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Carlisle Companies Inc (CSL)

被低估
IndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentUnited States

基本面

71

价格

$322.17

市值

$12.96B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Carlisle Companies is a US manufacturer of building envelope products — the materials that keep water, air and heat from passing through the outside shell of a building. After selling its interconnect and fluid-technology businesses, it is now a pure-play building products company organized in two segments: Carlisle Construction Materials, which makes commercial roofing systems (EPDM, TPO and PVC single-ply membranes, polyiso insulation, metal roofing and wall panels), and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies, which makes waterproofing, air and vapor barriers, roofing underlayments, spray polyurethane foam and related products for commercial and residential buildings. Manufacturing is concentrated in the United States, with additional plants in Canada, Germany, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Romania.

盈利方式

Carlisle sells physical products at a unit price: it manufactures membranes, insulation boards, sealants and accessories and sells them through a network of authorized sales representatives and distributors in North America and Europe, and through distribution and retail outlets for the weatherproofing business. There is no subscription or recurring-fee component — revenue is recognized when the product ships. The recurring element comes from the building stock itself: roofs wear out, so replacement demand repeats on a multi-decade cycle. Profitability turns on two things the filing highlights: the spread between selling prices and raw material costs (petroleum-based inputs are roughly 66% of cost of goods sold) and the mix of higher-margin roofing systems sold with warranties and accessories rather than bare commodity membrane.

分部营收

Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM)74.1%

Single-ply commercial roofing systems — EPDM, TPO and PVC membrane, polyiso insulation, engineered metal roofing and wall panels — sold with warranties to commercial building owners through authorized distributors and roofing contractors in North America and Europe. Roughly 70% of the commercial roofing business is re-roofing rather than new construction.

Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT)25.9%

Building envelope products below and around the roof line: waterproofing and moisture protection, roofing underlayments, air and vapor barriers, spray polyurethane foam, expanded polystyrene insulation and engineered HVAC products, for both commercial and residential buildings, sold through distribution and retail outlets in North America.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

Carlisle is one of a small group of manufacturers with enough plant capacity and geographic coverage to supply large commercial roofing jobs across North America, and it is vertically integrated into polyiso insulation, which lets it sell a complete system rather than a component. The system is sold with a long-dated warranty honoured only when installed by an authorized contractor, which ties both the distributor and the roofing crew to the brand. The advantage is real but limited: the filing itself names several competitors and states that competition creates pricing pressure on operating margins, and a roofing membrane remains a substitutable product once a building owner is willing to requalify a supplier.

需求驱动因素

中度周期性

Demand sits between defensive and cyclical, and the split inside the business explains why. Roughly 70% of the commercial roofing business is re-roofing: a leaking roof is replaced whether or not the economy is good, and the company points out that over 70% of North America's non-residential building stock is more than 25 years old, which keeps a base level of replacement work flowing. The remaining new-construction share behaves like a classic construction cycle and is tied to interest rates, credit availability and non-residential starts — in 2025 the company described continued headwinds in new construction across both residential and non-residential markets while re-roofing stabilized the business. Energy-efficiency codes and retrofit incentives add a structural, slower-moving driver on top.

主要风险

  • Dependence on construction markets and on repair and replacement activity — The company states that most of its revenues come from construction end markets, and that a decline in commercial or residential construction — or specifically in repair and replacement activity — would materially affect demand for its products.
  • Concentration in a small number of large customers — CCM's two largest customers represented 33% of consolidated revenues in 2025. The company states that losing either of them, or facing pricing pressure from these key distributors, could have a material adverse effect on consolidated revenues and operating income.
  • Raw material cost volatility — Petroleum-based products represent approximately 66% of cost of goods sold. The company warns that increases in these input costs may not be recovered through price increases to customers.
  • Competition and pricing pressure — The company operates against multiple competitors in each of its product lines and discloses that competitive pricing pressure can compress operating margins.
  • Reliance on acquisitions and on integrating them — Growth depends in part on acquiring businesses. The company states that failure to integrate an acquisition, or underperformance against the assumptions behind it, could lead to a material impairment of goodwill and intangible assets.
  • Disruption at a limited number of production facilities — Production is concentrated in a limited number of locations; the company discloses that natural disasters, equipment failure or a cyberattack affecting one of them could severely disrupt operations.
  • Environmental, climate and product liability exposure — The company is subject to stringent environmental regulation and possible liabilities from historical operations, notes that greenhouse gas regulation could raise compliance costs, and discloses that defects in building products could trigger lawsuits for which insurance may be inadequate.

客户集中度

主要客户占营收的33%

The filing discloses that CCM's two largest customers together represented 33% of the Company's consolidated revenues in 2025, and warns that losing either one could materially hurt revenues and operating income. These are distributors rather than end users: the buildings that ultimately receive the roof are many and unrelated, but the route to them passes through very few intermediaries, which is where the bargaining power sits. The filing does not disclose the split between the two, nor a figure for the top five or top ten customers.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Carlisle has become a focused, high-margin building envelope manufacturer after shedding its aerospace and fluid-technology businesses, and that the roofing business it kept is the best part of the old conglomerate. They point to the replacement nature of the demand — about 70% of commercial roofing is re-roofing, on a building stock where more than 70% of non-residential square footage is over 25 years old — as a floor under volumes that does not depend on new construction recovering. They note that CCM earned roughly a quarter of its revenue as segment operating income in 2025 even in a down year for construction, that energy-efficiency codes push owners toward the insulated systems Carlisle sells, and that the company generates enough cash to keep buying back stock and acquiring adjacent weatherproofing businesses. Their view is that when new non-residential and residential construction stops falling, the operating leverage on an already-built manufacturing base shows up quickly.

看空理由

Sellers fear that the 2025 numbers show the limits of the story: revenue was essentially flat, operating income fell about 12% to $1,002.5 million and the operating margin slipped from 22.8% to 20.0%, while the weatherproofing segment earned only $101.9 million of operating income on $1,298.2 million of revenue. They point to the input side — petroleum-based products are roughly 66% of cost of goods sold, and the company itself warns those increases may not be passed through — and to the customer side, where two distributors control 33% of consolidated revenue and can press on price. They also note that the company has narrowed itself to a single end market: with almost all revenue tied to construction, there is no longer a second business to offset a building downturn, and the growth plan leans on acquisitions, which the filing flags as a source of potential goodwill impairment if they underperform.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 19.1Score: 72Market cap: $12.80B

Its Tremco unit sells commercial roofing systems, sealants, air barriers and waterproofing to building owners and architects, overlapping squarely with Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies.

Amrize Ltd. (Elevate, formerly Firestone Building Products)AMRZ

Its Elevate brand sells the same TPO, EPDM and polyiso insulation systems for North American commercial low-slope roofs, through the same roofing contractors and distributors Carlisle sells to.

GAF (Standard Industries Holdings Inc.)Not tracked

GAF's commercial division offers single-ply membranes, cover boards and polyiso insulation in direct competition with Carlisle Construction Materials on U.S. commercial roofing projects; it is privately held by Standard Industries.

Johns Manville CorporationNot tracked

A wholly owned Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary whose roofing arm makes TPO, PVC, EPDM membranes and polyiso insulation for the same commercial building-envelope specifications Carlisle bids on.

Sika AGSIKA

Through Sarnafil and Sikaplan it is the reference supplier of PVC and TPO single-ply membranes for commercial roofs and waterproofing, competing with Carlisle in North America and across Europe.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$5.10B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$724M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$971M

股东权益合计

$1.80B

负债合计

$4.47B

流动比率

2.60

利息覆盖率

9.71

债务/EBITDA

2.41

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$639.15

当前价格

$322.17

安全边际

+49.6%

公允价值区间

$415.45 - $862.86

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$410.38
现金流折现法(DCF):$1392.82
市盈率法(P/E):$249.23
格雷厄姆成长公式:$879.79
盈利能力价值(EPV):$222.41
合理市净率(P/B):$329.97
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$89.68
P/FFO(运营资金):$377.58
周期中段收益:$351.34
市销率法(P/S):$357.90
分析师共识:买入 (10B / 7H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+9.55%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

18.47

ROE

41.3%

市净率(P/B)

7.91

P/FCF

14.76

毛利率

35.3%

ROIC

15.0%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

15.0%

WACC

7.7%

ROIC − WACC

+7.3 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 18.84%
  • Price CAGR 11.76%
  • ROIC 15.0%
  • Gross Margin 35.3%
  • P/FCF 14.76
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 19.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 41.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 6.9%
  • PEG Ratio 0.73
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.39
  • Share Dilution -8.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(6)

  • P/B Ratio 7.91
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.2% vs 16.1%

不可用(1)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.39

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-8.2%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. D. Christian KochChairman, President & CEO60
Mr. Kevin P. ZdimalVP & CFO55
Mr. Frank J. ReadyPresident of Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies63
Mr. Andrew C. EastonVP & Chief Accounting Officer38
Mr. Mehul S. PatelVice President of Investor Relations46
Mr. Christopher Burke Gaskill J.D.VP & General Counsel43
Ms. Susan WallaceVP & Chief Human Resources Officer60
Ms. Kelly P. KamienskiVice President of Finance of Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies42
Mr. Stephen P. AldrichChief Financial Officer for Carlisle Construction Materials44
Mr. David W. SmithVice President of Sustainability & Community Relations62

审计风险

4

董事会风险

5

薪酬风险

3

股东权利风险

4

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-13

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-30

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-10

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for CSL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/10/2026NEGATIVE
    CSL Cuts Profit Outlook, Flags $5 Billion in New Impairments

    CSL Limited has significantly lowered its full-year profit forecast and announced an additional $5 billion in impairments. The company cited a review by its interim chief executive, indicating that a turnaround will require more time than previously anticipated. This downward revision suggests potential operational challenges and a longer path to recovery, which could impact investor sentiment and the company's valuation in the short to medium term.

via Markets Gazette