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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Valor Justo
Consumer CyclicalAuto ManufacturersUnited States

Fundamental

49

Preço

$373.08

Capitalização de Mercado

$1.49T

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Tesla designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles directly to buyers, without a franchised dealer network, and builds its own battery cells at vertically integrated factories in the US, China and Germany. Alongside cars it sells energy-storage batteries and solar equipment to homes and utilities, and is pushing into new, unproven lines: paid driving-assistance software, a robotaxi service, and Optimus, a humanoid robot still in early development.

Como gera receita

Tesla earns most of its money selling vehicles outright, recognizing revenue on delivery rather than through a dealer network, which keeps a larger slice of the sale price but pushes service, financing and inventory risk onto the company itself. It also sells high-margin regulatory emissions credits to other automakers who need them to meet clean-air rules. A growing services line covers Supercharging, insurance and paid driving-assistance software subscriptions.

Receita por segmento

Automotive73.32%

Sales and leases of electric vehicles, plus automotive regulatory credits sold to other manufacturers.

Energy Generation and Storage13.47%

Megapack and Powerwall battery systems sold to utilities and homeowners, plus solar panels and roofing.

Services and Other13.21%

Used-car sales, paid Supercharging, non-warranty maintenance, insurance and parts and merchandise sales.

Vantagem competitiva

Vantagem de custo · Estreita

Tesla builds its own battery cells and runs vertically integrated Gigafactories, which has kept its unit production costs below most legacy automakers and funded the largest fast-charging network in North America. But Chinese manufacturers such as BYD have matched or undercut Tesla's costs, so the advantage is narrowing rather than widening as competition intensifies.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Vehicle purchases are large, discretionary, and sensitive to interest rates, financing costs and government incentives, all of which can shift abruptly with policy changes. Demand has swung sharply in several markets as EV tax credits and subsidies were reduced or removed, showing how much of Tesla's volume depends on conditions outside its control.

Principais riscos

  • Intensifying EV competition — Chinese manufacturers and legacy automakers are launching competitive electric vehicles at lower prices, eroding the cost and technology lead Tesla built in its early years.
  • Supplier and manufacturing dependence — Tesla relies on suppliers, including single-source ones, for critical components; a shortage or disruption at any of them can directly delay production and deliveries.
  • Dependence on Elon Musk — Tesla's strategy, product direction and public profile are closely tied to Elon Musk, who also runs several other companies; his divided attention or departure would be a material loss for Tesla.
  • Unproven new product lines — Robotaxi services, full self-driving software and the Optimus robot are still in early, nascent stages, face significant technical and regulatory hurdles, and compete against well-funded rivals.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Tesla's lead in vertical integration and self-driving software will eventually translate into higher-margin businesses such as robotaxis and robots, and that its Supercharger network and brand keep customers loyal even as EV competition grows.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that Chinese and legacy competitors are closing the EV cost gap faster than the new robotaxi and robot businesses can generate revenue, and that much of the company's valuation rests on projects that remain unproven.

Dados por segmento do exercício fiscal 2025Fontes: Tesla, Inc. — Form 10-K, fiscal year 2025

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$103.62B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$3.80B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$6.22B

Capital Próprio Total

$82.14B

Passivo Total

$54.94B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.94

Cobertura de Juros

13.09

Dívida/EBITDA

1.50

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

CíclicaJustamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$396.62

Preço Atual

$373.08

Margem de Segurança

+5.9%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$376.79 - $416.45

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$396.62
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$6.91
P/B justificado:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Lucros de meio de ciclo:Dados insuficientes para o calcular
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (30B / 25H / 6S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-36.43%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

327.88

ROE

4.6%

Rácio P/B

16.10

P/FCF

242.72

Margem Bruta

18.9%

ROIC

3.0%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

3.0%

WACC

14.0%

ROIC − WACC

-10.9 pp

O ROIC está abaixo do custo do capital — a empresa está a destruir valor a cada dólar investido.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 38.88%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 24.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 4.91
  • Share Dilution 1.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Reprovado (13)

  • ROIC 3.1%
  • Gross Margin 18.9%
  • P/FCF 242.72
  • P/B Ratio 16.10
  • Operating Margin 4.2%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 4.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 49% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -7.0%
  • PEG Ratio 10.29
  • Net Margin Trend 3.7% vs 6.3%

Indisponível (1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

4.91

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

1.1%

Número de ações estável

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Elon R. MuskCo-Founder, Technoking of Tesla, CEO & Director54
Mr. Vaibhav TanejaChief Financial Officer47
Mr. Xiaotong ZhuSenior Vice President of APAC & Global Vehicle Manufacturing45
Travis AxelrodHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Brandon EhrhartGeneral Counsel & Corporate Secretary-
Mr. Franz von HolzhausenChief Designer-
Ms. Roxanne Inskip-KayeHead of Operations - Electric Vehicle Business-
Mr. John WalkerVice President of Sales - North America62
Mr. Rodney D. Westmoreland Jr.Director of Construction Management-
Mr. Lars MoravyVice President of Vehicle Engineering-

Risco de Auditoria

4

Risco do Conselho

10

Risco de Remuneração

10

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

9

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-01-29

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-23

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-10-02

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for TSLA, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 40m agoPOSITIVE
    Tesla tonica a Wall Street dopo consegne terzo trimestre oltre le attese

    Tesla Inc. shares surged on Wall Street following the release of its third-quarter 2026 delivery figures. The electric vehicle manufacturer, based in Austin, Texas, reported production of 464,391 vehicles and approximately 22,000 deliveries that exceeded market expectations. This positive delivery report is a key indicator of demand and operational efficiency, often leading to upward revisions in analyst price targets and increased investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory.

  • 1d agoNEGATIVE
    Tesla’s delivery report is just around the corner. Expect a sales drop.

    Tesla's upcoming delivery report is anticipated to reveal a sales drop, reflecting waning investor interest in the company's EV business. While the exact figures are yet to be released, the expectation of a decline suggests potential headwinds for the electric vehicle giant. This news could impact investor sentiment and lead to a reassessment of Tesla's valuation, especially if the drop is more significant than currently priced in by the market. Investors will be closely watching for any commentary on future production and demand drivers.

  • 3d agoNEUTRAL
    Tesla Lines Up $30 Billion to Borrow With Spending on Rise

    Tesla Inc. has secured $30 billion in new loans and credit facilities, signaling an increased capital expenditure strategy. The funds are earmarked for significant investments in artificial intelligence and robotics initiatives, suggesting a pivot or expansion beyond its core electric vehicle manufacturing. While securing substantial financing can be seen as a positive step for growth, the increased borrowing and investment focus may also introduce higher financial leverage and execution risk. Investors will be watching closely to see if these AI and robotics ventures can deliver future returns commensurate with the capital deployed.

  • 4d agoNEUTRAL
    Azioni Tesla: perché il prossimo report sulle consegne potrebbe contare poco

    Tesla is set for a pivotal week with the unveiling of its next-generation Roadster and its Q3 delivery report. Despite the historical significance of delivery numbers, Wall Street's focus has shifted to high-margin technological catalysts, including the Roadster, robotaxi network, and Physical AI initiatives. While the stock dipped 3% on Monday ahead of the delivery report, it has recovered approximately 20% from its year-to-date low. This suggests that while delivery figures are a factor, future growth drivers are currently taking precedence in market sentiment.

  • 4d agoNEGATIVE
    Previsioni su Tesla: principali catalizzatori per le azioni TSLA questa settimana

    Tesla shares have experienced recent downward pressure, trading at $372 after a peak of $384 last week, amid investor concerns about its business operations. Key catalysts this week include the release of Q3 delivery data, which is crucial for assessing the company's performance. Expectations are for a decline in Q3 deliveries compared to the previous quarter. Goldman Sachs notably reduced its delivery target from 490,000 to 435,000 units, signaling potential headwinds. Investors will scrutinize these figures for insights into Tesla's growth trajectory and operational efficiency.

via Markets Gazette