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Hershey Co (HSY)

合理估值
Consumer DefensiveConfectionersUnited States

基本面

69

价格

$159.81

市值

$33.03B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

The Hershey Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of confectionery products and pantry items in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and International. The company offers chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery products; gum and mint refreshment products, including mints, chewing gums, and bubble gums; protein bars; pantry items, such as baking ingredients, toppings, beverages, and sundae syrups; and snack items comprising spreads, bars, snack bites, mixes, popcorn, and pretzels. It provides its products primarily under the Hershey's, Reese's, Kisses, Jolly Rancher, Almond Joy, Brookside, barkTHINS, Cadbury, Good & Plenty, Heath, Kit Kat, Payday, Rolo, Twizzlers, Sour Strips, Whoppers, York, Ice Breakers, Breath Savers, Bubble Yum, Lily's, SkinnyPop, Pirates Booty, Dot's Homestyle Pretzels, and ONE Bar brands, as well as under the Pelon Pelo Rico, IO-IO, and Sofit brands. The company markets and sells its products to wholesale distributors, chain grocery stores, mass merchandisers, chain drug stores, vending companies, wholesale clubs, convenience stores, dollar stores, concessionaires, and department stores. It exports its products in approximately 65 countries worldwide. The Hershey Company was founded in 1894 and is based in Hershey, Pennsylvania.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 28.6Score: 62Market cap: $78.12B

Mondelez competes with Hershey across chocolate (Cadbury, Milka, Toblerone) and snacking more broadly, selling to the same grocery and convenience retailers.

P/E: 16.6Score: 61Market cap: $174.91B

Through Frito-Lay, PepsiCo dominates the salty snack aisle where Hershey's SkinnyPop, Dot's Pretzels and Pirate's Booty compete for the same snacking occasion.

Mars, IncorporatedNot tracked

Mars is the largest chocolate and candy maker in the United States, and its M&M's, Snickers and Skittles sit on the same checkout shelves as Hershey's, Reese's and Jolly Rancher.

Ferrero Group (Ferrero International S.A.)Not tracked

Ferrero owns Nutella, Kinder, Butterfinger and the former Nestlé US candy brands, putting it head to head with Hershey in American chocolate and seasonal confectionery.

Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AGLISN

Lindt competes for the same chocolate buyer from the premium end, with Lindor and Ghirardelli taking shelf space and gifting occasions from Hershey's brands.

Nestlé S.A.NESN

Nestlé remains a global confectionery rival with KitKat (which Hershey licenses only for the United States), Aero and Smarties in the international markets Hershey is trying to grow.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$12.16B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/28)

净利润

$1.49B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/28)

自由现金流

$1.82B

股东权益合计

$4.64B

负债合计

$9.10B

流动比率

1.18

利息覆盖率

9.51

债务/EBITDA

3.08

每股收益

暂无 EPS 数据

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$155.35

当前价格

$159.81

安全边际

-2.9%

公允价值区间

$106.73 - $203.97

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$205.52
现金流折现法(DCF):$171.83
市盈率法(P/E):$130.11
格雷厄姆成长公式:$54.83
盈利能力价值(EPV):$81.45
合理市净率(P/B):$89.44
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):$109.40
周期中段收益:$213.31
市销率法(P/S):$57.82
分析师共识:持有 (11B / 16H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+32.02%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

28.28

ROE

19.0%

市净率(P/B)

7.01

P/FCF

14.35

毛利率

38.4%

ROIC

16.1%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

16.1%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

+8.9 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(16)

  • Price CAGR 5.30%
  • ROIC 16.1%
  • Gross Margin 38.4%
  • P/FCF 14.35
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 31.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.5%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 21.7%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.78

未通过(6)

  • P/B Ratio 7.01
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 12.2% vs 13.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

不可用(5)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

4/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.78

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Kirk C. TannerPresident, CEO & Director56
Mr. Deepak BhatiaChief Technology Officer51
Mr. Steven E. VoskuilSenior Vice President of Strategic Projects57
Mr. Jason R. ReimanSenior Vice President of Supply Chain Modernization53
Mr. Dave HulaysSenior VP & CFO53
Ms. Jennifer L. McCalmanVP & Chief Accounting Officer46
Ms. Anoori NaughtonVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. James TuroffSenior VP, General Counsel & Secretary48
Ms. Stacy TaffetChief Growth & Marketing Officer45
Ms. Natalie Rothman S. Schechtman J.D.Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer54

审计风险

5

董事会风险

7

薪酬风险

7

股东权利风险

10

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-17

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-30

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-02

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for HSY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/29/2026POSITIVE
    Hershey Bull Sees World Cup, America 250 Lifting Sales

    The Hershey Company is poised for a sales uplift driven by upcoming summer events, including the FIFA World Cup and America's 250th anniversary. Analysts suggest these occasions will boost demand for confectionery products, presenting a strategic buying opportunity for investors in the currently undervalued stock. This positive outlook, fueled by anticipated consumer spending during these major events, indicates potential for significant revenue growth and a rebound in share price for Hershey.

  • 2/20/2026NEGATIVE
    Hershey faces scrutiny after Reese's family criticism

    The Hershey Company is facing public scrutiny following criticism from a Reese's family member. While not directly impacting financial fundamentals, negative publicity and potential brand reputation damage could negatively affect investor perception and future sales, warranting a cautious signal.

via Markets Gazette