Voltar à classificação

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW)

Superavaliada
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

45

Preço

$397.31

Capitalização de Mercado

$318.95B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Palo Alto Networks builds the systems that companies use to stop network intrusions, protect cloud workloads, and give security teams one console instead of a dozen. It started by selling firewall appliances that inspect traffic entering a company's network, then expanded into protecting cloud infrastructure and using AI to spot and respond to attacks across a company's whole environment. Its pitch to customers is consolidation: replace a patchwork of point security tools from different vendors with one connected platform.

Como gera receita

Most revenue is recurring: subscription and support fees for software and cloud services, sold on multi-year contracts and recognized over the life of the agreement, made up about four-fifths of fiscal 2025 revenue. The rest is upfront hardware and license sales, mainly the firewall appliances that still anchor many customer relationships. Palo Alto's stated strategy, "platformization," bundles products at a discount to win the whole security budget rather than one line item, trading near-term margin for a larger long-term contract.

Receita por segmento

Subscription and Support80.5%

Cloud security, SASE, AI-driven security operations software and the support contracts attached to them, billed as recurring multi-year subscriptions.

Product19.5%

Firewall hardware appliances and software licenses, including SD-WAN and virtual firewall products, sold upfront rather than as a subscription.

Vantagem competitiva

Custos de mudança · Estreita

Once a security operations team has wired its firewalls, cloud sensors and analytics into one Palo Alto console, replacing any single piece means re-training staff and re-testing detection rules across the whole stack. That inertia helps retention, but the cybersecurity market has several credible full-stack rivals and large customers routinely run more than one vendor at once.

O que impulsiona a procura

Moderadamente cíclico

Security budgets are treated as close to non-discretionary by most large enterprises, since a breach is costly and boards now expect visible investment in defense. But spending is not immune to the economy: deals can be delayed or shrunk in a downturn, and growth depends on convincing customers to consolidate tools rather than simply add new ones.

Principais riscos

  • Heavy reliance on channel partners — Most sales go through resellers, distributors and system integrators rather than direct to customers, so a partner's underperformance or a disrupted channel relationship can limit reach into a market.
  • Intensifying price and feature competition — Rivals compete aggressively on price and increasingly bundle security features into broader cloud or productivity suites, pressuring Palo Alto to keep discounting through its platformization bundles to win deals.
  • Complexity of integrating many acquisitions — Growth has come partly through acquiring other security companies; folding their products, engineers and customers into one platform carries execution risk and can distract from core development.
  • Exposure to customer credit and macro risk — Multi-year subscription contracts depend on customers' ability and willingness to keep paying; a weaker economy or a customer's financial distress can shrink renewals and delay new sales.
  • Geopolitical exposure through Israel operations — A meaningful part of engineering and operations sits in Israel, so regional political instability or conflict can disrupt product development and staff availability.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that platformization is working, since large customers keep consolidating security spend onto Palo Alto's stack, that subscription revenue now dominates the mix and compounds predictably, and that AI-driven security operations gives it a credible answer to a threat landscape that is itself increasingly automated.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that platformization is really discounting dressed up as strategy, that well-funded rivals in cloud security and endpoint protection can match the bundle at a lower price, and that a large enterprise customer base makes Palo Alto's growth rate structurally harder to sustain as the easy consolidation deals run out.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 63.2Score: 80Market cap: $131.09B

Named by Palo Alto Networks in its 10-K, Fortinet sells FortiGate next-generation firewalls and a converged network-security platform to the same enterprise and mid-market buyers, competing deal by deal on firewall refreshes and SASE.

P/E: 14.0Score: 64Market cap: $13.92B

Named in the 10-K, Check Point's Infinity architecture covers network firewalls, cloud and email security for the same enterprise security budgets, with a particularly strong installed base in Europe and Israel.

P/E: 4556.1Score: 65Market cap: $265.89B

Named in the 10-K, CrowdStrike's Falcon platform competes head-on with Palo Alto's Cortex line for endpoint protection, XDR and security-operations spending in the same large enterprises.

P/E: —Score: 54Market cap: $35.00B

Named in the 10-K, Zscaler sells cloud-delivered zero-trust access and secure web gateways that displace the same perimeter firewall and SASE budgets Palo Alto's Prisma Access targets.

P/E: 32.3Score: 76Market cap: $421.74B

Named first among large technology companies in the 10-K, Cisco bundles firewalls, Duo identity and Splunk-based security operations into the network contracts it already holds with the same enterprise customers.

P/E: 28.6Score: 80Market cap: $3.70T

Named in the 10-K, Microsoft bundles Defender, Entra and Sentinel into enterprise licensing agreements, so its security stack competes for the same endpoint, identity and SIEM budgets without a separate purchase.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$11.48B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/07/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$307M

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/07/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$4.11B

Capital Próprio Total

$27.49B

Passivo Total

$20.97B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.87

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

1.66

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSobrevalorizada

Valor Justo

$275.58

Preço Atual

$397.31

Margem de Segurança

-44.2%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$179.13 - $372.03

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$395.70
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$95.98
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$34.16
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$6.35
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$6.87
P/B justificado:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$22.73
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$71.72
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (49B / 13H / 1S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+2.42%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

993.27

ROE

1.1%

Rácio P/B

11.82

P/FCF

79.02

Margem Bruta

70.4%

ROIC

1.4%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

1.4%

WACC

9.7%

ROIC − WACC

-8.3 pp

O ROIC está abaixo do custo do capital — a empresa está a destruir valor a cada dólar investido.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 34.15%
  • Gross Margin 70.4%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 21.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 14.83

Reprovado (11)

  • ROIC 1.4%
  • P/FCF 79.02
  • P/B Ratio 11.82
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 1.7%
  • Share Dilution 8.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.7% vs 12.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Indisponível (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

14.83

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

8.3%

A emitir novas ações, diluindo a participação

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Nikesh Arora C.F.A.Chairman & CEO57
Mr. William D. Jenkins Jr.President59
Mr. Dipak GolechhaExecutive VP & CFO51
Mr. Lee KlarichExecutive VP, Chief Product Officer, CTO & Director50
Mr. Yuming MaoFounder & Chief Architect-
Mr. Josh D. PaulSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer49
Ms. Meerah RajavelChief Information Officer53
Mr. Hamza FodderwalaSenior VP of Investor Relations & Strategic Finance-
Mr. Bruce R. ByrdExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary-
Nicole HockinVice President of Global Communications-

Risco de Auditoria

1

Risco do Conselho

9

Risco de Remuneração

10

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

9

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-10

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-06-03

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-01

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PANW, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 1d agoNEUTRAL
    Palo Alto Networks’ Nikesh Arora is building a defense against the dark side of AI

    Nikesh Arora, CEO of Palo Alto Networks, is positioning the company as a key player in addressing the cybersecurity challenges posed by artificial intelligence. The article highlights Arora's role as an advisor to CEOs navigating the 'AI reckoning' in cybersecurity. While this indicates strong leadership and strategic vision, the news itself is more of a commentary on the company's positioning and market trends rather than a direct financial event. Investors will monitor future product developments and earnings for concrete impacts.

  • 29d agoNEGATIVE
    Palo Alto supera le attese sugli utili: azioni -8% — ecco perché

    Palo Alto Networks Inc. (PANW) shares tumbled 8.3% despite the cybersecurity firm reporting better-than-expected fourth-quarter fiscal revenue and adjusted earnings, alongside an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2027. The company posted Q4 fiscal revenue of $3.41 billion, a 34% increase year-over-year, surpassing Wall Street's $3.35 billion expectation. Adjusted earnings were $1.02 per share, exceeding analyst estimates of 98 cents. However, Palo Alto's GAAP results were weaker, showing a loss of 35 cents per share for the quarter, contrasting with a profit of 36 cents in the prior year period. This divergence between adjusted and GAAP figures likely spooked investors, leading to the stock's decline.

  • 9/1/2026NEGATIVE
    Palo Alto Networks’ stock falls despite strong AI cybersecurity demand

    Despite robust demand for AI cybersecurity solutions, Palo Alto Networks Inc. saw its stock decline following an earnings beat. CEO Nikesh Arora highlighted 'durable tailwinds' from enterprise cyber threats and AI adoption, suggesting a strong market position. However, the market's reaction indicates that the positive outlook and earnings performance were not enough to offset other investor concerns or potentially pre-existing expectations. Investors will be watching for further clarification on the factors influencing the stock's price movement despite the company's strategic advantages.

  • 9/1/2026POSITIVE
    Palo Alto Networks’ stock climbs as demand for AI cybersecurity powers an earnings beat

    Palo Alto Networks Inc. reported an earnings beat, driven by robust demand for its AI-powered cybersecurity solutions. CEO Nikesh Arora highlighted 'durable tailwinds' from enterprise cyber threats and the accelerating adoption of artificial intelligence, which are fueling growth for the company's platform. This strong performance suggests that Palo Alto Networks is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing need for advanced security measures in an AI-driven landscape. Investors will likely view this as a positive indicator of sustained revenue growth and market leadership.

  • 7/1/2026NEUTRAL
    CEO of $248 billion cybersecurity company says workers are about to face a ‘Darwinian moment’ thanks to AI: Evolve or get cut

    Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora has issued a stark warning regarding the impact of Artificial Intelligence on the workforce, stating that 90% of employees currently lack sufficient AI savviness. Arora described the upcoming period as a 'Darwinian moment' for workers, implying that those who do not adapt and acquire AI skills face potential career obsolescence. This statement, while not directly impacting the company's current financials, highlights a significant industry-wide trend that could influence future talent acquisition, employee training strategies, and operational efficiency within the cybersecurity sector and beyond.

  • 6/3/2026NEGATIVE
    3 reasons why Palo Alto Networks’ stock fell despite upbeat earnings

    Palo Alto Networks Inc. experienced a stock decline despite reporting positive earnings, a situation attributed by analysts to several factors. Profit-taking by investors appears to be a primary driver, suggesting that recent gains may have been realized. Additionally, the timing of contributions from artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives and adjustments in the company's reporting conventions are cited as reasons for the market's muted reaction. Investors will be closely monitoring future reports for clearer indications of AI's impact and the stability of the new reporting structure.

  • 6/3/2026POSITIVE
    Palo Alto Networks’ earnings show AI is a friend, not a foe, to revenue outlook

    Palo Alto Networks' CEO highlighted that recent AI advancements are accelerating the demand for cybersecurity solutions, framing AI as a catalyst for revenue growth rather than a threat. This perspective suggests that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing urgency for robust security measures driven by the proliferation of AI technologies. Investors may see this as a positive indicator for future earnings, as the company leverages emerging tech trends to drive its business forward.

via Markets Gazette