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Corpay Inc (CPAY)

合理估值
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

基本面

68

价格

$390.40

市值

$26.02B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Corpay (formerly FLEETCOR, NYSE: CPAY) is a US-based corporate payments company that helps businesses control and pay their expenses. It issues payment cards and runs payment platforms for four kinds of business spending: fuel and vehicle costs for fleets, supplier invoices and cross-border payments for finance departments, hotel rooms booked in bulk by companies and airlines, and smaller programs such as gift and payroll cards. It operates on four continents and reports four segments: Vehicle Payments, Corporate Payments, Lodging Payments and Other. Consolidated revenue was $4.53 billion in fiscal 2025, up about 14% on 2024.

盈利方式

Corpay does not sell software by subscription so much as it earns a slice of the money that passes through it. The filing describes several streams: transaction and processing fees charged to customers and merchants; interchange income earned when its cards are used, including on its own proprietary networks; spread on foreign-exchange and cross-border transactions; interest (float) earned on customer money held before it is paid out; and late fees and finance charges on outstanding card balances. Revenue is therefore volume-driven and recurring: it rises with the number of transactions, with fuel prices and with cross-border volumes, and the float portion moves with interest rates.

分部营收

Vehicle Payments47.2%

Fuel cards, toll, parking and fleet maintenance payment programs sold to companies that run vehicle fleets, plus the related data and spend controls. Revenue was $2,138.7 million in fiscal 2025.

Corporate Payments36.1%

Accounts-payable automation, virtual cards, cross-border and foreign-exchange payments and travel-and-expense cards, sold to finance departments of mid-size and large companies. Revenue was $1,635.1 million in fiscal 2025 and this is the fastest-growing segment.

Lodging Payments10.4%

Booking and payment of hotel rooms bought in bulk, mainly for travelling workforces, airline crews and passengers stranded by cancellations, and for insurance-funded stays. Revenue was $469.5 million in fiscal 2025 and fell against 2024.

Other6.3%

Residual businesses that are not part of the three main platforms, chiefly gift-card and payroll-card programs. Revenue was $285.1 million in fiscal 2025.

护城河

网络效应 · 狭窄

The 10-K argues the company's advantage comes from proprietary closed-loop networks: Corpay contracts directly with fuel merchants and hotels, so it captures data at the point of sale that an open card network does not see, and it keeps the economics of both sides of the transaction. Scale across four continents and payment programs that sit inside a customer's payables or fleet workflow make the product awkward to rip out. The advantage is real but not absolute: fuel cards, AP automation and virtual cards are all contested by banks, fintechs and the card networks themselves, and growth has depended heavily on acquisitions.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Demand follows business activity rather than consumer sentiment, and the filing notes that business customers tend to have relatively predictable, consistent volumes — companies keep fuelling trucks and paying suppliers in most conditions. But the revenue is not insulated: fleet fuel volumes and fuel prices, cross-border trade flows, corporate travel and the hotel nights bought by airlines all soften in a downturn, and the float component shrinks when interest rates fall, as management flagged for Corporate Payments in 2025.

主要风险

  • Credit losses on customer receivables — Corpay extends credit to business customers when they use its cards and settles with merchants before being paid. The filing lists the management of credit risk, the adequacy of the allowance for losses, and the ability to keep securitising receivables among its risks: a deterioration in customers' finances would show up directly in losses and in funding capacity.
  • Fraud, data breaches and system outages — The company holds payment credentials and customer funds and processes transactions continuously. It discloses risks from fraud and cybersecurity incidents, and from disruption of its computer systems and data centres; an incident could mean direct losses, remediation cost and loss of customer trust.
  • Regulation, supervision and pending litigation — The filing cites regulatory supervision and litigation with the Federal Trade Commission, plus obligations on privacy and data protection and on anti-money-laundering and counter-terrorism rules across many countries. Changes in these rules, or an adverse outcome, could force changes to fee practices.
  • Dependence on partners and merchants — Much of the business runs through relationships with fuel merchants, hotels, card networks and distribution partners. The 10-K lists the retention and performance of these partners among its risks: losing a large network relationship would remove volume the company does not originate on its own.
  • Acquisitions and their integration — Growth has come partly from purchases — the filing names the AvidXchange and Alpha transactions — and discloses risks around integrating acquired businesses and executing the growth strategy, together with remediation of internal control weaknesses.
  • Macroeconomic conditions, currencies and trade policy — The company discloses exposure to macroeconomic conditions and market volatility, to international operations and currency movements, to global conflicts and to changes in tariffs and trade policy — all of which move the transaction volumes it earns on.

客户集中度

The annual report we read does not state a percentage of revenue attributable to the largest customer or customers, and no single-customer concentration disclosure was found. What the filing does flag is dependence on partners: the retention and performance of merchants, hotels, card networks and distribution partners appears among its risk factors, so the exposure is more to a handful of large network relationships than to one end customer.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Corpay sits on payment rails businesses cannot easily leave, earning a small fee on an enormous and repeating flow of corporate spending, and that the mix is shifting towards its best part: Corporate Payments grew revenue about 34% in 2025 and now supplies roughly a third of the group, against a fuel-card business that is steadier but slower. They point to a record $4.53 billion of revenue, a company that converts a high share of it into operating profit, proprietary networks that capture data and economics an open card scheme does not, and a management team that has repeatedly bought and folded in new payment businesses.

看空理由

Sellers fear that the engine is slower than it looks once acquisitions are stripped out: nearly half of revenue still comes from Vehicle Payments, tied to fuel volumes and fuel prices in a fleet market that is electrifying, while Lodging Payments shrank in 2025. They worry about the quality of the earnings — part of it is float interest that falls with rates, and part is late fees and card charges that regulators and the FTC litigation named in the filing have put under scrutiny. They also point to the debt and integration work that acquisitions such as AvidXchange bring, to the internal control remediation disclosed in the filing, and to competition from banks, card networks and fintechs in exactly the accounts-payable and cross-border niches the company is counting on for growth.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 18.5Score: 65Market cap: $206.87B

American Express competes for corporate card and B2B supplier payment volume, and through its travel arm for the managed hotel spend that Corpay's Lodging Payments business books.

WEX Inc.WEX

WEX is the other large US fleet- and fuel-card network, selling the same closed-loop payment cards and spend controls to the same commercial vehicle fleets that Corpay's Vehicle Payments segment serves.

Edenred SEEDEN

Edenred competes with Corpay on fuel cards, toll payments (Repom) and employee benefit cards, above all in Europe and Brazil, where both fight for the same corporate fleet and payroll-benefit accounts.

BILL Holdings, Inc.BILL

BILL sells accounts-payable automation and virtual-card payments to small and mid-sized businesses, the same buyers and the same spend that Corpay's Corporate Payments segment targets.

Convera Holdings, LLCNot tracked

Convera provides cross-border payments and currency risk management to mid-market companies, the same service Corpay sells through its cross-border business.

DKV Mobility GroupNot tracked

DKV Mobility runs one of the largest European fuel- and toll-card networks for road transport operators, competing head-on with Corpay's European fleet card offering.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$5.02B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$1.14B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$1.30B

股东权益合计

$3.88B

负债合计

$22.48B

流动比率

0.97

利息覆盖率

5.02

债务/EBITDA

6.35

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$462.65

当前价格

$390.40

安全边际

+15.6%

公允价值区间

$300.72 - $624.57

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$461.00
现金流折现法(DCF):$745.19
市盈率法(P/E):$235.84
格雷厄姆成长公式:$498.88
盈利能力价值(EPV):$265.75
合理市净率(P/B):$216.74
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):$356.54
周期中段收益:$820.72
市销率法(P/S):$386.36
分析师共识:强力买入 (19B / 4H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+4.36%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

23.67

ROE

27.5%

市净率(P/B)

7.20

P/FCF

15.57

毛利率

-

ROIC

15.4%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

15.4%

WACC

7.0%

ROIC − WACC

+8.4 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 17.56%
  • Price CAGR 11.18%
  • ROIC 15.4%
  • P/FCF 15.57
  • Operating Margin 43.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 30.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.74
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.62
  • Share Dilution -0.9%

未通过(9)

  • P/B Ratio 7.20
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.7%
  • Net Margin Trend 22.7% vs 25.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

不可用(2)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

4/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.62

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.9%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Ronald F. ClarkeChairman, President & CEO69
Ms. Alissa B. VickeryChief Accounting Officer46
Mr. Armando Lins NettoGroup President of Brazil Vehicle Payments & Strategic Transformation57
Mr. Alan KingGroup President of International Vehicle Payments48
Mr. Scott A. DufourGlobal Chief Information Officer56
Mr. James P. EglsederSenior Vice President of Global Investor Relations-
Mr. Steve C. GreeneExecutive Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy50
Mr. Chris ByrneChief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Crystal WilliamsChief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. Mark FreyGroup President of Corpay Cross Border Solutions-

审计风险

10

董事会风险

10

薪酬风险

10

股东权利风险

2

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-27

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-10

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CPAY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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