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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)

割安
Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosUnited States

ファンダメンタル

72

株価

$77.08

時価総額

$8.26B

パート1 · 企業の価値

概要

Wynn Resorts designs, builds and operates luxury casino resorts, with properties in Macau, Las Vegas and, since 2019, near Boston. Revenue comes from casino gaming — table games and slot machines — plus hotel rooms, restaurants, retail and entertainment at the same resorts. Its Macau operations run under a government concession to operate casinos through 2032, while Nevada and Massachusetts gaming licenses govern the two US properties. Roughly half of group revenue now comes from Macau.

収益の仕組み

Casino revenue is the largest piece and the most volatile: it depends on how much high rollers wager and how the house edge plays out over a period, so results swing quarter to quarter even when visitor numbers hold steady. Hotel, dining, retail and entertainment revenue is steadier and depends on occupancy and room rates. Because resorts are capital-intensive with high fixed costs, small swings in gaming volume move profit far more than they move revenue.

セグメント別売上高

Macau Operations52.1%

Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau, two integrated casino resorts on the Cotai Strip and the peninsula, generating the largest share of group revenue.

Las Vegas Operations36%

Wynn Las Vegas and Encore, a single integrated resort on the Las Vegas Strip combining casino, hotel, dining and convention space.

Encore Boston Harbor11.9%

A single casino resort on Boston Harbor, opened in 2019, serving the New England gaming market.

競争優位性(moat)

特許・ライセンス · 狭い

Casino resorts of this scale require a government concession or license granted to only a handful of operators — six in Macau, a limited set in Nevada and Massachusetts — which keeps new entrants out. But it cuts both ways: the same concession can be modified, taxed more heavily, or not renewed, and Wynn already competes hard against the other five Macau operators for the same premium players.

需要を左右する要因

景気循環型

Casino spending is discretionary and tied to disposable income, business and leisure travel, and, in Macau, the willingness of mainland Chinese visitors to travel and wager. Wynn's own filings flag vulnerability to economic slowdowns and travel restrictions; the pandemic-era closures of its Macau properties showed how quickly that revenue can approach zero.

主なリスク

  • Gaming licenses can be limited or revoked — Wynn operates under extensive regulatory oversight in Macau, Nevada and Massachusetts. Gaming concessions and licenses could be modified, suspended or revoked, potentially halting operations at a property.
  • Cash flow concentrated in a handful of properties — The company states that virtually all of its cash flow comes from a handful of large properties in Macau, Las Vegas and Boston, so a downturn or regulatory change in any one region can disproportionately affect overall results.
  • Macau-specific regulatory constraints — Wynn Macau must obtain government approval for major corporate decisions and meet investment plan requirements, and faces a gaming tax of 35% plus up to 5% in public-interest contributions, limiting operating flexibility.
  • Dependence on discretionary travel spending — Operations depend significantly on discretionary consumer spending and international travel patterns, making results vulnerable to economic slowdowns or travel restrictions.

顧客集中度

Wynn does not disclose a customer concentration percentage, but its own risk factors describe heavy dependence on a relatively small number of high-end 'premium' credit players in Macau, whose wagering swings materially move results.

強気材料

Buyers argue that Macau's gaming market is recovering toward pre-pandemic levels, that Wynn's brand travels well with premium mass-market players, and that a limited number of licensed operators in each jurisdiction protects pricing and margins once a resort is built and running.

弱気材料

Sellers fear that nearly all of Wynn's cash flow comes from a handful of properties in three jurisdictions, so a policy shift in Macau, a Nevada regulatory action, or a downturn in high-end discretionary travel would hit results with little offsetting diversification, and that heavy dependence on premium credit players adds volatility to reported earnings.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

貸借対照表と流動性

売上高

$7.41B

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

純利益

$449M

直近12か月(2026/6/30まで)

フリーキャッシュフロー

$692M

自己資本合計

$-275M

負債合計

$14.14B

流動比率

0.91

利払い倍率

1.89

負債/EBITDA

7.10

一株当たり利益(EPS)

売上高と純利益

フリーキャッシュフロー

収益内訳

財務推移表

利益率の推移

負債の推移

負債の重さ

成長率グリッド

成長率 — 売上高

適正価値の推定

一般的なケース割安

適正価値

$136.04

現在株価

$77.08

安全マージン

+43.3%

適正価値レンジ

$88.43 - $183.66

使用した評価手法間のばらつきであり、統計的に較正された信頼区間ではありません。

推定方法

アナリストの目標株価:$132.01
ディスカウンテッド・キャッシュフロー(DCF):$248.88
利益倍率(P/E):$66.02
グレアムの成長公式:$67.89
収益力価値(EPV):$91.89
正当化されたP/B:算出に必要なデータが不足しています
配当割引モデル(ゴードン):$16.96
P/FFO(運用から生まれる資金):$147.29
中間サイクル利益:$139.05
売上高倍率:$123.39
アナリスト・コンセンサス:強い買い (27B / 1H / 0S)
直近の決算サプライズ:+9.43%

バリュエーション指標

P/E レシオ

19.05

ROE

-118.8%

P/B レシオ

-

P/FCF

10.33

粗利益率

-

ROIC

9.0%

収益性レーダー

価値創造(経済的モート)

ROIC

9.0%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

+2.7 pp

ROICが資本コストを上回っています。企業は株主のために価値を創出しています。

ファンダメンタル分析基準

合格(15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 9.0%
  • P/FCF 10.33
  • Operating Margin 15.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 27.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 96% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.25
  • Share Dilution -9.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.1% vs 5.5%

不合格(7)

  • EPS CAGR 2.94%
  • Price CAGR -0.60%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -244.7%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -10.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

データなし(6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-スコア

4/9

まちまちのシグナル:一部の領域に注意が必要

score
criteria

利益の質

3.25

高品質:利益はキャッシュに裏付けられている

株式希薄化

-9.5%

株式を買い戻している。株主に友好的

機関投資家の保有

ガバナンス

経営陣

氏名役職年齢
Mr. Craig Scott BillingsCEO & Director52
Ms. Jacqui KrumExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary50
Mr. Craig Jeffrey FullaloveChief Financial Officer43
Mr. Price Alexander KarrSenior VP of IR, Corporate Finance & Treasurer39
Mr. Michael WeaverChief Communications Officer-
Mr. Erik HansenChief Sustainability Officer-
Mr. Brian GullbrantsChief Operating Officer - North America-
Ms. Jenny HoladayPresident of Encore Boston Harbor-
Mr. Todd-Avery LenahanPresident & Chief Creative Officer of Wynn Design and Development, LLC-
Mr. Max TappeinerPresident of Wynn Al Marjan Island-

監査リスク

6

取締役会リスク

3

報酬リスク

4

株主権利リスク

9

パート2 · 株価と買い時

この部分は企業に価値があるかを判断するものではありません。ファンダメンタルズに納得したうえで、いつ買うかを選ぶためのものです。内容:テクニカル分析、ポテンシャル、過去のドローダウン、ガンマエクスポージャー。

書類

  • 年次報告書(10-K)

    事業内容、財務実績、リスクをまとめた年次の概要。

    提出日: 2026-03-02

    書類を見る
  • 四半期報告書(10-Q)

    直近3か月間の業績に関する最新情報。

    提出日: 2026-08-06

    書類を見る
  • 臨時報告書(8-K)

    経営陣の交代や重要な発表など、大きな出来事に関するお知らせ。

    提出日: 2026-09-22

    書類を見る

via SEC EDGAR

業績推移

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for WYNN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/7/2026NEGATIVE
    Wynn Expects ‘Modest Delay’ in Opening of New Middle East Casino

    Wynn Resorts Ltd. has announced a 'modest delay' in the opening of its new casino resort in the United Arab Emirates, according to CEO Craig Billings. While specific revised timelines were not provided, the delay suggests potential challenges in project execution or regulatory approvals. Investors will be monitoring for updated guidance on the opening date and any associated cost implications. This news could negatively impact short-term sentiment for Wynn Resorts, as project delays often lead to revised revenue forecasts and increased capital expenditure timelines.

  • 5/5/2026NEGATIVE
    Wynn Weighs Delayed Opening of Its UAE Resort Due to Iran War

    Wynn Resorts Ltd. is reportedly contemplating a delay in the opening of its highly anticipated integrated resort in the United Arab Emirates. This potential postponement stems from construction setbacks attributed to the ongoing geopolitical tensions and the US military engagement in the region, specifically the war with Iran. The news suggests that supply chain disruptions and logistical challenges are impacting the project's timeline. For investors, this indicates potential cost overruns and a delayed revenue stream from a key growth initiative, casting a shadow over the company's near-term financial outlook.

via Markets Gazette