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Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

被低估
EnergyOil & Gas E&PUnited States

基本面

58

价格

$184.17

市值

$53.17B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Diamondback Energy drills for and produces crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids, almost entirely from the Permian Basin in West Texas — the largest oil-producing region in the United States. It owns roughly 869,000 net acres of drilling rights there and operates its own wells rather than just holding a financial stake in someone else's. Unlike a service company, Diamondback takes on the full cost and risk of drilling, then sells whatever oil and gas it finds.

盈利方式

Almost all revenue comes from selling oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids at prevailing market prices — Diamondback is a price-taker, not a price-setter, since crude trades on global benchmarks like WTI and gas on regional hubs like Henry Hub. A smaller portion comes from buying and reselling oil produced by others through its marketing operations, a lower-margin trading activity separate from its own production. Revenue therefore moves directly with commodity prices and with how many barrels the company pumps each day.

分部营收

Oil, Natural Gas and NGL Sales89.5%

Revenue from Diamondback's own crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids production, priced at prevailing market rates.

Purchased Oil Sales9.8%

Lower-margin trading revenue from buying oil produced by third parties and reselling it, separate from Diamondback's own production.

Other Operating Income0.6%

Small residual income not tied to oil and gas sales.

护城河

未发现护城河 · 无

Diamondback sells the same commodity every other Permian producer sells, at the same market price, so it has no brand, network or switching-cost advantage over a rival. Its real edge is operating low-cost, contiguous acreage that lets it drill and produce more cheaply than higher-cost basins, which shows up in profitability rather than pricing power — a cost edge, not a moat that keeps competitors out.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Revenue swings with global oil and gas prices, which move with worldwide supply and demand, OPEC+ production decisions, and the broader economic cycle — factors entirely outside Diamondback's control. Production volumes are more within its control, but the company still chooses how much to drill based partly on the same price cycle, so both the price and the volume side of revenue tend to move together rather than offset each other.

主要风险

  • Revenue tied directly to commodity prices — Oil and gas prices are set by global markets outside the company's control, and a sustained price drop reduces revenue and profitability regardless of how efficiently Diamondback operates.
  • Geographic concentration in the Permian Basin — Nearly all production comes from one region, so a regional issue — pipeline bottlenecks, water disposal limits, or Texas-specific regulation — affects the whole company at once rather than one of several basins.
  • Environmental and regulatory exposure — Drilling, flaring and produced-water disposal are subject to environmental regulation that can tighten, raising compliance costs or restricting where and how much the company can drill.
  • Declining well productivity over time — Individual wells produce less oil each year after an initial peak, so Diamondback must keep drilling new wells just to hold production flat, and the best drilling locations get used up first.

客户集中度

Diamondback does not name individual customers because it sells into liquid commodity markets at posted or index prices rather than through negotiated relationships with a handful of buyers, so customer concentration is not a meaningful risk the way it would be for a company selling a differentiated product.

看多理由

Buyers argue that Diamondback's low-cost, contiguous Permian acreage lets it stay profitable at oil prices that would squeeze higher-cost producers, that its scale gives it negotiating leverage on drilling and pipeline costs, and that returning cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks makes the stock attractive even without oil-price appreciation.

看空理由

Sellers fear that a sustained drop in oil prices would hurt Diamondback the same way it hurts every other Permian producer, that the best drilling locations get used up over time and force a shift to lower-quality acreage, and that heavy concentration in one basin and one commodity leaves little room to offset a regional or price-driven downturn.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 13.7Score: 75Market cap: $17.84B

The closest pure-play comparison: an independent producer whose entire business is drilling oil and gas in the Permian Basin, bidding for the same acreage, the same rigs and crews, and selling into the same West Texas crude market.

P/E: 8.6Score: 67Market cap: $56.08B

One of the largest Permian operators after its CrownRock acquisition, competing directly with Diamondback for Midland Basin acreage, oilfield services and takeaway capacity on the same pipelines.

P/E: 10.9Score: 70Market cap: $51.40B

An independent US shale producer anchored in the Delaware side of the Permian, chasing the same barrels, the same acquisitions and the same income-focused shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

P/E: 10.7Score: 77Market cap: $73.76B

A large independent producer active in the Delaware Basin alongside the Eagle Ford and Bakken, competing for the same drilling locations and selling crude and natural gas to the same refiners and processors.

P/E: 16.5Score: 62Market cap: $151.42B

The largest pure exploration-and-production company in the US and a top Permian operator, competing with Diamondback for acreage, services and the same global crude buyers, though with a wider international portfolio.

Matador Resources CompanyMTDR

A smaller Permian-focused independent working the same Wolfcamp and Bone Spring targets in the Delaware Basin, competing for leases, service crews and midstream capacity in the same counties.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$17.10B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$1.47B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

-

股东权益合计

$36.97B

负债合计

$28.09B

流动比率

0.47

利息覆盖率

5.19

债务/EBITDA

2.00

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

周期性被低估

公允价值

$246.45

当前价格

$184.17

安全边际

+25.3%

公允价值区间

$170.53 - $322.36

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$234.52
现金流折现法(DCF):不适用于此类公司
市盈率法(P/E):$50.24
格雷厄姆成长公式:不适用于此类公司
盈利能力价值(EPV):$42.70
合理市净率(P/B):不适用于此类公司
股息折现模型(戈登模型):不适用于此类公司
P/FFO(运营资金):不适用于此类公司
周期中段收益:$308.92
市销率法(P/S):不适用于此类公司
分析师共识:强力买入 (32B / 4H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+5.64%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

35.01

ROE

4.5%

市净率(P/B)

1.36

P/FCF

-

毛利率

-

ROIC

1.3%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

1.3%

WACC

6.7%

ROIC − WACC

-5.4 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(14)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 13.23%
  • Price CAGR 6.27%
  • P/B Ratio 1.36
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 6.3%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 39.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.91
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(8)

  • ROIC 1.3%
  • Current Ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 3.9%
  • Share Dilution 35.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 8.6% vs 27.2%

不可用(6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

6.91

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

35.1%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Matthew Kaes Van't HofCEO & Director38
Mr. Jere W. Thompson IIIExecutive VP & CFO36
Mr. Daniel N. WessonExecutive VP & COO41
Mr. P. Matt ZmigroskyExecutive VP, Chief Legal & Administrative Officer and Secretary46
Ms. Teresa L. Dick CPAExecutive VP of Accounting & Assistant Secretary55
Mr. Gregory M. LarsonSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. David L. CannonSenior Vice President of Geoscience & Technology-
Mr. Greg DolezalSenior VP & Chief Information Officer-
Mr. Adam T. LawlisVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Johnny D. DosseyVice President of Marketing59

审计风险

3

董事会风险

7

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-25

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-05

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-30

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for FANG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 6/4/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Diamondback Energy Stock In The Last 5 Years

    Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) has delivered a remarkable 5-year return, significantly outperforming the broader market. While specific figures are not provided in this snippet, the title implies substantial gains for shareholders over the past half-decade. This performance suggests strong operational execution, strategic acquisitions, and favorable market conditions within the oil and gas sector. Investors looking for energy sector exposure with a proven track record of growth may find Diamondback Energy an attractive option, warranting further due diligence into its financial health and future prospects.

  • 5/4/2026POSITIVE
    Top U.S. oil producer declares ‘green’ light on drilling for more oil amid Iran war

    Diamondback Energy, a leading U.S. oil producer, has announced an increase in its drilling and spending activities, citing the ongoing Iran war as a primary driver. This move marks a significant development as the largest U.S. producer to publicly commit to expanded operations due to geopolitical tensions. The decision suggests a bullish outlook on crude oil prices, anticipating sustained or increased demand amidst supply chain uncertainties stemming from the conflict. Investors will monitor production figures and cost management closely.

  • 3/25/2026POSITIVE
    $1000 Invested In Diamondback Energy 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $1000 in Diamondback Energy (FANG) five years ago would have yielded a significant return, illustrating the company's strong performance in the energy sector. While specific figures are not provided in the title, such a headline typically indicates substantial capital appreciation, likely driven by factors such as increased oil production, favorable commodity prices, and strategic acquisitions. Investors who held FANG stock over this period would have benefited from both share price growth and potential dividend payouts, underscoring the attractiveness of well-managed energy companies in a fluctuating market.

  • 3/10/2026NEGATIVE
    Autry Stephens Daughter Selling $2 Billion in Diamondback Shares

    The daughter of the late wildcatter Autry Stephens is set to sell approximately $2 billion worth of Diamondback Energy Inc. stock. These shares were acquired as part of the proceeds from the sale of her father's oil company. This significant block sale could exert downward pressure on the stock price due to increased supply in the market. Investors will be monitoring the execution of this sale and its immediate impact on Diamondback's trading volume and valuation.

via Markets Gazette