Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Valor JustoFundamental
71
Preço
$512.90
Capitalização de Mercado
$3.70T
Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa
Visão Geral
Microsoft sells software and cloud computing to businesses and consumers. Its products span office productivity software, business applications, operating systems, video games, and — its largest growth engine — Azure, a rented computing platform that lets other companies run their own software and AI models on Microsoft's data centres instead of building their own.
Como gera receita
Most revenue is recurring: Office, many business applications and parts of Windows are sold as subscriptions billed monthly or annually, and Azure is billed by the amount of computing capacity a customer actually consumes. This makes revenue far more predictable than a company that sells one-off licences or hardware, and gives Microsoft visibility into future revenue through signed but not yet delivered cloud contracts.
Receita por segmento
Office 365, LinkedIn, and Dynamics business applications — mostly subscription revenue billed to companies and individual users.
Azure cloud computing and server products. The fastest-growing segment and the one most tied to AI infrastructure spending.
Windows licensing, Surface devices, gaming (Xbox) and Bing search advertising — the slowest-growing segment, tied to PC and console sales.
Vantagem competitiva
Custos de mudança · AmplaBusinesses run their email, documents, identity management and internal tools on Microsoft's stack, and migrating any one of these to a competitor requires retraining staff and rebuilding integrations across the whole company. Azure adds a second layer of lock-in once a customer's applications are built to run on it. The result is a customer base that rarely leaves even when a rival product is technically comparable.
O que impulsiona a procura
Moderadamente cíclicoSubscription software revenue is fairly steady because it renews automatically and businesses rarely cancel core tools like email or Office. Azure and PC-related revenue are more sensitive to the economic cycle, since cloud spending can be optimised down in a downturn and PC sales track corporate refresh budgets and consumer discretionary spending.
Principais riscos
- Intense cloud competition — Azure competes against Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, both well-capitalised and investing heavily in the same AI infrastructure. Price competition and customer negotiating power in this market can compress margins.
- Regulatory and antitrust scrutiny — Microsoft's size and bundling practices across Office, Windows, Teams and cloud services draw sustained antitrust attention in the US, EU and elsewhere, which can force product changes or result in fines.
- Heavy AI infrastructure spending — Microsoft is committing very large sums to data centres and chips to meet AI demand. If that demand grows more slowly than the capacity being built, the return on this spending falls short.
- Cybersecurity incidents — As the operator of identity, email and cloud infrastructure for a large share of the world's businesses, a serious security breach involving Microsoft's own systems would damage trust across its entire customer base at once.
Os argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that Microsoft's grip on business software gives it a captive customer base to sell Azure and AI tools into, that Intelligent Cloud growth still has years to run as more computing shifts off-premises, and that recurring subscription revenue makes the business unusually resilient through downturns.
Os argumentos contra
Sellers fear that AI infrastructure spending is outrunning proven demand, that antitrust pressure could eventually force apart the bundling that keeps customers locked in, and that Azure's growth rate must keep decelerating simply because the base it is growing from is now so large.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 19 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users
AWS is Azure's primary rival for the same enterprise cloud infrastructure and platform budgets, with the two together taking roughly half of global cloud spending.
Oracle sells database, enterprise applications and OCI cloud capacity to the same large corporate IT departments Microsoft targets with SQL Server, Dynamics 365 and Azure.
Salesforce is the leading rival to Microsoft Dynamics 365 in cloud CRM and customer-service software, and both now sell AI agents on top of that same install base.
IBM competes for the same hybrid-cloud, middleware and enterprise IT-services contracts with large regulated customers, through Red Hat and its consulting arm.
SAP competes directly with Microsoft Dynamics 365 for enterprise resource planning deployments, especially among mid-size and large European manufacturers.
Google competes with Microsoft on three fronts at once: Google Cloud against Azure, Google Workspace against Microsoft 365, and Google Search against Bing for advertising revenue.
Balanço & Liquidez
Receita
$331.84B
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Resultado Líquido
$133.75B
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
$66.99B
Capital Próprio Total
$442.39B
Passivo Total
$315.99B
Rácio de Liquidez
1.23
Cobertura de Juros
50.88
Dívida/EBITDA
0.66
Resultados Por Ação
Receita & Resultado Líquido
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
Decomposição dos Resultados
Demonstração histórica
Margens ao longo do tempo
A dívida ao longo do tempo
Quanto pesa a dívida
Grelha do crescimento
Crescimento — Receitas
Estimativa de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$444.02
Preço Atual
$512.90
Margem de Segurança
-15.5%
Intervalo de Valor Justo
$291.09 - $596.95
Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.
Métodos de Estimativa
Métricas de Avaliação
Rácio P/E
28.57
ROE
30.2%
Rácio P/B
8.61
P/FCF
56.86
Margem Bruta
67.9%
ROIC
20.8%
Radar de Rentabilidade
Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)
ROIC
20.8%
WACC
10.1%
ROIC − WACC
+10.8 pp
O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.
Critérios de Análise Fundamental
Aprovado (21)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 13.39%
- Price CAGR 23.20%
- ROIC 20.8%
- Gross Margin 67.9%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 46.8%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 33.2%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 14.6%
- Analyst Consensus 93% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 6.4%
- PEG Ratio 1.58
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.37
- Share Dilution -0.2%
- Net Margin Trend 40.3% vs 36.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Reprovado (6)
- P/FCF 56.86
- P/B Ratio 8.61
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Indisponível (1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção
Qualidade dos Resultados
Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa
Diluição de Ações
A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista
Participações institucionais
Governação
Equipa Executiva
| Nome | Cargo | Idade |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Satya Nadella | Chairman & CEO | 58 |
| Mr. Bradford L. Smith LCA | President & Vice Chairman | 66 |
| Ms. Amy E. Hood | Executive VP & CFO | 53 |
| Mr. Takeshi Numoto | Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Judson B. Althoff | Executive VP & CEO of Commercial Business | 52 |
| Ms. Carolina Dybeck Happe | Executive VP & COO | 53 |
| Ms. Alice L. Jolla | Corporate VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 59 |
| Mr. Matthew Kerner | CTO & Corporate VP of Worldwide Sales and Solutions | - |
| Jonathan Neilson | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Jonathan M. Palmer | Corporate Vice President & Chief Legal Officer | - |
Risco de Auditoria
9
Risco do Conselho
7
Risco de Remuneração
5
Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas
2
Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar
Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.
Documentos
- Ver documento
Relatório anual (10-K)
Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.
Arquivado em 2026-07-29
- Ver documento
Relatório trimestral (10-Q)
Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.
Arquivado em 2026-04-29
- Ver documento
Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)
Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.
Arquivado em 2026-09-02
via SEC EDGAR
Histórico de Resultados
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for MSFT, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 20h agoPOSITIVEPerché le azioni Microsoft sono salite del 2% mercoledì?
Microsoft shares climbed approximately 2% on Wednesday following Piper Sandler's upgrade, which raised the price target to $610 from $550 while reiterating an 'Overweight' rating. This new target suggests an 18% upside potential from current trading levels, driven by elevated estimates and an expanded enterprise value/operating cash flow multiple. The brokerage firm's increased confidence stems from Microsoft's commercial cloud business prospects, particularly within Microsoft 365. The stock also benefited from broader market gains, spurred by US economic data indicating cooling inflation, which pushed Treasury yields lower and boosted the S&P 500.
- 2d agoPOSITIVEMicrosoft’s stock is on track to post its biggest quarterly gain in 28 years
Microsoft's stock is poised for its largest quarterly gain in 28 years, driven by its prominent position in the AI sector and a broader market "flight to quality." This performance highlights investor confidence in Microsoft's strategic positioning and its ability to capitalize on emerging technologies. The sustained demand for AI-driven solutions is translating into significant shareholder value, making MSFT a standout performer in the current market environment. Investors are likely to see this trend continue as AI adoption accelerates across industries.
- 5d agoPOSITIVEMicrosoft VP: SaaS isn’t dying. It’s becoming the operating system for AI agents—and that changes everything
Microsoft's VP asserts that Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) is evolving into the foundational operating system for AI agents, a paradigm shift that redefines its role in enterprise workflows. Contrary to expectations of a 'SaaS crash,' the technology is proving resilient and is now instrumental in eliminating human middleware, thereby streamlining operations. This evolution suggests a robust future for SaaS platforms, particularly those integrated with AI, promising enhanced efficiency and new avenues for innovation. Investors should note this strategic pivot, which could unlock significant growth potential for companies leading in AI-driven SaaS solutions.
- 6d agoPOSITIVEMicrosoft’s stock has roared back to life, closing at its highest level of the year
Microsoft Corporation's stock has experienced a significant rebound, reaching its highest point of the year. Despite an initial sluggish start to the year, investor sentiment has shifted positively, largely driven by the company's compelling artificial intelligence narrative. This resurgence suggests that the market is increasingly valuing Microsoft's AI initiatives, potentially signaling future growth and innovation. Investors are likely to view this upward trend as a strong indicator of the company's strategic direction and its ability to capitalize on emerging technologies, reinforcing confidence in its long-term prospects.
- 8d agoPOSITIVEMicrosoft has ‘clearly turned the corner.’ How its stock can chart more gains.
Stifel analyst Mark Schroeder has upgraded Microsoft's rating, citing the company's strong position to monetize its extensive computing power. This optimistic outlook suggests that Microsoft is poised for further stock appreciation, driven by its strategic advantages in leveraging its technological infrastructure. The analyst's confidence implies that recent performance and future growth prospects are robust, potentially attracting more investor interest and capital into the stock.
- 10d agoPOSITIVEThis is the ‘most underappreciated’ driver for Microsoft’s business, according to one analyst
An analyst suggests that investors are overlooking a key growth driver for Microsoft: its software business. While the company's cloud-computing segment, Azure, is well-recognized for its revenue potential, the software division's contributions may be underestimated. This perspective implies that Microsoft's overall valuation could be higher if the market fully appreciates the ongoing strength and future prospects of its software products. Investors may want to re-evaluate Microsoft's diversified revenue streams beyond just cloud services.
via Markets Gazette