper output at a low, fixed price. It owns interests in dozens of mines and exploration projects worldwide but does not operate any of them, employing only a small corporate staff.
収益の仕組み
Revenue is recognized when Royal Gold sells the metal it receives, at prevailing market prices, so it captures the full upside of higher gold, silver and copper prices without spending on exploration, construction or day-to-day mining costs. Stream ounces are bought at a fixed cost far below the market price, so streams carry the widest margins; royalties cost nothing to Royal Gold at all, since they are simply a contractual cut of someone else's production or revenue.
セグメント別売上高
The right to buy a fixed share of a mine's future gold, silver or copper output at a low, contractually fixed price — Royal Gold's highest-margin revenue.
A contractual percentage of a mine's revenue or production, paid with no cost to Royal Gold and no exposure to operating costs.
競争優位性(moat)
特許・ライセンス · 狭いEach royalty or stream is a unique, long-lived contract, often lasting the entire life of a mine, built through decades of relationships with mining companies and hard-to-replicate deal expertise. That portfolio of contracts cannot easily be copied, but Royal Gold still competes for every new deal against Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals and mining companies' own balance sheets.
需要を左右する要因
景気循環型Revenue moves directly with gold, silver and copper prices and with the production volumes of the mines Royal Gold has interests in, both of which swing with commodity cycles and broader risk appetite. Because Royal Gold has no control over operating decisions at those mines, its results also depend on production choices made entirely by other companies.
主なリスク
- Concentration in a handful of large mines — A large share of revenue comes from a small number of mines such as Mount Milligan, Pueblo Viejo and Khoemacau. An operational setback, strike or geological problem at any one of them would disproportionately hit results.
- No operating control — Royal Gold does not operate any of the mines it has interests in and cannot control production schedules, cost decisions or mine-life extensions; it simply receives what the operator chooses to deliver.
- Commodity price exposure — Revenue rises and falls with gold, silver and copper prices, which Royal Gold does not hedge and cannot control; a sustained price decline would reduce revenue even if production stayed constant.
- Reserve depletion and reinvestment risk — Every mine eventually depletes its reserves, so Royal Gold must continually strike new royalty and stream deals to replace declining production, and there is no guarantee future deals will be as attractive as past ones.
強気材料
Buyers argue that Royal Gold captures the full upside of rising gold, silver and copper prices without bearing mining, construction or exploration costs, and that its portfolio of long-lived contracts across dozens of mines gives it exposure that is diversified even though management is not.
弱気材料
Sellers fear that revenue is concentrated in a handful of mines it does not control, that a sustained fall in metal prices would hit results directly, and that replacing depleting mines with equally attractive new deals gets harder as competition for royalty and streaming agreements increases.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
貸借対照表と流動性
売上高
$1.55B
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
純利益
$738M
直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)
フリーキャッシュフロー
-
自己資本合計
$7.16B
負債合計
$2.33B
流動比率
2.92
利払い倍率
-
負債/EBITDA
0.49
一株当たり利益(EPS)
売上高と純利益
フリーキャッシュフロー
収益内訳
財務推移表
利益率の推移
負債の推移
負債の重さ
成長率グリッド
成長率 — 売上高
適正価値の推定
適正価値
$199.40
現在株価
$235.16
安全マージン
-17.9%
適正価値レンジ
$129.61 - $269.18
使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。
推定方法
バリュエーション指標
P/E レシオ
26.11
ROE
6.5%
P/B レシオ
2.64
P/FCF
-
粗利益率
66.8%
ROIC
8.1%
収益性レーダー
価値創造(経済的モート)
ROIC
8.1%
WACC
7.8%
ROIC − WACC
+0.2 pp
ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。
ファンダメンタル分析基準
合格(16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 11.38%
- Price CAGR 14.84%
- ROIC 8.1%
- Gross Margin 66.8%
- P/B Ratio 2.64
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 61.4%
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 11.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 10.8%
- Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.42
不合格(7)
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Earnings Surprise avg -4.7%
- PEG Ratio 3.68
- Share Dilution 5.8%
- Net Margin Trend 47.7% vs 56.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
データなし(5)
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-スコア
まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要
利益の質
高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている
株式希薄化
新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している
機関投資家の保有
ガバナンス
経営陣
| 氏名 | 役職 | 年齢 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. William H. Heissenbuttel | President, CEO & Director | 60 |
| Mr. Paul K. Libner | Senior VP & CFO | 51 |
| Dr. Martin Raffield P.Eng., Ph.D. | Senior Vice President of Operations | 56 |
| Mr. Randy Shefman J.D. | Senior VP & General Counsel | 51 |
| Mr. Daniel K. Breeze | Senior Vice President of Corporate Development - RGLD Gold AG | 52 |
| Mr. Alistair Baker | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Business Development of Royal Gold Corp. | - |
| Mr. David R. Crandall Esq. | VP, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer | 42 |
| Mr. Jason Franklin Hynes B.Sc., M.B.A. | Senior Vice President of Strategy & Business Development of Royal Gold Corp | 47 |
監査リスク
3
取締役会リスク
3
報酬リスク
1
株主権利リスク
2
パート2 · 株価と買い時
この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。
業績推移
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for RGLD, sourced from Markets Gazette.