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Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)

適正価値
Basic MaterialsGoldUnited States

ファンダメンタル

67

株価

$235.16

時価総額

$21.39B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Royal Gold provides upfront cash to mining companies that need capital to build or expand a mine, and in exchange receives either a royalty — a percentage of the mine's future revenue or production — or a stream, the right to buy a fixed share of future gold, silver or copper output at a low, fixed price. It owns interests in dozens of mines and exploration projects worldwide but does not operate any of them, employing only a small corporate staff.

収益の仕組み

Revenue is recognized when Royal Gold sells the metal it receives, at prevailing market prices, so it captures the full upside of higher gold, silver and copper prices without spending on exploration, construction or day-to-day mining costs. Stream ounces are bought at a fixed cost far below the market price, so streams carry the widest margins; royalties cost nothing to Royal Gold at all, since they are simply a contractual cut of someone else's production or revenue.

セグメント別売上高

Stream66.63%

The right to buy a fixed share of a mine's future gold, silver or copper output at a low, contractually fixed price — Royal Gold's highest-margin revenue.

Royalty33.39%

A contractual percentage of a mine's revenue or production, paid with no cost to Royal Gold and no exposure to operating costs.

競争優位性(moat)

特許・ライセンス · 狭い

Each royalty or stream is a unique, long-lived contract, often lasting the entire life of a mine, built through decades of relationships with mining companies and hard-to-replicate deal expertise. That portfolio of contracts cannot easily be copied, but Royal Gold still competes for every new deal against Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals and mining companies' own balance sheets.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Revenue moves directly with gold, silver and copper prices and with the production volumes of the mines Royal Gold has interests in, both of which swing with commodity cycles and broader risk appetite. Because Royal Gold has no control over operating decisions at those mines, its results also depend on production choices made entirely by other companies.

主なリスク

  • Concentration in a handful of large mines — A large share of revenue comes from a small number of mines such as Mount Milligan, Pueblo Viejo and Khoemacau. An operational setback, strike or geological problem at any one of them would disproportionately hit results.
  • No operating control — Royal Gold does not operate any of the mines it has interests in and cannot control production schedules, cost decisions or mine-life extensions; it simply receives what the operator chooses to deliver.
  • Commodity price exposure — Revenue rises and falls with gold, silver and copper prices, which Royal Gold does not hedge and cannot control; a sustained price decline would reduce revenue even if production stayed constant.
  • Reserve depletion and reinvestment risk — Every mine eventually depletes its reserves, so Royal Gold must continually strike new royalty and stream deals to replace declining production, and there is no guarantee future deals will be as attractive as past ones.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Royal Gold captures the full upside of rising gold, silver and copper prices without bearing mining, construction or exploration costs, and that its portfolio of long-lived contracts across dozens of mines gives it exposure that is diversified even though management is not.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that revenue is concentrated in a handful of mines it does not control, that a sustained fall in metal prices would hit results directly, and that replacing depleting mines with equally attractive new deals gets harder as competition for royalty and streaming agreements increases.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$1.55B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$738M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

-

自己資本合計

$7.16B

負債合計

$2.33B

流動比率

2.92

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

0.49

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

景気循環株適正価値

適正価値

$199.40

現在株価

$235.16

安全マージン

-17.9%

適正価値レンジ

$129.61 - $269.18

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$307.33
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):この種の企業には適用されません
利益倍率(P/E):$187.76
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$110.32
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):この種の企業には適用されません
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:$165.89
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (17B / 3H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-6.86%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

26.11

ROE

6.5%

P/B レシオ

2.64

P/FCF

-

粗利益率

66.8%

ROIC

8.1%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

8.1%

WACC

7.8%

ROIC − WACC

+0.2 pp

ROICはおおむね資本コストと同水準です。企業はかろうじて資本コストを賄えている状態です。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 11.38%
  • Price CAGR 14.84%
  • ROIC 8.1%
  • Gross Margin 66.8%
  • P/B Ratio 2.64
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 61.4%
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 11.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.42

不合格(7)

  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -4.7%
  • PEG Ratio 3.68
  • Share Dilution 5.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 47.7% vs 56.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

データなし(5)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-スコア

4/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

1.42

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

5.8%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. William H. HeissenbuttelPresident, CEO & Director60
Mr. Paul K. LibnerSenior VP & CFO51
Dr. Martin Raffield P.Eng., Ph.D.Senior Vice President of Operations56
Mr. Randy Shefman J.D.Senior VP & General Counsel51
Mr. Daniel K. BreezeSenior Vice President of Corporate Development - RGLD Gold AG52
Mr. Alistair BakerSenior Vice President of Investor Relations & Business Development of Royal Gold Corp.-
Mr. David R. Crandall Esq.VP, Corporate Secretary & Chief Compliance Officer42
Mr. Jason Franklin Hynes B.Sc., M.B.A.Senior Vice President of Strategy & Business Development of Royal Gold Corp47

監査リスク

3

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

1

株主権利リスク

2

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-19

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-06

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-08-05

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for RGLD, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for RGLD.