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DexCom, Inc. (DXCM)

Superavaliada
HealthcareMedical DevicesUnited States

Fundamental

75

Preço

$86.29

Capitalização de Mercado

$33.01B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

DexCom makes continuous glucose monitors — small wearable sensors that track blood sugar every few minutes and send readings to a phone or an insulin pump, replacing the finger-prick test that diabetics used for decades. Its main product line is the G7 sensor and its Stelo variant for people not on insulin. It sells almost entirely one category of medical device, in two markets — the United States and abroad — rather than a diversified portfolio.

Como gera receita

DexCom earns revenue mainly by selling a recurring supply: sensors that must be replaced every 10-15 days and transmitters replaced less often, so once a patient starts, the ongoing sensor purchases resemble a subscription even though they are billed per shipment. Sales flow largely through distributors and pharmacies who bill insurers or government payers on the patient's behalf, and reimbursement approval from insurance or Medicare, not the patient's own spending, determines whether a sale happens at all.

Receita por segmento

United States71.5%

Sales to US patients, mostly billed through insurance or Medicare via distributors and pharmacies — where DexCom has been established longest.

International28.5%

Sales outside the US, growing faster than the domestic market as DexCom expands reimbursement coverage abroad.

Vantagem competitiva

Custos de mudança · Estreita

Patients build months or years of glucose history and habits around one sensor and app, and DexCom's sensors are integrated with several insulin pump makers' systems, so switching means a new prescription, a new pump pairing and relearning the device. That keeps most patients in place once started, but Abbott's FreeStyle Libre competes closely on price and features, so the advantage is not decisive.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Demand is driven by the number of people with diabetes who are prescribed a continuous monitor, a population that grows steadily regardless of the economic cycle, plus the pace at which insurers extend reimbursement to more patient groups. Growth can still slow when a competitor cuts price or when a payer tightens coverage rules, but the underlying need for glucose monitoring does not disappear in a downturn.

Principais riscos

  • Reliance on a small number of distributors — Most sales are routed through a handful of pharmacy and medical-supply distributors rather than direct to patients; losing one or a change in its terms would disrupt a large share of shipments.
  • Single-source manufacturing and FDA oversight — Some components come from single-source suppliers, and DexCom's factories and any product change remain subject to FDA inspection and approval; a failed inspection or an unauthorized change can halt shipments.
  • Reimbursement decisions by insurers and Medicare — A sale generally only happens if an insurer or government payer agrees to reimburse the device; a coverage cut or a slower approval process for new patient groups directly reduces revenue.
  • Competition from Abbott and other monitor makers — Abbott's FreeStyle Libre and other continuous glucose monitors compete directly on price, accuracy and insurer coverage, and a lost contract with a major payer can shift patients to a rival overnight.

Concentração de clientes

DexCom sells through a small number of large distributors and pharmacy partners rather than directly to most patients; the company has not disclosed a current percentage for its largest partners, but historically a handful of them each represented a meaningful share of revenue.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the diabetic population needing continuous monitoring keeps growing, that recurring sensor purchases behave like a subscription once a patient is on the device, and that expanding international reimbursement gives DexCom years of runway outside its largest market.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that Abbott's Libre competes aggressively on price, that reimbursement decisions outside the company's control can cut off whole patient groups, and that dependence on a handful of distributors and single-source suppliers leaves little room for a manufacturing or regulatory setback.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 18 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 27.7Score: 68Market cap: $175.89B

Abbott's FreeStyle Libre sensors are the direct rival to Dexcom's G7 and Stelo, sold to the same people with diabetes through the same pharmacies, prescriptions and over-the-counter channels worldwide.

Medtronic plcMDT

Medtronic sells its own glucose sensors (Guardian and Simplera) bundled with its insulin pumps, competing for the insulin-dependent patients who are Dexcom's core customers.

Senseonics Holdings, Inc.SENS

Senseonics offers Eversense, an implantable sensor that lasts up to a year, as an alternative to Dexcom's disposable adhesive sensors for the same continuous-monitoring patients.

F. Hoffmann-La Roche AG (Roche Diabetes Care)Not tracked

Roche's diabetes care division sells glucose monitoring products to the same patients and health systems, and is named by Dexcom itself among its competitors in its annual report.

Ascensia Diabetes Care Holdings AGNot tracked

Ascensia, the privately held owner of the Contour brand, competes for the same diabetes monitoring customers and pharmacy shelf space, in the United States and abroad.

LifeScan, Inc.Not tracked

LifeScan, the private company behind the OneTouch brand, sells glucose monitoring products to the same people with diabetes and is listed by Dexcom among its competitors.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$4.97B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$1000M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$1.08B

Capital Próprio Total

$2.75B

Passivo Total

$3.59B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.73

Cobertura de Juros

75.94

Dívida/EBITDA

1.20

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSobrevalorizada

Valor Justo

$67.58

Preço Atual

$86.29

Margem de Segurança

-27.7%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$43.93 - $91.23

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$94.48
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$42.21
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$75.50
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$61.40
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$18.47
P/B justificado:$24.07
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$46.14
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$50.19
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (31B / 5H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+12.38%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

34.24

ROE

30.5%

Rácio P/B

12.42

P/FCF

23.18

Margem Bruta

62.5%

ROIC

22.0%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

22.0%

WACC

12.0%

ROIC − WACC

+9.9 pp

O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (22)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 19.38%
  • ROIC 22.0%
  • Gross Margin 62.5%
  • P/FCF 23.18
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 22.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 36.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 12.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.75
  • Share Dilution -1.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 20.1% vs 13.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Reprovado (4)

  • P/B Ratio 12.42
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • PEG Ratio 3.46

Indisponível (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.75

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-1.4%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Kevin Ronald SayerExecutive Chairman of the Board67
Mr. Jacob Steven LeachPresident, CEO & Director47
Mr. Michael Jon Brown J.D.Executive VP, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer55
Ms. Sadie M. SternExecutive VP, Chief People & Culture Officer50
Mr. Jon ColemanExecutive VP & Chief Commercial Officer61
Mr. Peter SimpsonExecutive VP & CTO-
Mr. Sean ChristensenVice President of Finance and Investor Relations-
Mr. Matthew DolanExecutive Vice President of Strategy & Corporate Development44
Keri LeoneSenior Director of Global Medical Science & Education-
Christine PospisilDirector of Medical Science & Education-

Risco de Auditoria

2

Risco do Conselho

7

Risco de Remuneração

5

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

6

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-12

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-30

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-14

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for DXCM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/22/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning DexCom Stock In The Last 15 Years

    An analysis of DexCom Inc. stock reveals a substantial return for long-term investors over the past 15 years. While specific figures are not provided in this snippet, the title implies significant capital appreciation, likely driven by the company's innovative continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) devices. For investors, this historical performance suggests strong market positioning and successful product adoption in the diabetes technology sector, potentially indicating continued growth prospects. The article likely details the key milestones and market factors contributing to this impressive investor return.

  • 5/15/2026POSITIVE
    Dexcom’s Bet Beyond Diabetes

    Dexcom CEO Jake Leach highlighted the expanding market for continuous glucose monitors (CGMs) beyond diabetes management during a Bloomberg interview. He stated that GLP-1 drug approvals are accelerating CGM adoption and reaffirmed the company's robust growth projections. Leach also detailed Dexcom's strategic expansion into the broader metabolic health and wellness sector. This diversification strategy, coupled with the positive impact of GLP-1 drugs, suggests a significant untapped market potential, positioning Dexcom for sustained revenue growth and market share expansion.

  • 3/2/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning DexCom Stock In The Last 10 Years

    DexCom Inc.'s historical stock performance over the past ten years has proven exceptionally profitable for investors. While specific return details were not disclosed in this update, the headline strongly implies that the company, a leader in diabetes management technologies, has generated substantial gains. This information is critical for investors assessing a company's long-term growth potential and stability within the healthcare sector. DexCom's ability to sustain a positive growth trajectory for a decade underscores the strength of its innovation and the increasing demand for its continuous glucose monitoring systems, positioning it as an attractive option for growth-oriented portfolios.

  • 2/25/2026POSITIVE
    Got $10,000? I Think DexCom Stock Could Be a Quiet Winner of the GLP‑1 Wars

    DexCom Inc. emerges as a compelling investment opportunity, positioned as a potential 'quiet winner' amidst the competitive landscape of GLP-1 medications. While the focus often remains on pharmaceutical giants, DexCom's innovative medical devices, particularly its continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems, are crucial for managing conditions like diabetes, which are intrinsically linked to the GLP-1 drug market. The increasing adoption of GLP-1s could inadvertently boost demand for DexCom's monitoring solutions, as patients and healthcare providers seek better ways to track health outcomes. This synergy presents a robust case for investors looking beyond direct drug manufacturers, highlighting DexCom's strategic importance in the evolving healthcare sector.

via Markets Gazette