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Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

Subavaliada
HealthcareBiotechnologyUnited States

Fundamental

29

Preço

$192.57

Capitalização de Mercado

$76.88B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; immatics N.V.; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 37.5Score: 74Market cap: $163.69B

Pfizer sells the main rival mRNA COVID-19 vaccine (Comirnaty) and the Abrysvo RSV vaccine, so it bids for the same government, pharmacy and payer contracts Moderna depends on.

P/E: —Score: 49Market cap: $24.93B

BioNTech co-developed and shares the revenue of the Comirnaty mRNA COVID-19 vaccine and is advancing its own mRNA cancer immunotherapies, the two arenas where Moderna's technology competes head-on.

GSK plcGSK

GSK's Arexvy leads the adult RSV vaccine market that Moderna's mResvia is trying to enter, and both compete for the same older-adult respiratory vaccination visits.

Sanofi S.A.SAN

Sanofi is the largest seller of seasonal influenza vaccines and is building combination respiratory shots, competing directly with Moderna's flu and flu/COVID combination programmes.

Novavax, Inc.NVAX

Novavax offers the protein-based alternative to Moderna's COVID-19 shot in the United States and Europe, targeting the same seasonal vaccination demand with a non-mRNA option.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$2.23B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$-3.15B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$-2.06B

Capital Próprio Total

$8.65B

Passivo Total

$3.69B

Rácio de Liquidez

2.29

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

-

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSubvalorizada

Valor Justo

$301.75

Preço Atual

$192.57

Margem de Segurança

+36.2%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$196.14 - $407.37

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$119.56
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$544.68
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
P/B justificado:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$22.06
Consenso dos Analistas:Manter (11B / 17H / 2S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+7.28%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

-

ROE

-32.6%

Rácio P/B

11.37

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

23.4%

ROIC

-31.1%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

-31.1%

WACC

10.8%

ROIC − WACC

-41.9 pp

O ROIC está abaixo do custo do capital — a empresa está a destruir valor a cada dólar investido.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (7)

  • Price CAGR 36.32%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 30.3%
  • Share Dilution 1.3%

Reprovado (12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC -31.1%
  • Gross Margin 23.4%
  • P/B Ratio 11.37
  • Operating Margin -149.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE -39.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 37% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend -141.4% vs -94.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

Indisponível (8)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

3/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

1.3%

Número de ações estável

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Stéphane Bancel M.B.A.CEO & Director52
Dr. Stephen Hoge M.D.President49
Mr. James M. MockChief Financial Officer48
Ms. Shannon Thyme Klinger J.D.Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary54
Dr. Jerh Collins Ph.D.Chief Technical Operations & Quality Officer59
Ms. Lavina Talukdar CFASenior VP & Head of Investor Relations51
Chris RidleyVP & Global Head of Communications-
Ms. Tracey FranklinChief People & Digital Technology Officer45
Dr. Charbel Haber M.P.H., Ph.D.Senior VP & Head of Global Regulatory Science-
Mr. Patrick Norman BergstedtSenior Vice President of Commercial Vaccines63

Risco de Auditoria

7

Risco do Conselho

7

Risco de Remuneração

10

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

9

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-20

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-31

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-30

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MRNA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 23h agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Moderna -6% nel premarket: ecco perché

    Moderna shares tumbled nearly 6% in pre-market trading following a downgrade from Citi, which moved the biotech firm from 'Hold' to 'Sell'. Citi cited concerns that the recent valuation is difficult to justify, despite raising its price target to $80 from $60. The new target remains significantly below Tuesday's closing price of $203.46. This downgrade follows a near seven-fold increase in Moderna's stock this year, partly fueled by positive late-stage trial results for its personalized cancer vaccine candidate, intismeran autogene. Citi's revised assumptions on sales and operating expenses underpin the downgrade.

  • 10d agoPOSITIVE
    Moderna will reveal the data for its mRNA cancer vaccine next month. Here’s why it matters.

    Moderna is set to unveil data for its mRNA cancer vaccine next month, a development keenly awaited by analysts and medical professionals. The key focus will be on the efficacy of the personalized treatment, which aims to tailor vaccines to individual tumor mutations. Positive results could validate Moderna's platform beyond infectious diseases and open a significant new revenue stream. Investors will be scrutinizing the data for robust clinical outcomes and potential market penetration, which could significantly impact the company's valuation and future growth prospects in the oncology space.

  • 14d agoPOSITIVE
    Moderna +8%: il rally del vaccino anti-cancro può proseguire?

    Moderna Inc. shares surged 8% as investors reacted to positive Phase 3 trial results for its personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, intisemran autogene, developed with Merck. The treatment demonstrated a significant reduction in the risk of melanoma recurrence or death when combined with Merck's Keytruda, compared to Keytruda alone. This success has led to a strong reassessment of Moderna's future prospects, as the company aims to diversify beyond its COVID-19 vaccine business. The positive trial outcome and subsequent analyst upgrades are fueling investor optimism.

  • 8/31/2026POSITIVE
    23 best-performing stocks of August, as the software industry continues its recovery

    Moderna Inc. emerged as the top-performing stock in August, significantly outperforming other companies within the energy and technology sectors. This exceptional performance highlights a strong recovery trend within the software industry, with Moderna leading the charge. Investors are likely to view this as a positive indicator of the company's resilience and growth potential, potentially attracting further investment and driving up its market valuation. The broader tech sector's recovery also bodes well for related companies.

  • 8/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Moderna Taps Stock Surge With $2 Billion Note Offering

    Moderna Inc. is launching a $2 billion offering of convertible senior notes. These notes will be exchangeable into Moderna's common stock, providing a mechanism for future equity dilution. The company intends to use the proceeds to fuel its promising cancer vaccine pipeline and to manage existing debt obligations. While the investment in cancer vaccines signals a strategic focus on future growth, the issuance of debt convertible into equity introduces potential dilution for existing shareholders. Investors will monitor the success of the cancer vaccine development and the conversion rate of the notes.

  • 8/27/2026NEGATIVE
    Moderna Capitalizes on Stock Jump With $2 Billion Offering

    Moderna Inc. announced plans to raise $2 billion through a convertible note offering. The company intends to use the proceeds for strategic investments in its cancer vaccine pipeline and to manage existing debt obligations. While the capital infusion could support future growth initiatives, the offering of notes convertible into shares dilutes existing shareholders' equity. This move, often seen as a sign of needing capital or a belief that the stock price is high enough to justify conversion, typically puts downward pressure on the stock price in the short term.

via Markets Gazette