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Vistra Corp (VST)

割高
UtilitiesUtilities - Independent Power ProducersUnited States

ファンダメンタル

60

株価

$138.35

時価総額

$46.32B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

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Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$18.98B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$2.22B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$1.32B

自己資本合計

$5.10B

負債合計

$36.44B

流動比率

0.97

利払い倍率

3.15

負債/EBITDA

5.03

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

規制公益事業割高

適正価値

$104.19

現在株価

$138.35

安全マージン

-32.8%

適正価値レンジ

$67.72 - $140.65

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$217.58
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$144.30
利益倍率(P/E):$81.94
グレアムの成長公式:この種の企業には適用されません
収益力価値(EPV):$69.62
正当化されたP/B:この種の企業には適用されません
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$18.86
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):この種の企業には適用されません
中間サイクル利益:この種の企業には適用されません
売上高倍率:この種の企業には適用されません
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (22B / 2H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:-55.13%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

23.33

ROE

18.5%

P/B レシオ

8.47

P/FCF

20.59

粗利益率

-

ROIC

8.8%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

8.8%

WACC

9.9%

ROIC − WACC

-1.1 pp

ROICが資本コストを下回っています。投資した1ドルごとに企業は価値を破壊しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 25.35%
  • ROIC 8.8%
  • P/FCF 20.59
  • Operating Margin 18.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 41.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 92% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.31
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.31

不合格(10)

  • P/B Ratio 8.47
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -9.4%
  • Share Dilution 14.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 11.7% vs 14.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

データなし(2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-スコア

4/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

2.31

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

14.0%

新株を発行しており、所有権を希薄化している

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. James A. Burke CPAPresident, CEO & Director57
Mr. Kristopher E. MoldovanExecutive VP & CFO53
Ms. Stephanie Zapata MooreExecutive VP, General Counsel & Chief Compliance Officer52
Ms. Stacey H. Dore J.D.Chief Strategy and Sustainability Officer & Executive VP of Public Affairs52
Mr. Scott A. HudsonExecutive VP & President of Retail61
Ms. Margaret M. MontemayorSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller47
Mr. Tom FarrahSenior VP & CIO-
Mr. Eric Micek C.F.A.Vice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Amanda DonCarlosSenior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer-
Ms. Sano BlockerSenior Vice President of Government Affairs-

監査リスク

4

取締役会リスク

1

報酬リスク

2

株主権利リスク

5

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-02-27

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-10

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-24

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for VST, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/18/2026NEUTRAL
    Cramer Gives Vistra His Blessing, Backs Stryker, Steers Clear Of AI-Exposed FICO

    Jim Cramer has given his endorsement to Vistra Corp., signaling a positive outlook for the energy company. However, Cramer expressed significant caution regarding Fair Isaac Corp. (FICO), citing concerns over its exposure to Artificial Intelligence risks. He explicitly stated his intention to avoid FICO due to these perceived vulnerabilities. While Vistra receives a bullish call, the commentary on FICO suggests potential headwinds for companies heavily reliant on AI integration, impacting investor sentiment for those specific names.

  • 6/9/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Vistra 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $100 in Vistra Energy Corp. (VST) five years ago would have grown to approximately $780 by June 2026. This represents a substantial return on investment, significantly outperforming broader market indices over the same period. The company's performance is attributed to its strategic operations in the energy sector, including power generation and retail electricity services. Investors considering Vistra should analyze its current valuation, future growth prospects, and the competitive landscape within the evolving energy market.

  • 4/14/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Vistra 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Vistra Energy Corp. five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance and growth trajectory during that period. While specific figures are not provided in the title, the implication of substantial value appreciation suggests robust operational execution, strategic acquisitions, or favorable market conditions benefiting the energy sector. Investors considering Vistra should analyze its recent financial reports and future outlook to understand the drivers behind this historical performance and its potential for continued success.

  • 3/6/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $100 In Vistra Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Vistra Corp. (VST) five years ago would have yielded a significant return, demonstrating strong performance for shareholders. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the implication of a substantial increase suggests Vistra has outperformed market expectations during this period. This historical performance could indicate robust operational efficiency, strategic growth initiatives, or favorable market conditions benefiting the company's sector. Investors considering Vistra should note this historical trend as a potential indicator of future value creation, though past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

  • 2/26/2026NEUTRAL
    Vistra (VST) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Vistra Corp. has announced the release of its Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While this is a routine event for publicly traded companies, the absence of specific content details from the call prevents in-depth analysis. Investors typically look to these documents to assess the company's financial performance, future outlook, and management commentary on strategies and challenges. Without this information, the market awaits concrete data to form judgments on the stock's trajectory. The transcript serves as a benchmark for transparency, but its market impact hinges on the disclosed figures and statements.

  • 2/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Preview: Vistra's Earnings

    The financial community is gearing up for the upcoming release of Vistra Corp.'s quarterly earnings, a key event scheduled for February 25, 2026. Investors will closely scrutinize the data to assess the company's financial health and its future trajectory within the energy sector. Focus will not only be on revenue and earnings per share but also on the guidance provided by management regarding the outlook for the coming quarters and the impact of market dynamics on operations. Past performance and analyst expectations will serve as benchmarks for interpreting the results, with any significant deviation potentially triggering price movements. This announcement represents a crucial moment for those holding or considering investing in Vistra, offering fundamental insights for portfolio decisions.

  • 2/24/2026POSITIVE
    Should You Buy Vistra Stock While It's Below $200 -- Or Wait for a Better Yield?

    Vistra Corp is positioning itself as an attractive option for income-seeking investors. As a leading energy producer, the company not only has a solid market position but also stands out for its rapidly growing dividend policy, a strong signal of financial health and commitment to shareholders. The article raises a strategic point for investors: whether to take advantage of the current price, seen as a potential psychological threshold, to enter the stock, or to wait for an even higher dividend yield. This analysis suggests that Vistra's profile is particularly well-suited for income-oriented portfolios, combining the stability of the energy sector with the prospect of increasing cash flows for shareholders. The growing dividend is a key factor that could attract new capital and support the stock's valuation in the medium to long term.

via Markets Gazette