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Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN)

Valor Justo
Consumer CyclicalGamblingUnited States

Fundamental

65

Preço

$74.62

Capitalização de Mercado

$5.27B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services. The Wagering Services and Solutions engages in pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, which operates the online horse racing wagering business for TwinSpires.com, BetAmerica.com, and other white-label platforms; facilitates dollar wagering; provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data; offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides technology services to third parties. This segment also operates retail and online sports betting businesses, United Tote, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses, and Exacta, which provides central determinant system technology in HRMs. The Gaming segment operates the casino properties and associated racetracks, which include slot machines, table games, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, racing event-related services, and other miscellaneous operations. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: —Score: 51Market cap: $1.96B

Penn runs racetrack-casinos and regional properties in the same Midwest and Southern markets as Churchill Downs, and competes for the same local gaming customer both on the casino floor and online.

P/E: —Score: 52Market cap: $13.30B

Through TVG/FanDuel Racing it is the closest rival to TwinSpires for online horse-race wagering in the United States, with a handle of a size comparable to Churchill Downs' own platform.

P/E: —Score: 53Market cap: $6.04B

Caesars competes in the same regional casino markets, including Louisiana and the Midwest, and is pushing into racing-and-gaming venues of the kind Churchill Downs builds around historical racing machines.

1/ST (The Stronach Group), operator of XpressbetNot tracked

It owns flagship tracks such as Santa Anita, Pimlico and Gulfstream Park and the Xpressbet wagering platform, competing with Churchill Downs for the same bettors, the same race dates and the same horsemen.

Boyd Gaming CorporationBYD

Boyd operates regional casinos in Louisiana, Mississippi and the Midwest that draw on the same local customer base as Churchill Downs' gaming properties.

The New York Racing Association, Inc. (NYRA), operator of NYRA BetsNot tracked

NYRA runs Saratoga, Belmont and Aqueduct and its own NYRA Bets platform, competing with Churchill Downs for premier race meets and for the online wagering handle they generate.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$2.99B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$413M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

-

Capital Próprio Total

$1.01B

Passivo Total

$6.43B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.36

Cobertura de Juros

2.47

Dívida/EBITDA

5.21

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralJustamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$93.26

Preço Atual

$74.62

Margem de Segurança

+20.0%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$65.05 - $121.48

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$130.83
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$72.10
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$64.13
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$96.54
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$90.58
P/B justificado:$95.63
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$8.97
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$141.43
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$104.52
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$73.26
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (17B / 1H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-1.11%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

12.91

ROE

37.9%

Rácio P/B

3.93

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

9.3%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

9.3%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

+2.2 pp

O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.66%
  • Price CAGR 12.37%
  • ROIC 9.3%
  • Operating Margin 24.1%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 36.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 22.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 94% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.4%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.92
  • Share Dilution -3.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Reprovado (7)

  • P/B Ratio 3.93
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 13.8% vs 15.2%

Indisponível (6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.92

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-3.6%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. William C. CarstanjenCEO & Director57
Mr. William E. MuddPresident & COO54
Ms. Marcia Ann Dall CPAExecutive VP & CFO61
Mr. Bradley K. Blackwell J.D.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary53
Mr. Jon E. RauchVP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Nate SimonSenior VP & CTO-
Sam UllrichVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Jason SauerSenior Vice President of Corporate Development-
Ms. M. Katherine ArmstrongSenior VP of Human Resources-
Mr. Michael W. AndersonSenior VP & President of Churchill Downs Racetrack54

Risco de Auditoria

4

Risco do Conselho

2

Risco de Remuneração

3

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

7

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-25

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-29

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-28

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CHDN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 2/21/2026POSITIVE
    Beck Bode Initiates Churchill Downs Position as Regional Gaming Expansion Lifts Growth Prospects

    Beck Bode has initiated a position in Churchill Downs Inc., signaling confidence in the company's growth prospects. Churchill Downs is actively expanding its network of casinos and historical racing venues, aiming to generate recurring revenue streams from the gaming sector. Investors are assessing the effectiveness of this investment phase, but Beck Bode's initiative suggests a positive outlook on the economic returns of these expansions. The strategy seeks to diversify profit sources beyond the traditional annual horse racing event, solidifying the company's presence in the gaming market.

via Markets Gazette