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T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS)

Subavaliada
Communication ServicesTelecom ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

71

Preço

$163.08

Capitalização de Mercado

$177.37B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

T-Mobile US is the third-largest US wireless carrier, providing mobile phone and home internet service to consumers and businesses over its own nationwide network, plus selling phones and other devices. Since completing its 2020 merger with Sprint, it has built out one of the country's largest 5G networks and has been taking subscribers from Verizon and AT&T, particularly in smaller cities, rural areas and price-sensitive segments where its network used to lag.

Como gera receita

Revenue comes mainly from monthly subscription fees for wireless and home broadband plans (postpaid and prepaid), plus device sales usually financed through instalment plans, and a smaller wholesale business reselling network capacity to other carriers. Because the network's infrastructure cost is largely fixed once built, each additional subscriber added to an existing cell site carries a high incremental margin, so subscriber growth converts efficiently into profit once the underlying network investment has been made.

Receita por segmento

Postpaid65.6%

Monthly wireless and home internet subscriptions billed to individual and business customers who pass a credit check — T-Mobile's core, most profitable customer base.

Equipment18.08%

Sales and instalment financing of phones, tablets and other devices to customers, typically bundled with a new or renewed plan.

Prepaid11.89%

Wireless plans paid in advance, generally for more price-sensitive customers, including the Metro by T-Mobile brand.

Wholesale and other services4.43%

Network capacity resold to other carriers and mobile virtual network operators, plus other smaller service revenue lines.

Vantagem competitiva

Custos de mudança · Estreita

Switching carriers means porting a phone number, possibly buying a new device, and hoping coverage holds up in a new network, friction that keeps churn low across the industry. The advantage is narrow, though: switching is still far easier than changing, say, enterprise software, and all three national carriers run aggressive promotions that regularly lure customers to switch anyway.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Most households now treat mobile and home internet service as an essential, utility-like expense, so subscriber demand holds up well even in a weaker economy. The equipment line is more discretionary, though: customers can delay upgrading to a new phone when money is tight, so device sales are more sensitive to consumer confidence than the core subscription business.

Principais riscos

  • Intense price competition — Verizon and AT&T compete aggressively on price and promotions to win or defend subscribers, an ongoing pressure that can compress margins across the whole industry.
  • Heavy, continuous network investment — Maintaining and upgrading a nationwide 5G network requires sustained, large capital spending; falling behind on network quality would directly threaten the subscriber gains built up since the Sprint merger.
  • Cybersecurity and data breach risk — The wireless industry, including T-Mobile, has suffered major customer data breaches in recent years; a future incident could bring regulatory penalties, lawsuits and customer attrition.
  • Regulatory oversight of spectrum and mergers — Wireless spectrum licenses, network access rules and merger approvals are all subject to government oversight that can constrain how the company expands its network and business.
  • Dependence on securing enough spectrum — Growing data usage per subscriber requires an ongoing supply of wireless spectrum; failing to secure enough in future auctions could limit network capacity relative to competitors.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that T-Mobile's network-quality lead since the Sprint merger, combined with a growing home-internet business and expansion into business customers, lets it keep taking profitable subscribers from Verizon and AT&T for years to come.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that ongoing promotional price wars across all three national carriers, the heavy and continuous capital spending network leadership requires, and the industry's repeated exposure to data breaches limit how much of that subscriber growth turns into durable free cash flow.

Dados por segmento do exercício fiscal 2025Fontes: T-Mobile US, Inc. — Financials (revenue by type, FY2025)

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$92.19B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$10.56B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$18.00B

Capital Próprio Total

$59.20B

Passivo Total

$160.03B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.92

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

1.18

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Caso geralSubvalorizada

Valor Justo

$440.05

Preço Atual

$163.08

Margem de Segurança

+62.9%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$286.03 - $594.07

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$244.88
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):$1095.25
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$118.72
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:$492.66
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$166.53
P/B justificado:$190.14
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):$95.18
P/FFO, fundos de operações:$365.44
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$170.15
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:$175.02
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (30B / 7H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+13.02%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

17.06

ROE

18.6%

Rácio P/B

3.11

P/FCF

9.51

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

7.6%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

7.6%

WACC

6.6%

ROIC − WACC

+1.0 pp

O ROIC está próximo do custo do capital — a empresa cobre apenas o custo do capital.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 20.30%
  • Price CAGR 11.16%
  • ROIC 7.6%
  • P/FCF 9.51
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 19.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 18.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.0%
  • PEG Ratio 0.57
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.73
  • Share Dilution -3.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Reprovado (5)

  • P/B Ratio 3.11
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 11.5% vs 14.5%

Indisponível (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

2.73

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-3.7%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Srinivasan GopalanCEO, President & Director55
Mr. Peter OsvaldikExecutive VP & CFO48
Mr. Jonathan A. FreierChief Operating Officer49
Mr. Mark W. Nelson Esq., J.D.Chief Legal Officer & General Counsel57
Mr. Michael J. KatzStrategic Advisor46
Mr. André AlmeidaChief Commercial Officer48
Mr. Daniel J. DrobacVP & Chief Accounting Officer49
Dr. John C. B. Saw Ph.D.President of Technology & CTO63
Mr. Jeff SimonExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer-
Ms. Quan Yao C.F.A.Senior Vice President of Investor Relations-

Risco de Auditoria

9

Risco do Conselho

10

Risco de Remuneração

10

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

9

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-11

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-23

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-09-03

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TMUS, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/23/2026NEGATIVE
    T-Mobile’s stock sinks despite customers pouring into premium plans

    T-Mobile US, Inc. experienced a significant stock price decline despite reporting strong customer uptake of its premium plans. The company's strategic shift towards acquiring 'higher quality accounts' following the introduction of new plans last year appears to be met with investor skepticism. While customer growth in premium segments is a positive operational indicator, the market's reaction suggests concerns about profitability, future revenue streams, or competitive pressures that outweigh the subscriber gains. Investors will be closely watching for further clarification on the financial implications of this strategy.

  • 7/23/2026POSITIVE
    T-Mobile earnings rise as customers pour into premium plans

    T-Mobile US reported an increase in earnings, driven by a strong uptake of its premium customer plans. The company's strategic shift towards 'higher quality accounts' following the introduction of new plans last year appears to be paying off, indicating successful customer acquisition and retention in higher-value segments. This focus on premium offerings suggests improved revenue per user and potentially higher profitability, which is a positive signal for investors.

  • 5/15/2026POSITIVE
    If You Invested $1000 In T-Mobile US Stock 10 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in T-Mobile US stock a decade ago would have yielded a substantial return, illustrating the company's significant growth and market performance. While specific figures are not provided in the prompt, the article's premise suggests a strong positive trajectory for TMUS shareholders over the past ten years. This historical performance indicates effective business strategy, successful integration of acquisitions like Sprint, and a competitive edge in the telecommunications sector, potentially signaling continued investor confidence.

  • 3/19/2026NEGATIVE
    T-Mobile, Verizon, AT&T Go All-In On Discounts As Churn Surge Hits

    T-Mobile, Verizon, and AT&T are engaging in aggressive price wars, offering substantial discounts to combat a surge in customer churn. This intensified competition in 2026 indicates a challenging market environment where customer acquisition and retention costs are rising significantly. Investors should monitor the impact on profit margins for these major US carriers, as the sustained discount strategy could pressure profitability despite efforts to maintain subscriber numbers. The focus shifts from premium service to price competitiveness, potentially altering market dynamics.

  • 2/24/2026NEUTRAL
    T-Mobile hopes free offer will restore customer loyalty

    T-Mobile has rolled out a free offer in an attempt to win back customer loyalty, following recent losses in its user base. This strategic move aims to reverse a negative churn trend but entails significant costs that could impact short-term margins. Investors will need to carefully assess whether this investment in retention will lead to a sustainable recovery in the customer base and future revenues, or if it represents a defensive measure with uncertain long-term outcomes.

via Markets Gazette