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Diodes Incorporated (DIOD)

被高估
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

基本面

60

价格

$102.34

市值

$4.46B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Diodes Incorporated designs, manufactures and sells high-volume, application-specific standard semiconductors: discrete devices (diodes, transistors, protection and power devices), standard logic, analog and mixed-signal chips. These are the inexpensive, ubiquitous parts that sit around the main processor of almost any electronic product - managing power, protecting circuits, switching signals. The company runs a hybrid model, making part of its output in its own wafer fabs and assembly/test plants (including Shanghai, Wuxi and Chengdu in China, plus sites in Taiwan, the UK and Germany) and buying the rest from external foundries and subcontractors. In fiscal 2025 it shipped roughly 45 billion units, up from about 39 billion in 2024, and net sales were $1,482.1 million, 13.0% above 2024.

盈利方式

Diodes earns money by selling physical chips, unit by unit, at very low average prices and very high volumes; there is no meaningful subscription or royalty stream. Roughly two thirds of sales pass through distributors and one third goes directly to manufacturers and electronics contract assemblers: in 2025 direct sales and EMS customers together accounted for 35% of net sales, against 37% in 2024 and 32% in 2023. Profitability depends on the gap between selling price and manufacturing cost, and therefore on how full the company's own factories are - fixed plant costs are spread over the units produced. Gross margin was 31.2% in 2025 against 33.2% in 2024, which the company attributes mainly to product mix and slower growth in the industrial end market.

分部营收

Computing27%

Power management, protection and signal devices sold into notebooks, servers, storage and data-centre hardware. It was the fastest-growing end market in 2025, up from 25% of product revenue in 2024, helped by AI and data-centre demand.

Industrial23%

Components sold to makers of factory automation, power supplies, metering, building and medical equipment. The share was unchanged at 23% in 2025 and 2024, and the company describes growth in this market as slower than the group average.

Automotive19%

Qualified parts sold to car manufacturers and their tier-one suppliers for infotainment, lighting, body electronics and powertrain. The share was unchanged at 19% in 2025 and 2024, and the company names automotive as a strategic growth target.

Consumer18%

Devices sold into televisions, home appliances, wearables, chargers and other consumer electronics. The share slipped from 19% of product revenue in 2024 to 18% in 2025.

Communications13%

Parts sold into smartphones, networking gear, broadband and other communications equipment. The share fell from 14% of product revenue in 2024 to 13% in 2025.

护城河

成本优势 · 狭窄

Diodes has no proprietary technology to protect: its catalogue is made of standard parts that several suppliers can build. What it does have is manufacturing scale in low-cost locations - its own wafer fabs and assembly and test plants in Asia, shipping about 45 billion units a year - which lets it make a profit at prices where a smaller rival would not, plus the qualification cycles of automotive and industrial customers, which make a designed-in part awkward to replace mid-programme. That advantage is real but narrow, and the filing itself is explicit that customers and competitors push continuously for lower prices and that larger competitors have greater financial and technical resources.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Demand follows the electronics build cycle, not end-consumer spending directly: Diodes sells to the people who assemble devices, so its orders rise and fall with their production plans and with how much inventory sits in the distribution channel - and roughly two thirds of its sales go through distributors. The company identifies the semiconductor industry as cyclical in its own risk factors, and that showed in the numbers: net sales fell to $1,311.1 million in 2024 and rebounded 13.0% to $1,482.1 million in 2025, with unit shipments going from about 39 billion to about 45 billion. Within the year the filing notes a seasonal pattern, with the fourth quarter historically the smallest calendar quarter and some additional weakness in the first quarter. The end-market mix softens the swings a little - industrial and automotive turn more slowly than consumer and computing - but it does not remove them.

主要风险

  • Tariffs and trade barriers — The company lists first among its risk factors the tariffs assessed or contemplated by various governments, which could raise the cost of raw materials and components, disrupt its supply chain and make its products less competitive.
  • Fixed costs in a downturn — Because Diodes owns factories, a large share of its costs does not fall when orders do. The filing warns that in difficult market conditions fixed costs combined with lower sales and lower margins can hurt results.
  • Semiconductor cycle and end-market demand — The company discloses that downturns in the cyclical semiconductor industry, or shifts in the end markets it serves, could adversely affect operating results and financial condition.
  • Competition from larger rivals — The filing states that the semiconductor business is competitive and that some competitors have greater financial, technical and marketing resources, so increased competition may harm the business.
  • Continuous pressure to cut prices — Diodes says it is and will continue to be under continuous pressure from customers and competitors to reduce the price of its products, which could hurt growth and profit margins.
  • Orders can be cancelled without penalty — Customer orders are normally cancellable or modifiable with no penalty; a high volume of cancellations or reduced quantities could adversely affect net sales and operating results.
  • Disruption of its own plants — Production at the company's manufacturing facilities could be disrupted by natural disasters and other extraordinary events, preventing it from producing enough product to meet customer demand.
  • Acquisitions and their integration — A significant part of the growth strategy involves acquiring companies; the filing warns that suitable targets may not be found and that acquired businesses may not be successfully integrated.
  • Dependence on China and on the Chinese economy — Wafer fabrication and assembly and test capacity sits in Shanghai, Wuxi and Chengdu, and Asia produced $1,156.8 million of the $1,482.1 million of 2025 net sales. The filing flags that a slowdown in the Chinese economy could limit growth in demand for electronic devices.
  • Loss of key people — The company discloses that it may fail to attract or retain the qualified technical, sales, marketing, finance and management personnel it needs to operate successfully.

客户集中度

Concentration on the customer side is low: the company says it serves over 50,000 customers worldwide, and the filing does not disclose any single customer or distributor at 10% or more of net sales. What it does disclose is the route to market: direct sales and EMS (contract assembly) customers together accounted for 35% of net sales in 2025, 37% in 2024 and 32% in 2023, with the remainder - about 65% in 2025 - going through distributors. That shifts the concentration question onto a handful of large global distributors rather than onto end customers, but the filing does not size their individual shares, so no number can be given here.

看多理由

Buyers argue that 2024 was the bottom of an inventory cycle and that 2025 showed the recovery taking hold: net sales up 13.0% to $1,482.1 million, unit shipments from about 39 to about 45 billion, and computing rising from 25% to 27% of product revenue on AI and data-centre demand. They point to the company's stated three-year target of $2 billion of revenue, $700 million of gross profit and $4 of non-GAAP earnings per share by 2028, to the cash the business threw off in 2025 - $215.5 million from operations and $137.2 million of free cash flow after $78.4 million of capital spending - and to the operating leverage in owned factories, where each extra unit of volume drops through at a high incremental margin. They also argue that the strategic push into automotive and industrial, currently 19% and 23% of product revenue, mixes the company toward parts with longer lives and slower price erosion.

看空理由

Sellers fear that the recovery is being bought at the price of margin: gross margin fell to 31.2% in 2025 from 33.2% in 2024 even as revenue grew 13.0%, which is what the company's own risk factor about continuous customer and competitor pressure on prices looks like in practice. They point out that the products are standard parts, that several competitors are larger and better funded, and that owning factories cuts both ways - the same fixed costs that magnify a recovery magnify a downturn, and the filing warns of exactly this. They also note the geographic exposure: the wafer fabs and the assembly and test plants sit largely in China, Asia generated $1,156.8 million of 2025 net sales, and the first risk factor in the filing is tariffs. Finally, about two thirds of sales go through distributors, so reported revenue can run ahead of or behind real end demand depending on channel inventory, and orders can be cancelled without penalty.

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 53.0Score: 65Market cap: $28.48B

Named by Diodes in its own 10-K, onsemi sells the same catalogue of discrete, power and analog components to the same automotive, industrial and computing customers through the same distributors.

P/E: 68.6Score: 61Market cap: $73.11B

Infineon competes directly for the automotive and industrial power sockets — electrification, battery management and motor control — that Diodes has made its main growth area.

Vishay Intertechnology, Inc.VSH

Also named in Diodes' 10-K, Vishay is a broad-line maker of diodes, rectifiers and MOSFETs that competes part-by-part for the same standard-component sockets in industrial and consumer boards.

Nexperia B.V.Not tracked

Nexperia is the other high-volume specialist in standard discretes and logic, selling essentially interchangeable parts to the same distribution channel where Diodes wins on price, package and availability.

ROHM Co., Ltd. (ローム株式会社)6963

ROHM offers a comparable mix of small-signal discretes, power devices and analog ICs and competes for the same Asian consumer and automotive design wins.

Alpha & Omega Semiconductor LimitedAOSL

Alpha & Omega is the closest small-cap rival, targeting the same power-MOSFET and power-management content in notebooks, smartphone chargers and computing power supplies.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$1.63B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$86M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$137M

股东权益合计

$1.88B

负债合计

$510M

流动比率

3.17

利息覆盖率

27.61

债务/EBITDA

0.41

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$73.16

当前价格

$102.34

安全边际

-39.9%

公允价值区间

$47.56 - $98.77

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$162.50
现金流折现法(DCF):$33.70
市盈率法(P/E):$34.79
格雷厄姆成长公式:$13.91
盈利能力价值(EPV):$8.55
合理市净率(P/B):$6.53
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:$73.85
市销率法(P/S):$173.20
分析师共识:强力买入 (7B / 1H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+13.71%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

52.41

ROE

3.5%

市净率(P/B)

2.30

P/FCF

31.50

毛利率

31.7%

ROIC

2.9%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

2.9%

WACC

15.0%

ROIC − WACC

-12.1 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 14.04%
  • Gross Margin 31.7%
  • P/B Ratio 2.30
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.90
  • Share Dilution -0.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.3% vs 4.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

未通过(9)

  • EPS CAGR 4.65%
  • ROIC 2.9%
  • P/FCF 31.50
  • Operating Margin 4.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 4.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 3.8%

不可用(2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

8/9

财务状况强健

score
criteria

盈利质量

2.90

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.2%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Brett R. WhitmireChief Financial Officer59
Mr. Francis TangChief Technology Officer70
Ms. Emily YangSenior Vice President of Worldwide Sales & Marketing56
Mr. Kuo Ting TsongSenior Vice President of Worldwide Products Group56
Dr. Jin ZhaoSenior Vice President of Worldwide Manufacturing and Quality & President of Asia Pacific Region55
Ms. Sheana ChenChief Legal Officer, Corporate Compliance Officer & VP of Corporate Operations-
Mr. Gurmeet DhaliwalVice President of Corporate Marketing & Investor Relations-
Dr. Gerry McCarthyPresident of Europe-
Mr. Richard D. White CPACorporate Secretary & Special Assistant to the CEO77

审计风险

7

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

3

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-10

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-27

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

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