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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Subavaliada
Financial ServicesCredit ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

82

Preço

$53.19

Capitalização de Mercado

$45.34B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

PayPal lets people and businesses send and accept money online without sharing bank details, through the PayPal wallet, Venmo for peer-to-peer transfers, and Braintree, which lets merchants build PayPal's checkout directly into their own apps and websites. It sits between a buyer's bank or card and a merchant, verifying identity and guaranteeing the payment goes through, which is why merchants pay to use it even though direct card processing can be cheaper.

Como gera receita

Transaction revenue, the large majority of the total, is a fee charged as a percentage of each payment processed, plus fixed amounts for currency conversion and cross-border transfers, so it scales directly with the dollar value flowing through PayPal's network. The rest, revenue from other value-added services, comes from interest on loans PayPal extends to consumers and merchants, interest earned on customer balances held with PayPal, and referral or subscription fees — income that does not require a transaction to occur.

Receita por segmento

Transaction Revenue90%

Fees earned as a percentage of payment volume processed through PayPal, Venmo and Braintree, plus currency conversion and cross-border charges.

Other Value Added Services10%

Interest on consumer and merchant credit products, interest on customer balances, and partnership, subscription and referral fees not tied to a transaction.

Vantagem competitiva

Efeitos de rede · Estreita

PayPal benefits from a two-sided network: more merchants who accept it make it more useful for consumers, and more consumers who use it make it more valuable for merchants to offer. But that effect has weakened as card networks, Apple Pay and dedicated checkout providers like Stripe have become just as widely accepted, eroding PayPal's early advantage.

O que impulsiona a procura

Moderadamente cíclico

Transaction revenue tracks the overall volume of e-commerce and digital payments, which has grown steadily but is still tied to consumer spending and can slow when shoppers pull back in a weaker economy. Interest income on loans and customer balances adds a second, rate-sensitive driver that moves with monetary policy rather than with commerce itself.

Principais riscos

  • Intensifying payments competition — Apple Pay, Google Pay, card-network wallets and checkout specialists like Stripe and Adyen all compete for the same merchant and consumer transactions, pressuring PayPal's take rate and market share.
  • Sensitivity to interest rates — A meaningful part of other value-added services revenue comes from interest income, so lower rates directly reduce this part of revenue independent of how much payment volume PayPal processes.
  • Regulatory exposure across many jurisdictions — PayPal operates as a money transmitter and lender across dozens of countries, each with its own consumer-protection, anti-money-laundering and payments regulation that can change and raise compliance costs.
  • Credit risk on consumer and merchant lending — PayPal extends credit directly to consumers and merchants through products like Buy Now Pay Later and working-capital loans, exposing it to losses if borrowers do not repay.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that PayPal's wallet, Venmo and Braintree together still process an enormous and growing volume of e-commerce, that a large base of stored customer balances and credit products gives it a second revenue stream beyond simple payment fees, and that recent efforts to modernize checkout can defend its take rate against newer competitors.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that checkout has become commoditized, with Apple Pay and card-network wallets now just as convenient as the PayPal button that built the company, that Venmo and Braintree still monetize below the core PayPal brand's rate, and that interest income leaves a chunk of revenue exposed to rate cuts outside management's control.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$33.73B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$5.06B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$5.56B

Capital Próprio Total

$20.26B

Passivo Total

$59.92B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.26

Cobertura de Juros

13.41

Dívida/EBITDA

1.43

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSubvalorizada

Valor Justo

$73.53

Preço Atual

$53.19

Margem de Segurança

+27.7%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$47.80 - $99.27

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$57.07
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$115.41
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$49.30
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$121.87
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$44.36
P/B justificado:$56.18
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$1.77
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$112.39
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$64.63
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$101.25
Consenso dos Analistas:Manter (14B / 35H / 3S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+5.92%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

9.86

ROE

25.8%

Rácio P/B

2.31

P/FCF

8.42

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

14.5%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

14.5%

WACC

10.4%

ROIC − WACC

+4.0 pp

O ROIC supera o custo do capital — a empresa está a criar valor para os acionistas.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 17.51%
  • ROIC 14.5%
  • P/FCF 8.42
  • P/B Ratio 2.31
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 24.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.1%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 1.03
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
  • Share Dilution -6.9%
  • Net Margin Trend 15.0% vs 14.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Reprovado (5)

  • Price CAGR 2.90%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Analyst Consensus 27% Buy

Indisponível (2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.26

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-6.9%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Enrique J. LoresPresident, CEO & Director59
Ms. Jamie S. MillerChief Financial & Operating Officer and Executive VP56
Mr. Frank KellerPresident of Checkout Solutions & PayPal51
Ms. Suzan Bulyaba KereerePresident of Global Markets59
Mr. Christopher NataliSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer47
Mr. Srinivasan VenkatesanChief Technology Officer54
Mr. Steven Eric WinokerChief Investor Relations Officer-
Mr. Bimal PatelChief Legal Officer-
Ms. Amy BonitatibusChief Corporate Affairs & Communications Officer-
Mr. Antonio J. LucioChief Marketing & Corporate Affairs Officer66

Risco de Auditoria

1

Risco do Conselho

4

Risco de Remuneração

3

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

6

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-03

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-28

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-28

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for PYPL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/28/2026NEGATIVE
    PayPal’s stock slides as a takeover bid is said to fall through. What’s next for the company?

    PayPal's stock experienced a significant decline following reports that a potential takeover bid has failed to materialize. This news removes a key catalyst that had been supporting the stock price in recent months. Investors had been anticipating a potential acquisition as a catalyst for a turnaround, but the failure of this bid leaves PayPal facing the challenge of executing its strategic initiatives independently. The company must now demonstrate its ability to drive growth and improve profitability through its own operational efforts, which introduces a higher degree of uncertainty for shareholders.

  • 8/25/2026NEUTRAL
    Nasdaq-100® Inside the Index: PayPal Holdings (PYPL)

    PayPal Holdings (PYPL), a prominent member of the Nasdaq-100®, is highlighted for its extensive digital payments network spanning over 200 countries. The analysis delves into its dual-sided payment system, the expansion of its Venmo platform, and strategic initiatives in AI-driven commerce, lending, and advertising. These efforts aim to diversify revenue streams beyond conventional payment processing, signaling a focus on innovation and future growth avenues for the company.

  • 7/28/2026POSITIVE
    PayPal delivers an earnings beat — and suggests it’s not against a merger deal

    PayPal Holdings Inc. announced an earnings beat, exceeding analyst expectations for the latest fiscal quarter. The company's CEO indicated a willingness to explore strategic alternatives, including potential merger or acquisition discussions, if they present a clear path to superior shareholder value compared to their current strategy. This dual announcement of strong operational performance and openness to significant strategic shifts has generated positive sentiment among investors, suggesting potential upside catalysts for the stock.

  • 7/28/2026NEUTRAL
    PayPal expands stablecoin push as crypto assets factor into Q2 results

    PayPal reported Q2 revenue of $8.68 billion, meeting analyst expectations. The company highlighted growth in its stablecoin initiatives and the integration of AI-driven payment tools. A notable crypto-related earnings adjustment of $81 million was also disclosed. While the stablecoin expansion signals innovation and potential future revenue streams, the crypto adjustment introduces a degree of uncertainty. Investors will monitor the long-term impact of these digital asset strategies on profitability and overall business performance.

via Markets Gazette