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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)

Subavaliada
IndustrialsAirlinesUnited States

Fundamental

73

Preço

$110.95

Capitalização de Mercado

$36.09B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

United Airlines operates a global network of passenger and cargo flights built around hub airports — Newark, Chicago O'Hare, Houston, Denver, San Francisco and others — where it connects passengers from smaller cities onto longer-haul routes. It flies under its own brand and through regional partners operating smaller aircraft on its behalf. Beyond flying, MileagePlus, its frequent-flyer program, sells miles to a co-branded credit card partner and airline partners, a business that has become an important source of profit in its own right.

Como gera receita

Most revenue comes from selling seats: fares, plus a growing premium mix from first/business class and extra-legroom economy, which carries higher margins than the base ticket. Cargo revenue comes from freight capacity sold in the belly of passenger aircraft. A smaller but fast-growing slice — loyalty revenue — comes from selling MileagePlus miles to its co-branded credit card issuer and partners, a fee-based business that is far less capital-intensive and far more profitable than flying planes.

Receita por segmento

Passenger90.5%

Fares from flying passengers on United's own network and through regional partners, including a growing share of higher-margin premium seating.

Other operating revenue6.5%

Mainly loyalty revenue from selling MileagePlus miles to its co-branded credit card partner and other partners, plus ancillary fees.

Cargo3%

Freight capacity sold in the cargo hold of passenger aircraft, a small but steady complement to passenger flying.

Vantagem competitiva

Custos de mudança · Estreita

United's hub-and-spoke network gives it a dominant position and limited take-off and landing slots at airports like Newark and Chicago O'Hare, which is hard for a new entrant to replicate. Its MileagePlus loyalty program and co-branded credit card also give frequent flyers a reason to keep choosing United over a cheaper fare elsewhere, though airline seats remain largely interchangeable and price-sensitive travelers switch readily when fares diverge.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Air travel demand tracks the broader economy closely: business travel budgets and discretionary leisure spending both contract quickly in a downturn, while jet fuel — a major cost — moves with oil prices that United does not control. High fixed costs from aircraft and labor mean a modest revenue decline can hit profits hard, which is why airline earnings have historically swung more sharply than the economy itself.

Principais riscos

  • Jet fuel prices are largely outside its control — Fuel is one of the largest operating costs and its price is set by global oil markets United cannot influence; a sustained spike compresses margins faster than fares can be raised to compensate.
  • Heavily unionized workforce — Pilots, flight attendants and other employee groups are represented by unions whose contract negotiations can raise labor costs materially or, if talks break down, disrupt operations through strikes or slowdowns.
  • Demand is highly sensitive to the economy — Both business and leisure travel contract quickly when the economy weakens, and United's high fixed costs from aircraft leases and long-term labor contracts make it hard to cut expenses as fast as revenue can fall.
  • Safety incidents and regulatory disruption — An accident, a serious safety lapse, or a broader regulatory grounding of aircraft types it operates could ground part of the fleet, damage the brand and trigger significant unplanned costs.
  • Weather and air-traffic-control disruption — Severe weather, air-traffic-control staffing shortages and other operational disruptions can cause widespread flight cancellations, which are costly to passengers and to United's own reputation and finances.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that United's hub network, slot-constrained gates at major airports and a fast-growing, high-margin loyalty and credit-card business give it earnings power that is more durable and less cyclical than the airline's history of boom-and-bust profits would suggest.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that airline seats remain a largely undifferentiated product bought mostly on price, that fuel costs and unionized labor are both largely outside United's control, and that high fixed costs from aircraft and long-term contracts mean profits fall faster than revenue whenever the economy or travel demand turns down.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$62.90B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$3.50B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$2.56B

Capital Próprio Total

$15.28B

Passivo Total

$61.17B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.78

Cobertura de Juros

3.68

Dívida/EBITDA

4.40

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

CíclicaSubvalorizada

Valor Justo

$184.38

Preço Atual

$110.95

Margem de Segurança

+39.8%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$134.90 - $233.85

Dispersão entre os métodos de avaliação utilizados, não um intervalo de confiança calibrado estatisticamente.

Métodos de Estimativa

Preço-alvo dos analistas:$157.50
Fluxo de caixa descontado (DCF):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Multiplicador de lucros (P/E):$91.69
Fórmula de crescimento de Graham:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Valor da capacidade de gerar lucro (EPV):$96.86
P/B justificado:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Desconto de dividendos (Gordon):Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
P/FFO, fundos de operações:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Lucros de meio de ciclo:$237.79
Multiplicador sobre as receitas:Não aplicável a este tipo de empresa
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (26B / 4H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+5.03%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

10.40

ROE

21.9%

Rácio P/B

2.16

P/FCF

14.16

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

6.8%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Criação de Valor (Vantagem Competitiva)

ROIC

6.8%

WACC

7.9%

ROIC − WACC

-1.1 pp

O ROIC está abaixo do custo do capital — a empresa está a destruir valor a cada dólar investido.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC 6.8%
  • P/FCF 14.16
  • P/B Ratio 2.16
  • Operating Margin 7.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 22.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 87% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.55
  • Share Dilution -1.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Reprovado (5)

  • Price CAGR 4.27%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Net Margin Trend 5.6% vs 5.7%

Indisponível (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

2.55

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-1.4%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Participações institucionais

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. J. Scott KirbyCEO & Director58
Mr. Brett J. Hart J.D.President55
Mr. Michael D. Leskinen CFAExecutive VP & CFO45
Mr. Torbjorn J. EnqvistExecutive VP & COO53
Mr. Andrew P. NocellaExecutive VP & Chief Commercial Officer55
Ms. Brigitte BokemeierVP, Principal Accounting Officer & Controller47
Mr. Jason BirnbaumChief Information Officer53
Ms. Kristina Munoz EdwardsManaging Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. Josh EarnestExecutive VP of Communications & Advertising-
Ms. Doreen BurseSenior Vice President of Worldwide Sales-

Risco de Auditoria

9

Risco do Conselho

3

Risco de Remuneração

5

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

10

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Documentos

  • Relatório anual (10-K)

    Uma visão anual do negócio, dos resultados financeiros e dos riscos da empresa.

    Arquivado em 2026-02-12

    Ver documento
  • Relatório trimestral (10-Q)

    Uma atualização sobre o desempenho financeiro dos últimos três meses.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-16

    Ver documento
  • Relatório de fato relevante (8-K)

    Um aviso sobre um fato relevante, como uma mudança na liderança ou um grande anúncio.

    Arquivado em 2026-07-15

    Ver documento

via SEC EDGAR

Histórico de Resultados

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for UAL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 15d agoNEGATIVE
    United, American Say Fuel-Cost Surge May Require Capacity Cuts

    United Airlines and American Airlines are signaling potential capacity reductions for the fourth quarter due to persistent high fuel costs. This announcement suggests that the airlines may ground more flights or reduce service frequency to offset the increasing operational expenses driven by elevated jet fuel prices. For investors, this indicates a challenging operating environment that could impact revenue and profitability, potentially leading to downward revisions in earnings forecasts and affecting stock performance.

  • 8/25/2026POSITIVE
    United Airlines CEO on Expansion Plans, Airfares, Demand

    United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby outlined the company's most significant international expansion, adding 10 new destinations in Europe and Asia. This strategic move is supported by robust customer demand and a strong US economy, according to Kirby. The airline also plans to mitigate the impact of rising oil prices, signaling operational resilience. For investors, this aggressive growth strategy, coupled with positive demand indicators and proactive cost management, suggests a bullish outlook for United Airlines, potentially leading to increased market share and revenue.

  • 7/19/2026POSITIVE
    How United’s ‘premiumization’ strategy got passengers to swallow higher airfares without a fight

    United Airlines reported strong second-quarter earnings, demonstrating the success of its 'premiumization' strategy. Despite rising fuel costs and higher airfares, passengers have largely accepted the increased prices without significant pushback. This indicates robust demand and effective pricing power for the airline. The company's ability to maintain passenger volume and revenue growth in a challenging cost environment suggests operational efficiency and a strong brand appeal, which are positive indicators for investors looking at the airline sector.

  • 7/15/2026NEGATIVE
    United Airlines gets hit by a $6 billion added-fuel-cost headwind

    United Airlines has disclosed a significant financial headwind, projecting nearly $6 billion in additional fuel expenses for the current year. This substantial increase in operating costs, primarily driven by volatile jet fuel prices, directly impacts the airline's profitability. Investors will be scrutinizing the company's strategies to mitigate these higher expenses, such as potential fare adjustments or cost-saving measures, as this could significantly affect future earnings and cash flow. The news casts a shadow over the company's near-term financial outlook.

  • 6/30/2026POSITIVE
    U.S. airline stocks are soaring as cheaper jet fuel and insatiable demand set up a summer boom

    U.S. airline stocks, including United Airlines and Delta Air Lines, are experiencing a significant rally, with the sector up 20% in June. This surge is attributed to falling jet fuel prices and robust consumer demand for air travel, signaling a strong summer season. United shares are approaching record highs, reflecting optimism about the industry's profitability. Investors are encouraged by the combination of lower operating costs and sustained passenger traffic, which points to a favorable earnings outlook for the airlines.

  • 6/17/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much $1000 Invested In United Airlines Holdings 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $1000 in United Airlines Holdings Inc. (UAL) five years ago would have yielded approximately $200 today, representing a 79.9% loss. This historical performance data highlights the volatility and risk associated with airline stocks over the past half-decade. While the article does not provide forward-looking guidance or specific catalysts, it serves as a retrospective financial snapshot for potential investors considering the airline sector.

  • 6/8/2026NEUTRAL
    United Airlines CEO on Demand, Consumers, Oil Prices

    United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby reported that US airline demand and capacity remain robust, with consumers showing resilience despite fare hikes. These increases are attributed to a surge in oil prices, exacerbated by the conflict in Iran. Kirby's comments, made at IATA in Rio de Janeiro, suggest that while external geopolitical factors are influencing operational costs, the core consumer appetite for air travel in the US remains strong. Investors will monitor the balance between sustained demand and rising fuel expenses.

  • 5/11/2026NEUTRAL
    United Revives Junk-Rated Muni Sale in Tough Time for Airlines

    United Airlines is attempting to issue $256 million in junk-rated municipal bonds, a market it previously withdrew from due to volatility. This move signals the company's ongoing need for financing, even in challenging market conditions for the airline sector. The 'junk-rated' status indicates a higher risk profile for the debt, which may appeal to investors seeking higher yields but also carries greater default risk. The success of this sale could provide United with crucial liquidity, but its 'junk' rating suggests potential underlying financial strain.

  • 4/27/2026POSITIVE
    United Airlines CEO says a proposed merger would benefit travelers, but American still won’t return his calls

    United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby stated that a potential merger would benefit travelers, despite ongoing communication challenges with American Airlines. The news follows reports from two weeks prior that Kirby had proposed combining two major U.S. airlines to the White House, which subsequently caused both airlines' stocks to surge. Investors are watching closely for any developments that could lead to consolidation in the U.S. airline industry, as such a move could significantly alter market dynamics and potentially improve profitability for the merged entity.

via Markets Gazette