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TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX)

適正価値
HealthcareMedical DevicesUnited States

ファンダメンタル

64

株価

$79.00

時価総額

$2.88B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally. The company provides Organ Care System (OCS), a portable organ perfusion, optimization, and monitoring system that utilizes its proprietary and customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside of the human body. Its OCS includes OCS LUNG for the preservation of standard criteria donor lungs for double-lung transplantation; OCS Heart, a technology for preservation of DBD donor hearts deemed unsuitable due to limitations of cold storage and for ex vivo reanimation, functional monitoring, and beating-heart preservation of donation-after-circulatory-death hearts; and OCS Liver for the preservation of DBD and DCD of donor livers. The company also developed national OCS program, a turnkey solution for outsourced organ retrieval; and provides OCS organ management and logistics services, including aviation and ground transportation, and other coordination activity. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.

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貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$668M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$152M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$134M

自己資本合計

$473M

負債合計

$595M

流動比率

6.62

利払い倍率

3.84

負債/EBITDA

6.39

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース適正価値

適正価値

$85.86

現在株価

$79.00

安全マージン

+8.0%

適正価値レンジ

$55.81 - $115.92

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$97.30
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$37.17
利益倍率(P/E):$166.18
グレアムの成長公式:$62.84
収益力価値(EPV):$9.71
正当化されたP/B:$30.44
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):算出に必要なデータが不足しています
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$100.35
中間サイクル利益:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
売上高倍率:$64.70
アナリスト・コンセンサス:買い (13B / 6H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-8.87%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

21.62

ROE

40.2%

P/B レシオ

5.59

P/FCF

36.61

粗利益率

58.7%

ROIC

4.7%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

12.8%

ROIC − WACC

-8.1 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 24.27%
  • Gross Margin 58.7%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 33.0%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 88.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 68% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 14.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.96
  • Net Margin Trend 22.7% vs 13.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

不合格(8)

  • ROIC 4.7%
  • P/FCF 36.61
  • P/B Ratio 5.59
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Share Dilution 11.3%

データなし(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

7/9

財務健全性が高い

score
criteria

利益の質

0.96

中程度:利益とキャッシュの間にギャップがある

株式希薄化

11.3%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Dr. Waleed H. Hassanein M.D.Founder, President, CEO & Director57
Mr. Anil RanganathAdvisor43
Mr. Matthew ForsythSenior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary-
Ms. Miriam C. Provost Ph.D.Vice President of Global Regulatory Affairs64

監査リスク

10

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

7

株主権利リスク

3

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-24

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-04

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-10

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TMDX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/8/2026POSITIVE
    TransMedics Stock Is Up 104% Over the Last Year: Is It Too Late to Buy for 2026?

    TransMedics Group Inc. has demonstrated remarkable growth, with its stock price surging 104% over the past year. The company is recognized for its innovative approach to revolutionizing the organ transplant industry. Despite this impressive performance, market sentiment remains divided, with some analysts labeling the stock as 'overvalued.' Investors are now contemplating whether the significant gains made thus far leave room for further appreciation by 2026, balancing the company's disruptive potential against current valuation concerns.

  • 2/28/2026POSITIVE
    Got $5,000? TransMedics Could Be a High‑Tech Organ Transplant Moonshot

    TransMedics Group, Inc., a mid-cap healthcare specialist, is drawing investor attention as a potential 'moonshot' in the high-tech organ transplant sector. The company, focused on advanced solutions for organ preservation and transport, is seen as a significant investment opportunity for those seeking growth in innovative medical fields. Analysts suggest that with an initial capital of around $5,000, investors might consider a deeper look into this company, given its prominent position in a market segment with high expansion potential and technological innovation. Its technology could revolutionize current practices, offering attractive long-term return prospects.

via Markets Gazette