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Progressive Corp (PGR)

Subavaliada
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & CasualtyUnited States

Fundamental

81

Preço

$207.31

Capitalização de Mercado

$121.58B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. The company also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, it offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provides related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield, Ohio.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 19 de setembro de 2026 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 4.4Score: 87Market cap: $57.54B

Allstate is the fourth-largest US personal auto writer and competes with Progressive on both auto and homeowners policies, through agents and increasingly through its own direct brands.

P/E: 9.6Score: 83Market cap: $75.75B

Travelers is one of the largest US commercial auto and small-business insurers, competing with Progressive's Commercial Lines segment for fleet, contractor and trucking policies.

State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance CompanyNot tracked

State Farm is the other carrier at the top of the US private passenger auto market, writing roughly the same premium volume as Progressive and competing for the same household auto and home policies nationwide.

GEICO (Government Employees Insurance Company)Not tracked

GEICO is Progressive's closest rival in the direct-to-consumer auto channel, selling online and by phone to the same price-sensitive US drivers and spending heavily on the same advertising battleground.

United Services Automobile Association (USAA)Not tracked

USAA is a top-five US personal auto and property insurer that competes directly for military families and veterans, a segment Progressive also courts with dedicated pricing and bundles.

Liberty Mutual Holding Company Inc.Not tracked

Liberty Mutual writes personal auto and home insurance across the US alongside a large commercial book, overlapping with Progressive in both the personal and small-business lines.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$91.06B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$11.70B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$17.20B

Capital Próprio Total

$30.32B

Passivo Total

$92.72B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.09

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

0.54

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

SeguradoraSubvalorizada

Valor Justo

$293.87

Preço Atual

$207.31

Margem de Segurança

+29.5%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$196.67 - $391.06

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$231.38
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$246.16
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
P/B justificado:$406.20
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$127.38
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Consenso dos Analistas:Manter (12B / 18H / 1S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-0.45%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

10.40

ROE

37.3%

Rácio P/B

3.51

P/FCF

7.56

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

-

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

-

WACC

7.6%

ROIC − WACC

-

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 14.62%
  • Price CAGR 19.88%
  • P/FCF 7.56
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 35.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 15.5%
  • PEG Ratio 0.71
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
  • Share Dilution -0.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 12.8% vs 12.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Reprovado (5)

  • P/B Ratio 3.51
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.8%

Indisponível (6)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.40

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-0.1%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Ms. Susan Patricia GriffithPresident, CEO & Director61
Mr. Patrick K. CallahanPresident of Personal Lines55
Mr. John Joseph MurphyPresident of Claims56
Ms. Karen Barone BailoPresident of Commercial Lines57
Mr. Andrew John QuiggVP & CFO46
Mr. Jonathan S. BauerChief Investment Officer47
Mr. Carl G. JoyceVP & Chief Accounting Officer43
Mr. Steven Anthony BrozChief Information Officer55
Ms. Julianna Paterra C.F.A.Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. David M. StringerVP, Secretary & Chief Legal Officer50

Risco de Auditoria

7

Risco do Conselho

2

Risco de Remuneração

3

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

6

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-03-02

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-08-03

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-18

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PGR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/25/2026POSITIVE
    $100 Invested In Progressive 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Progressive Corporation five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance and growth trajectory. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, such an article typically highlights substantial capital appreciation driven by factors like increased market share, successful product launches, and favorable industry conditions. Investors would view this as a testament to Progressive's robust business model and its ability to generate wealth over the medium term, potentially encouraging further investment.

  • 4/16/2026POSITIVE
    These Analysts Increase Their Forecasts On Progressive Following Q1 Earnings

    Progressive Corporation (PGR) announced robust Q1 earnings, reporting $4.96 per share, a 6.4% increase year-over-year. Sales also saw a healthy uptick, growing 8% to reach $20.97 billion. Following this strong performance, several analysts have revised their price targets upward for the stock. This positive earnings report and subsequent analyst upgrades suggest growing investor confidence and potential for continued stock appreciation.

via Markets Gazette