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Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH)

Subavaliada
HealthcareMedical DistributionUnited States

Fundamental

76

Preço

$228.72

Capitalização de Mercado

$51.55B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Cardinal Health buys drugs and medical supplies in bulk from manufacturers and delivers them to pharmacies, hospitals and clinics across the United States, usually within a day of the order. It does not make the products it moves — it is the logistics layer between drugmakers and the point of care, operating warehouses, delivery fleets and ordering systems at a scale few competitors can match. A smaller unit also distributes medical devices and other health products directly to providers.

Como gera receita

Revenue is booked when a shipment reaches the customer, and pharmaceutical distribution runs on razor-thin margins — the company makes its money on enormous volume rather than markup per unit, plus fees for services like inventory management. A specialty pharmaceuticals business, which handles higher-value drugs requiring cold chains or special handling, carries a better margin and has become the main source of profit growth.

Receita por segmento

Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions92.4%

Bulk distribution of branded and generic drugs, plus specialty pharmaceuticals, to pharmacies, hospitals and physician practices.

Global Medical Products and Distribution5%

Distribution and, in part, manufacture of medical, surgical and laboratory products used in hospitals and clinics.

Other2.7%

Nuclear pharmacy and precision health services, freight logistics for healthcare shippers, and home-based care supplies.

Vantagem competitiva

Escala · Estreita

Pharmaceutical distribution in the U.S. is effectively a three-company business alongside McKesson and Cencora, because building the warehouse network, delivery infrastructure and DEA-licensed handling capability needed to serve pharmacies nationwide requires scale that new entrants cannot easily match. The advantage is narrow: the three distributors compete hard for the same hospital and pharmacy chains, keeping margins thin.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

People need prescription drugs and medical supplies regardless of the state of the economy, which makes distribution volume one of the steadiest revenue streams in retail-adjacent business. The main swings come not from the economic cycle but from drug pricing changes, new generic launches, and one-off customer contract gains or losses.

Principais riscos

  • Opioid litigation liabilities — Cardinal Health remains a defendant in opioid-distribution lawsuits and is paying out under a national settlement agreement — roughly $6.3 billion committed over 18 years — with continuing annual payments through 2038.
  • Controlled-substance regulation — As a distributor of controlled substances, the company must hold valid DEA registrations and meet strict security and monitoring standards; a licensing suspension or compliance failure at any facility can halt shipments and trigger penalties.
  • Customer concentration — A small number of large customers, led by CVS Health, generate a disproportionate share of revenue; losing one or seeing it shift volume to a competitor would have an outsized effect on results.
  • Thin and pressured margins — The company operates in a highly competitive market where customers and suppliers continually push for better pricing; if it cannot offset these pressures through cost control or higher-margin services, profitability suffers.

Concentração de clientes

Os principais clientes representam 43% da receita

CVS Health alone accounted for 28% of fiscal 2026 revenue, and the five largest customers together made up 43%. Losing or renegotiating a single one of these relationships would move the company's results materially.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that fiscal 2026's 14% revenue growth and 30% jump in non-GAAP operating earnings show the specialty pharmaceuticals and GMPD businesses are finally offsetting the low-margin core, and that a nearly closed opioid settlement removes years of legal overhang.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that a business this dependent on CVS Health and a handful of other giants has little pricing power of its own, that generic drug price deflation keeps squeezing the core distribution margin, and that new tariffs on imported generics could hit supply and cost at the same time.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 22.9Score: 78Market cap: $99.84B

The other national full-line pharmaceutical wholesaler Cardinal Health names in its own filings, bidding for the same hospital systems, retail pharmacy chains and specialty physician practices in the United States.

P/E: 22.3Score: 63Market cap: $57.98B

The third of the three national drug wholesalers that together move over 90% of US pharmaceutical volume, competing with Cardinal Health on distribution contracts and specialty drug services.

P/E: 24.5Score: 63Market cap: $9.36B

Distributes medical and dental supplies to office-based physicians, clinics and ambulatory centres, the same non-acute customer base Cardinal Health's medical segment targets.

Medline Inc. (Medline Industries)MDLN

Named by Cardinal Health as a competitor of its medical products business: both manufacture and distribute surgical supplies and procedural kits to the same hospitals and surgery centers.

Owens & Minor, Inc.OMI

A national medical-surgical distributor named in Cardinal Health's filings, serving the same hospital supply chains and, like Cardinal, also selling home-healthcare products.

Morris & Dickson Co., L.L.C.Not tracked

A privately held regional pharmaceutical wholesaler in the US South that Cardinal Health names in its filings, taking independent pharmacy and regional hospital accounts from the national distributors.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$244.67B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/12/2025)

Resultado Líquido

$1.66B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/12/2025)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$4.53B

Capital Próprio Total

$-2.88B

Passivo Total

$60.02B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.91

Cobertura de Juros

8.02

Dívida/EBITDA

2.79

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSubvalorizada

Valor Justo

$668.87

Preço Atual

$228.72

Margem de Segurança

+65.8%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$434.77 - $902.97

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$270.94
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$1512.46
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$124.85
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$372.20
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$105.15
P/B justificado:$51.04
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$54.09
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$183.68
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$274.84
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$4280.82
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (21B / 3H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+6.37%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

32.01

ROE

-59.5%

Rácio P/B

-

P/FCF

9.41

Margem Bruta

3.7%

ROIC

13.6%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

13.6%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

+6.4 pp

O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 11.89%
  • ROIC 13.5%
  • P/FCF 9.41
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 37.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 88% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 11.1%
  • PEG Ratio 1.07
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.67
  • Share Dilution -2.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 0.7% vs 0.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Reprovado (5)

  • EPS CAGR 4.95%
  • Gross Margin 3.7%
  • Operating Margin 1.0%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Indisponível (4)

  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

3.67

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-2.0%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Jason M. HollarCEO & Director52
Ms. Jessica L. MayerChief Legal & Compliance Officer55
Mr. Stephen M. MasonChief Executive Officer of GMPD segment53
Ms. Deborah L. WeitzmanChief Executive Officer of Pharmaceutical & Specialty Solutions Segment60
Ms. Mary C. SchererSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. David FrostVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Craig CowmanPresident of Biopharma Solutions & Strategic Sourcing-
Mr. Ben BrinkerPresident of Global Operations & Supply Chain-
Mr. Rob SchlissbergPresident of Cardinal Health at-Home Solutions-
Ms. Michelle D. GreeneExecutive VP and Chief Information Officer of Global Technology & Business Services55

Risco de Auditoria

9

Risco do Conselho

1

Risco de Remuneração

1

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

1

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-08-11

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-04-30

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-10-01

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CAH, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/15/2026NEGATIVE
    Top 3 Health Care Stocks That May Collapse This Quarter

    Cardinal Health (CAH) is flagged with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 77.7, indicating it is significantly overbought. This technical indicator suggests the stock's price may have risen too quickly and could be due for a correction. While the article mentions positive price action for another stock, TGTX, the primary focus on CAH's overbought condition presents a potential downside risk for investors holding the stock. The RSI levels for TGTX (79.8) and AMRX (76.9) also signal overbought conditions, but CAH is presented as a key warning.

  • 3/30/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Cardinal Health Stock In The Last 5 Years

    An analysis of Cardinal Health Inc. stock performance over the past five years reveals a significant return for investors. While specific figures are not detailed in this summary, the article implies a substantial positive trajectory for the healthcare services company. This historical performance data could be of interest to potential investors looking at long-term value and stability within the healthcare sector, suggesting a potentially resilient investment over the period analyzed.

  • 3/10/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Cardinal Health 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $100 in Cardinal Health Inc. five years ago would have grown to approximately $245 today, representing a significant return on investment. This performance reflects the company's steady growth and resilience in the healthcare sector. For investors, this historical data point highlights Cardinal Health's potential as a long-term holding, underscoring its ability to generate consistent value through strategic operations and market positioning.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $100 In Cardinal Health Stock 5 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Cardinal Health (CAH) stock five years ago would have grown to approximately $270 today, yielding a 170% return. This highlights the stock's strong medium-term performance, outperforming many other healthcare players. Growth has been driven by a combination of expansion in its pharmaceutical and medical device businesses, alongside efficient cost management. For investors, Cardinal Health represents an attractive option in the healthcare sector, demonstrating resilience and value creation over time.

via Markets Gazette