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Genmab A/S (GMAB)

被低估
HealthcareBiotechnologyDenmark

基本面

84

价格

$34.77

市值

$21.42B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Genmab, a Danish biotech, discovers antibody drugs and then largely lets bigger pharmaceutical companies manufacture and sell them, collecting a royalty on those sales instead. Its most important invention, daratumumab, is a multiple-myeloma antibody that Johnson & Johnson sells worldwide as DARZALEX; Genmab gets a cut of every dose sold. It also sells two of its own antibody drugs directly, EPKINLY/TEPKINLY for lymphoma, and keeps a pipeline of earlier-stage antibodies aimed at cancer and other diseases.

盈利方式

Most revenue is royalty income: a contractual percentage of what Johnson & Johnson and Novartis book selling DARZALEX and Kesimpta, which Genmab receives without bearing the cost of manufacturing, marketing or a sales force for those drugs. A smaller and faster-growing slice is net product sales from EPKINLY/TEPKINLY, which Genmab commercializes itself in some territories. The royalty model keeps margins very high but ties most of Genmab's fortunes to a single antibody it does not control commercially.

分部营收

Royalty revenue83.4%

Contractual royalties on DARZALEX sales by Johnson & Johnson and Kesimpta sales by Novartis, the core of Genmab's income.

Net product sales10.2%

Direct sales of EPKINLY/TEPKINLY, the lymphoma antibody Genmab commercializes itself in the territories it retains.

Milestone, collaboration and other revenue6.4%

One-time and reimbursement payments from partners tied to development progress, a small and less predictable part of total revenue.

护城河

专利与许可 · 狭窄

Genmab's royalty stream is protected by patents on daratumumab and by an exclusive license that bars Genmab itself from developing a competing antibody against the same CD38 target. That protection is time-limited: the relevant patents begin expiring in the late 2020s and early 2030s across the US, Europe and Japan, after which royalty rates and revenue are expected to decline.

需求驱动因素

防御型

Cancer treatment spending is not discretionary: patients and physicians do not defer chemotherapy or a myeloma drug because of the economy, and the drugs are largely covered by insurance or national health systems. Genmab's own revenue growth depends more on how many patients Johnson & Johnson's sales force reaches with DARZALEX and on Genmab's own launch execution for EPKINLY than on macroeconomic conditions.

主要风险

  • Dependence on a single partnered drug — About two-thirds of revenue comes from DARZALEX royalties, a drug Genmab does not manufacture or sell itself. Genmab's fortunes hinge on decisions and execution by Johnson & Johnson, a company it does not control.
  • Patent expiration reduces future royalties — Core daratumumab patents begin expiring around 2029 in the US and later in Europe and Japan; once they lapse, generic or biosimilar competition is expected to erode DARZALEX sales and Genmab's royalty income with them.
  • Disputes with licensing partners — Genmab has previously entered binding arbitration with Janssen (Johnson & Johnson) over terms of the daratumumab license agreement, showing that even its most important partnership is not free of contractual disagreement.
  • Manufacturing reliance on third parties — Genmab relies on a limited number of third-party contract manufacturers, some based in China, to produce the antibody drugs it sells directly, exposing it to supply disruption or geopolitical trade risk.

客户集中度

主要客户占营收的66%

DARZALEX royalties from Johnson & Johnson alone accounted for about 66% of Genmab's 2025 revenue. A change in DARZALEX sales, pricing or J&J's marketing effort moves the majority of Genmab's income.

看多理由

Buyers argue that royalty income on a market-leading, still-growing drug like DARZALEX carries almost no commercial cost or execution risk for Genmab, that EPKINLY's rapid growth shows the company can also succeed as a direct seller, and that years remain before the daratumumab patent cliff meaningfully dents revenue.

看空理由

Sellers worry that a company earning two-thirds of its revenue from one partner's drug has limited control over its own destiny, that the patent cliff later this decade will eventually shrink the royalty stream that funds everything else, and that Genmab's own commercial drugs are not yet large enough to replace that income if the transition goes slowly.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 18.8Score: 71Market cap: $75.15B

Regeneron's odronextamab (Ordspono) is a CD20xCD3 bispecific approved for the same relapsed B-cell lymphomas as EPKINLY, and its myeloma bispecific targets the same haematology prescribers.

P/E: 13.7Score: 72Market cap: $130.49B

Bristol Myers Squibb's CAR-T therapies Breyanzi in lymphoma and Abecma in myeloma are the alternative treatment chosen instead of Genmab's antibodies for the same relapsed patients at the same line of therapy.

Sanofi S.A.SAN

Sanofi's Sarclisa (isatuximab) is the only other approved anti-CD38 antibody for multiple myeloma and fights for the same patients and prescriptions as DARZALEX, the drug that generates the majority of Genmab's royalty revenue.

Roche Holding AGROG

Roche sells Lunsumio (mosunetuzumab) and Columvi (glofitamab), the two CD20xCD3 bispecific antibodies that compete head-to-head with Genmab's EPKINLY in relapsed follicular lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$4.13B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$788M

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$1.13B

股东权益合计

$5.85B

负债合计

$7.03B

流动比率

2.02

利息覆盖率

20.49

债务/EBITDA

3.95

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$133.66

当前价格

$34.77

安全边际

+74.0%

公允价值区间

$86.88 - $180.44

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$39.14
现金流折现法(DCF):$393.06
市盈率法(P/E):$28.17
格雷厄姆成长公式:$24.55
盈利能力价值(EPV):$159.12
合理市净率(P/B):$171.35
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$263.74
分析师共识:买入 (22B / 3H / 2S)
最近财报超预期:+36.61%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

22.47

ROE

16.5%

市净率(P/B)

0.37

P/FCF

1.90

毛利率

93.6%

ROIC

8.6%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

8.6%

WACC

8.3%

ROIC − WACC

+0.3 pp

ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。

基本面分析标准

通过(21)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 8.44%
  • Price CAGR 7.68%
  • ROIC 8.6%
  • Gross Margin 93.6%
  • P/FCF 1.90
  • P/B Ratio 0.37
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 33.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 13.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.2%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.23
  • Share Dilution -6.5%

未通过(4)

  • Earnings Surprise avg -1.8%
  • PEG Ratio 3.88
  • Net Margin Trend 25.9% vs 36.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

不可用(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles

Piotroski F-评分

4/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.23

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-6.5%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Dr. Jan G.J. van de Winkel Ph.D.Co-Founder, President & CEO64
Mr. Anthony Pagano CPAExecutive VP & CFO47
Mr. Rayne WallerExecutive VP & Chief Technical Operations Officer57
Mr. Gregory David Emil MuellerExecutive VP, General Counsel & Chief Legal Officer54
Mr. Christopher CozicExecutive VP & Chief People Officer47
Dr. Martine J. van Vugt Ph.D.Executive VP & Chief Strategy Officer54
Mr. Martin SchultzSenior Director, Head of Development Business Partnership & Strategy and Director50
Dr. Judith V. Klimovsky M.D.Executive VP & Chief Development Officer67
Dr. Tahamtan Ahmadi M.D., Ph.D.Executive VP, Chief Medical Officer & Head of Experimental Medicines52
Dr. Mijke Zachariasse Ph.D.VP, Head of Antibody Research Materials & Director52

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

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