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Applied Industrial Technologies Inc (AIT)

合理估值
IndustrialsIndustrial DistributionUnited States

基本面

73

价格

$337.08

市值

$12.39B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Applied Industrial Technologies is a value-added distributor of industrial parts and a provider of technical services, headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio. The 10-K describes a selection of more than 9.4 million stock keeping units — bearings, power transmission components, motors, belting, drives, couplings, pumps, linear motion products, hydraulic and pneumatic components, filtration and hoses, plus flow control and automation technologies. Most of what it sells goes to industrial plants for maintenance, repair and operations (MRO), with a smaller share to original equipment manufacturers. The company operates approximately 580 facilities with roughly 6,900 employees in seven countries, mainly North America plus Australia and New Zealand. Beyond pure distribution it also engineers, designs, integrates and repairs fluid power and automation systems.

盈利方式

Applied buys products from manufacturers and resells them to industrial customers: the revenue is the resale price and the profit is the spread between that price and what it paid, minus the cost of running local branches and inventory. Most orders are small, frequent, unplanned MRO purchases placed through a nearby service center, where availability and technical advice matter more than list price. A second, higher-touch stream comes from engineering, assembling, integrating and repairing fluid power and automation systems, where the company charges for engineering and shop labour as well as parts. The 10-K also discloses purchasing incentives earned from suppliers — volume-linked rebates that depend on how much Applied buys — as a component of profitability that falls when demand softens. Acquisitions of other distributors are a stated part of how the company grows.

分部营收

Service Center64.1%

MRO-focused distribution across North America, Australia and New Zealand through roughly 420 service centers and distribution centers: bearings, motors, belting, drives, couplings, pumps, linear motion products, hydraulic and pneumatic components, filtration supplies and hoses, sold to plant maintenance buyers who need parts locally and quickly.

Engineered Solutions35.9%

Distribution, engineering, design, integration and repair of hydraulic and pneumatic fluid power technologies, engineered flow control products and services, and automation technologies, delivered through roughly 160 facilities to industrial, mobile-equipment and technology applications.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

The filing describes a competitive, fragmented industry in which Applied is one of the larger players: roughly 580 facilities, more than 9.4 million stock keeping units, supplier relationships it says are generally good and in many cases decades old, and branches staffed with technical specialists rather than order-takers. In MRO, a plant with a broken machine is buying availability and advice, and the local inventory plus the supplier authorizations behind it are hard for a small competitor to replicate. The advantage is real but bounded: the 10-K itself flags loss of key supplier authorizations, customer and supplier consolidation, and increased competition as risks, and most authorizations are non-exclusive.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Demand tracks how hard its customers' plants are running: the company's own first risk factor is that its business depends heavily on customers' operating levels. That makes it an industrial-cycle business, but a less violent one than capital equipment. Most of what Applied sells is consumed keeping existing machinery alive — a bearing wears out whether or not the economy is good — so the maintenance base does not go to zero in a downturn; what gets deferred first is the discretionary end: capital maintenance projects, upgrades and the engineered, project-driven work. End markets are spread across food processing, chemicals, metals, oil and gas and others, which smooths any single industry's swing.

主要风险

  • Demand depends on customers' operating levels — The company states that its business depends heavily on the operating levels of its customers: when plants cut production, they buy fewer replacement parts and defer maintenance, and demand for Applied's products and services falls with them.
  • Loss of supplier authorizations or product availability — Applied lists the loss of key supplier authorizations and lack of product availability among its risks. Most of its supplier relationships are non-exclusive and authorizations vary by geography, so a manufacturer changing its distribution strategy can remove a product line Applied's customers were buying.
  • Purchasing incentives from suppliers can shrink — The company discloses that the purchasing incentives it earns from product suppliers can be impacted by declining demand. These incentives are tied to how much Applied buys, so a downturn hits profitability twice: lower sales, and a lower rebate rate on what it did buy.
  • Cost volatility and pressure on selling prices — Two separate risk factors cover this: volatility in product, energy, labour and other costs, and changes in customer or product mix combined with downward pressure on sales prices. A distributor's profit is the spread, and both sides of that spread can move against it.
  • Dependence on information systems and cybersecurity — The company reports that its ability to transact business relies on information systems, and separately that it is vulnerable to the growing threat of computer viruses and intrusion. A disruption or breach could impair operations, expose it to regulatory consequences and damage its reputation.
  • Acquisitions may not deliver what was expected — Acquisitions are described as a key component of anticipated growth, and the company flags that integration difficulties could prevent it from realising the expected benefits. It also notes that failure to execute its operational strategies would hurt profitability and competitive position.
  • Operations outside the United States, and indebtedness — Operations outside the United States expose the company to global economic, currency and geopolitical conditions. Separately, the company notes that its indebtedness entails debt service commitments that limit financial flexibility.
  • Customer credit and supply chain disruption — The company sells largely on unsecured trade credit and flags that customers becoming unable or unwilling to pay would impair collections. It separately flags supply chain disruptions that could raise costs and hinder its ability to fill orders, and interruptions at its headquarters or distribution centres.

客户集中度

The filing does not disclose a combined share for the largest customers. What it does state is that Applied serves thousands of customers across a wide variety of industries and that no single customer accounts for more than 5% of 2026 sales — so the business is not hostage to any one account, and the concentration question is largely answered in the negative.

看多理由

Buyers argue that this is a boring, necessary business with a structural position: plants must keep running, the parts wear out, and someone has to hold the inventory and know which part fits. Applied's roughly 580 locations, 9.4 million SKUs and decades-old supplier authorizations are an asset a new entrant cannot assemble quickly, and the industry is fragmented enough that acquiring smaller distributors — a stated part of the growth plan — keeps adding branches and product lines. Buyers also point to the shift in mix toward Engineered Solutions, the fluid power, flow control and automation work, which sells engineering hours rather than just boxes, and to a customer base spread across thousands of accounts with none above 5% of sales, which limits how badly any single loss can hurt.

看空理由

Sellers fear that a distributor's earnings are a thin spread between what it pays and what it charges, and the company's own risk factors say both sides can move: volatility in product, energy and labour costs on one side, downward pressure on sales prices and adverse mix shifts on the other. They note that purchasing incentives from suppliers — profit that arrives because Applied buys a lot — shrink exactly when demand is weak, so a downturn compounds. They point to the dependence on customers' operating levels: this is the industrial cycle with an extra step, and Applied does not control it. And they flag the strategy's own machinery: growth leans on acquisitions that must be integrated, on non-exclusive supplier authorizations that can be withdrawn, and on debt whose service commitments the company lists as a risk.

Generated on 2026年9月17日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月17日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 483.6Score: 46Market cap: $17.66B

Its Motion subsidiary is Applied's closest mirror image, distributing the same bearings, power transmission, fluid power and automation products to the same North American industrial maintenance customers through a comparable network of local service centers.

P/E: 42.3Score: 70Market cap: $58.21B

Competes for the same plant-level MRO and safety spend through local branches and on-site vending programs embedded at the customer's facility.

DXP Enterprises, Inc.DXPE

Sells the same rotating equipment, bearings and power transmission products to North American plant maintenance and OEM buyers, overlapping directly with Applied's service center and flow control businesses.

W.W. Grainger, Inc.GWW

Competes for the same maintenance, repair and operating spend of North American plants and facilities, with a broad-line catalogue and e-commerce offer that overlaps much of Applied's stocked product range.

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.MSM

Targets the same industrial maintenance and metalworking buyers in North America with a general-line MRO catalogue and vendor-managed inventory programs that compete with Applied's service centers.

SunSource (STC Holdings, Inc.)Not tracked

A privately held North American distributor of fluid power, hydraulics and motion control that competes head-on with Applied's Engineered Solutions segment for the same OEM and plant engineering projects.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$4.97B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$415M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$461M

股东权益合计

$1.86B

负债合计

$1.15B

流动比率

2.58

利息覆盖率

31.60

债务/EBITDA

0.79

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$423.17

当前价格

$337.08

安全边际

+20.3%

公允价值区间

$275.06 - $571.29

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$400.00
现金流折现法(DCF):$638.56
市盈率法(P/E):$295.24
格雷厄姆成长公式:$550.48
盈利能力价值(EPV):$126.21
合理市净率(P/B):$177.17
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$38.98
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:$318.16
市销率法(P/S):$377.44
分析师共识:强力买入 (10B / 3H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+7.60%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

30.35

ROE

22.3%

市净率(P/B)

6.55

P/FCF

26.48

毛利率

30.3%

ROIC

18.1%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

18.1%

WACC

8.9%

ROIC − WACC

+9.2 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(22)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 15.19%
  • Price CAGR 18.48%
  • ROIC 18.1%
  • Gross Margin 30.3%
  • P/FCF 26.48
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 11.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 22.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.9%
  • PEG Ratio 1.22
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.17
  • Share Dilution -2.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

未通过(5)

  • P/B Ratio 6.55
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 8.3% vs 8.6%

不可用(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

8/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.17

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-2.5%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

该公司暂无机构申报数据。

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Neil A. SchrimsherPresident, CEO & Director61
Mr. David K. WellsVP, CFO, & Treasurer62
Mr. Kurt W. LoringVP & Chief Human Resource Officer56
Mr. Richard M. WagnerChief Accounting Officer & Controller57
Mr. Ryan Dale CieslakVice President of Investor Relations & Treasury-
Mr. Jon S. Ploetz J.D.VP, General Counsel & Secretary52
Ms. Julie A. KhoManager of Corporate Communications & Public Relations-
Joe MangiapaneManaging Director of Australia & New Zealand-

审计风险

3

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

9

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-08-13

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-04-28

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-14

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

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