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Incyte Corporation (INCY)

Valor Justo
HealthcareBiotechnologyUnited States

Fundamental

80

Preço

$118.75

Capitalização de Mercado

$25.22B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Incyte discovers and sells prescription drugs, built almost entirely around one medicine: Jakafi, which treats blood disorders and graft-versus-host disease and still generates most of the company's revenue more than a decade after launch. It also sells Opzelura, a topical cream for skin conditions like vitiligo and eczema, and a smaller group of cancer therapies, while collecting royalties on drugs it licensed to other companies that sell versions of Jakafi outside the United States.

Como gera receita

Incyte earns money by selling its own approved drugs directly to specialty pharmacies and wholesalers, who then reach patients, plus a steady royalty stream from partners selling licensed versions of its drugs abroad. Because a handful of medicines drive nearly all revenue, growth depends on expanding what Jakafi and Opzelura are approved to treat and on new drugs reaching the market well before patent protection on the older ones finally expires.

Receita por segmento

Jakafi60.1%

Treatment for myelofibrosis, polycythemia vera and graft-versus-host disease, the company's dominant product for over a decade.

Opzelura13.2%

A topical cream approved for vitiligo and eczema, currently the company's newest major growth driver.

Royalties12.4%

Payments from partners who sell licensed versions of Incyte-discovered drugs, including Jakavi and Olumiant, outside the United States.

Hematology and Oncology Portfolio11.3%

A group of smaller cancer treatments including Pemazyre, Monjuvi and Zynyz, growing quickly from a low base.

Vantagem competitiva

Patentes e licenças · Estreita

Jakafi's patents and the years of clinical evidence behind it keep generic competitors out for now, and Opzelura benefits from similar regulatory exclusivity while it is the only approved topical treatment of its kind for some patients. That protection has a clock on it: Jakafi's patents run through the late 2020s, and once they expire generic versions can erode the revenue that still funds most of the company.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Demand for Incyte's drugs is driven by disease incidence and physician treatment decisions rather than household spending power, so it holds up well through economic cycles. The more relevant swing factor is regulatory and competitive: new approved uses for existing drugs expand demand, while new rival therapies or the eventual loss of patent protection can shrink it regardless of the broader economy.

Principais riscos

  • Jakafi patent expiration — Jakafi still generates the majority of Incyte's revenue, and its patent protection runs out later this decade, after which generic competition could sharply reduce sales of the company's most important drug.
  • Distributor concentration — A limited number of specialty pharmacies and wholesalers handle most of Incyte's product sales, and losing one or seeing a significant drop in its purchases would directly hurt revenue.
  • Pipeline dependency — Future growth depends on new drugs and new approved uses reaching the market, and clinical trial failures or regulatory setbacks would leave the company more reliant on its aging core products.
  • Reimbursement pressure — Maintaining adequate reimbursement from payers is necessary to sustain prices, and pressure to lower drug costs from governments or insurers could compress margins on approved products.

Concentração de clientes

Not disclosed as a percentage, but the company states that a limited number of specialty pharmacies and wholesalers account for a significant portion of revenue from Jakafi and most other products.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Opzelura and the growing oncology portfolio are diversifying revenue away from Jakafi faster than the market gives Incyte credit for, and that continued expansion of approved uses for existing drugs can offset the eventual patent cliff.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that Incyte remains a one-drug company in practice, that the newer products are not yet large enough to replace Jakafi's revenue once generics arrive, and that the pipeline has not produced a second blockbuster to anchor the business beyond this decade.

Dados por segmento do exercício fiscal 2025Fontes: Incyte Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$5.36B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$1.43B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

-

Capital Próprio Total

$5.17B

Passivo Total

$1.79B

Rácio de Liquidez

3.68

Cobertura de Juros

689.26

Dívida/EBITDA

0.02

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralJustamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$119.26

Preço Atual

$118.75

Margem de Segurança

+0.4%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$99.89 - $138.63

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$127.74
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$99.37
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$138.51
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$129.75
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$76.77
P/B justificado:$112.18
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$110.52
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$35.50
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$110.12
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (18B / 17H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+44.14%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

17.14

ROE

24.9%

Rácio P/B

4.31

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

92.5%

ROIC

21.8%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

21.8%

WACC

8.8%

ROIC − WACC

+13.0 pp

O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 21.8%
  • Gross Margin 92.5%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 30.0%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 29.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 14.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 51% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 24.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.06
  • Share Dilution -7.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 26.7% vs 0.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Reprovado (4)

  • Price CAGR 2.20%
  • P/B Ratio 4.31
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Indisponível (5)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.06

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-7.7%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. William J. MeuryCEO & Director57
Dr. Pablo J. Cagnoni M.D., Ph.D.President and Global Head of R&D62
Mr. Thomas TrayPrincipal Financial Officer, VP of Finance & Chief Accounting Officer47
Dr. Steven H. Stein M.D.Executive VP, Head of Late-stage Development & Chief Medical Officer58
Mr. Mohamed Khairie IssaExecutive Vice President & Head of U.S. Commercial42
Mr. Suketu P. UpadhyayExecutive VP & CFO56
Mr. Michael James MorrisseyExecutive VP & Head of Global Technical Operations61
Ms. Alexis SmithVP & Head of Investor Relations-
Mr. Richard A. Hoffman J.D., M.B.A.Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary63
Ms. Pamela M. MurphyVP of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications74

Risco de Auditoria

10

Risco do Conselho

4

Risco de Remuneração

9

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

6

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-10

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-28

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-08-31

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for INCY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/9/2026POSITIVE
    Incyte Bets $1.25 Billion On Rare Bleeding Disorder Drug With Blockbuster Potential

    Incyte Corporation is set to acquire Vega Therapeutics in a deal valued at $1.25 billion upfront. This strategic move bolsters Incyte's pipeline with a promising drug candidate targeting a rare bleeding disorder, which analysts project could achieve blockbuster status in the 2030s. The acquisition signifies Incyte's commitment to expanding its therapeutic offerings and investing in high-potential assets. Investors will be watching for the successful integration of Vega's candidate and its clinical development progress, which could drive significant future revenue growth for Incyte.

via Markets Gazette