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The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)

割安
Consumer CyclicalApparel RetailUnited States

ファンダメンタル

71

株価

$132.97

時価総額

$145.41B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

TJX runs off-price retail chains — T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, Sierra, Winners, TK Maxx and others — that sell name-brand clothing, home goods and accessories at 20% to 60% below regular retail prices. It buys inventory opportunistically from manufacturers with excess stock, cancelled orders or overruns, rather than commissioning goods to order, and turns that merchandise over quickly across thousands of stores in the United States, Canada and Europe.

収益の仕組み

Revenue comes from selling merchandise at the register, with profitability driven less by markup on any single item and more by buying deeply discounted goods and moving them fast enough that inventory rarely sits idle or needs markdowns. Store leases are typically short and flexible compared with full-price chains, letting TJX expand, relocate or close locations without the long-term commitments that weigh on traditional retailers.

セグメント別売上高

Marmaxx60.6%

T.J. Maxx and Marshalls stores in the United States, TJX's largest and oldest chain group.

HomeGoods16.6%

US home decor, furniture and housewares stores, including the combined HomeGoods/Homesense format.

TJX International13.6%

TK Maxx and Homesense stores across Europe, plus TJX's operations in Australia.

TJX Canada9.3%

Winners, HomeSense and Marshalls stores across Canada.

需要を左右する要因

中程度の景気循環性

Off-price retail tends to hold up better than full-price retail in a downturn, since value-seeking shoppers trade down to it, but it is not immune to weak consumer spending overall. Results also depend on execution rather than the economy alone: the company must keep finding enough attractively priced, in-demand merchandise to fill its stores, and trade tariffs on imported goods add a cost pressure it does not fully control.

主なリスク

  • Execution of the opportunistic buying strategy — The off-price model depends on opportunistic buying, lean inventories and frequent merchandise turns; failing to execute this strategy or manage inventory well could adversely affect results.
  • Tariffs and trade policy — Changes in trade policies and tariffs could adversely affect operations, with continued uncertainty around the impact on direct and indirect imports, vendor and competitor pricing, and tariff pass-throughs.
  • Cybersecurity incidents — The company flags a heightened risk of cybersecurity incidents tied to geopolitical events, in an increasingly demanding regulatory environment where a compromise could bring regulatory enforcement, class actions or contract liability.
  • Competition and macroeconomic uncertainty — The filing cites intense competition, global sourcing and supply chain complexity, labor costs and macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty among the extensive risk factors affecting the business.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$62.36B

直近12か月(2026/8/1まで)

純利益

$6.07B

直近12か月(2026/8/1まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$4.92B

自己資本合計

$10.19B

負債合計

$25.58B

流動比率

1.15

利払い倍率

-

負債/EBITDA

1.61

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$190.41

現在株価

$132.97

安全マージン

+30.2%

適正価値レンジ

$123.77 - $257.06

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$169.80
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$291.84
利益倍率(P/E):$127.25
グレアムの成長公式:$278.51
収益力価値(EPV):$69.96
正当化されたP/B:$128.33
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$43.02
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$98.05
中間サイクル利益:$99.55
売上高倍率:$95.70
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (21B / 5H / 1S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+1.63%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

24.50

ROE

53.9%

P/B レシオ

13.66

P/FCF

24.77

粗利益率

32.0%

ROIC

-

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

-

WACC

7.3%

ROIC − WACC

-

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 6.16%
  • Price CAGR 13.36%
  • Gross Margin 32.0%
  • P/FCF 24.77
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 59.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.8%
  • PEG Ratio 0.18
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.32
  • Share Dilution -1.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 9.7% vs 8.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

不合格(4)

  • P/B Ratio 13.66
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

データなし(4)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-スコア

7/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

1.32

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-1.2%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Ms. Carol M. MeyrowitzExecutive Chairman71
Mr. Ernie L. HerrmanCEO, President & Director64
Mr. John KlingerSenior Executive VP & CFO60
Mr. Kenneth CanestrariSenior EVP & Group President63
Mr. Douglas W. MizziSenior EVP & Group President65
Mr. Bernard CammarataFounder & Executive Advisor85
Mr. Jeff BotteVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Alicia C. KellyExecutive VP, Secretary & General Counsel-
Ms. Debra McConnellSenior Vice President of Global Communications-
Peter BenjaminSenior EVP & Group President62

監査リスク

9

取締役会リスク

6

報酬リスク

7

株主権利リスク

4

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-03-31

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-28

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-17

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TJX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/20/2026NEUTRAL
    TJX Is a Reliable Off-Price Retailer, But for Investors, Is the Premium Too High?

    TJX Companies, a leader in the off-price retail sector, continues to report robust financial performance. However, the company faces challenges related to its mature U.S. store base. Investors are evaluating whether the current premium valuation is justified, given the management's imperative to identify and execute new growth avenues beyond its established domestic market. The company's ability to innovate and expand into new territories or product lines will be crucial for sustaining its growth trajectory and shareholder value.

  • 5/20/2026NEUTRAL
    TJX Companies Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

    TJX Companies Inc. released its Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript on May 20, 2026. While the transcript itself is informational, it does not contain forward-looking guidance or specific performance metrics that would immediately impact the stock price. Investors will need to analyze the details within the transcript to gauge management's sentiment on future sales, margins, and strategic initiatives. The absence of new guidance or significant announcements in the provided information suggests a neutral immediate market reaction, pending deeper analysis of the call's content.

  • 5/20/2026POSITIVE
    Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp TJX Expectations Ahead Of Q1 Earnings

    TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX) is set to report its Q1 earnings on May 20th, with analysts forecasting earnings per share of $1.00 and revenue of $14.01 billion. Adding to the positive outlook, the company recently announced a significant 13% increase in its stock dividend. This dividend hike, coupled with analyst ratings from major firms like Morgan Stanley (Overweight), Credit Suisse (Outperform), and Deutsche Bank (Buy), suggests strong confidence in TJX's financial performance and future growth prospects. Investors will be closely watching the earnings release for confirmation of these optimistic expectations.

  • 3/27/2026POSITIVE
    How retailers like TJX can actually benefit from higher fuel costs and shipping delays

    The TJX Companies Inc. is poised to benefit from geopolitical disruptions, specifically the ongoing Iran war, which is exacerbating shipping delays and increasing unwanted inventory for full-priced retailers. As an off-price chain, TJX can capitalize on this situation by acquiring excess inventory at discounted prices. This strategic advantage allows TJX to offer compelling value to consumers while potentially improving its margins, positioning the company favorably amidst broader market challenges.

  • 3/13/2026POSITIVE
    $100 Invested In TJX Companies 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in TJX Companies (TJX) made 20 years ago would have grown substantially, highlighting the company's long-term performance. While specific figures are not provided in the title, such an article typically details significant capital appreciation and dividend reinvestment, showcasing TJX's consistent growth and market resilience. This suggests strong operational execution and strategic expansion over two decades, making it a potentially attractive stock for investors seeking long-term value and compounding returns. The article implies a robust historical performance that may continue to benefit shareholders.

  • 2/26/2026POSITIVE
    TJX Delivers Q4 Beat, Analysts Praise 'Notable MarMaxx Strength'

    Shares of The TJX Companies, Inc. surged following the release of its fourth-quarter results, which significantly surpassed analyst expectations for both sales and earnings. The robust performance was notably driven by "MarMaxx Strength," underscoring the solid operational execution of the retail giant. Market analysts responded with widespread optimism, reaffirming positive ratings such as "Overweight" and "Outperform" and subsequently raising their price targets. This positive outlook suggests a favorable environment for investors, indicating effective company management and a market sentiment conducive to further stock appreciation in the near to medium term.

  • 2/25/2026NEGATIVE
    Why TJX Companies Stock Sank Today

    TJX Companies Inc. stock experienced a significant decline today, despite reporting fourth-quarter results that surpassed analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings. Investor concerns were primarily driven by the company's forward-looking guidance, which failed to reassure the market about its near-term growth prospects. This reaction underscores the critical importance investors place on future projections over past performance, particularly in an uncertain economic climate. The negative market sentiment suggests that the outlook provided was perceived as disappointing, overshadowing an otherwise strong current performance.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    TJX (TJX) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    Markets Gazette reports the release of the Q4 2026 earnings call transcript for TJX Companies Inc. (TJX) on February 25, 2026. While the specific content of the transcript is not yet available for detailed analysis, the publication of such documents is a standard event in the financial calendar of any publicly traded company. Investors eagerly await details regarding financial performance, future forecasts, and management commentary. Analyzing this data is crucial for assessing the company's operational health, its ability to generate profits, and growth prospects in the off-price retail sector. Market reaction will depend on the interpretation of the results and guidance provided.

  • 2/25/2026POSITIVE
    Off-Price Retailer TJX Delivers Strong Quarter As Value Shoppers Rush In

    TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX) has reported exceptional quarterly results, significantly surpassing analyst expectations and driving a notable increase in its stock value. The company further pleased investors by announcing a new share buyback program and a dividend hike, clear indicators of confidence in its financial strength and future prospects. These developments highlight a strong appeal to value-conscious consumers, solidifying TJX's position in the off-price retail sector. Investors should closely monitor the long-term impact of these strategic moves on performance and shareholder returns.

via Markets Gazette