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Humana Inc (HUM)

合理估值
HealthcareHealthcare PlansUnited States

基本面

57

价格

$376.58

市值

$46.79B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Humana Inc. provides medical and specialty insurance products in the United States. It operates in two segments, Insurance and CenterWell. The Insurance segment offers individual Medicare Advantage products, including health insurance benefits, including wellness programs, chronic care management, and care coordination; individual Medicare stand-alone prescription drug products (PDP); group Medicare advantage and Medicare stand-alone PDP; Medicare supplements; specialty and ancillary insurance comprising dental, vision, life and disability; and administrative services to arrange health care services for active-duty and retired military personnel and dependents, as well as pharmacy benefit managers. Its CenterWell segment operates full-service, value-based senior focused primary care centers under the Conviva Senior Primary Care and CenterWell Senior Primary Care brands; a management services organization; CenterWell Home Health, a home health provider; and OneHome, which manages post-acute patient needs, as well as provides pharmacy and hospice solutions. The company was formerly known as Extendicare Inc. and changed its name to Humana Inc. in April 1974. Humana Inc. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月18日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 23.6Score: 70Market cap: $336.61B

Its UnitedHealthcare arm is the largest Medicare Advantage insurer in the United States and bids against Humana plan-by-plan for the same senior enrollees, while its Optum clinics and pharmacy mirror Humana's CenterWell care-delivery model.

P/E: 22.6Score: 58Market cap: $112.36B

Through Aetna it is the third-largest Medicare Advantage insurer and also sells Medicare drug plans, Medicaid managed care and commercial coverage to the same customers Humana serves.

P/E: 15.7Score: 69Market cap: $85.57B

A national managed-care company competing with Humana for Medicare Advantage seniors and for state Medicaid contracts in overlapping markets.

P/E: —Score: 53Market cap: $30.89B

Competes head-on for government-sponsored members, bidding for the same state Medicaid contracts and selling Medicare Advantage and Part D plans to low-income and dual-eligible beneficiaries.

Kaiser Foundation Health Plan, Inc. (Kaiser Permanente)Not tracked

A non-profit integrated insurer-and-provider holding about 6% of Medicare Advantage enrollment, taking the same seniors in California and other western markets with the combined coverage-plus-clinics model Humana is building.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$137.20B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

净利润

$1.13B

最近12个月(截至2026/3/31)

自由现金流

$375M

股东权益合计

$17.66B

负债合计

$31.17B

流动比率

1.77

利息覆盖率

3.68

债务/EBITDA

4.11

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$400.66

当前价格

$376.58

安全边际

+6.0%

公允价值区间

$260.43 - $540.89

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$423.74
现金流折现法(DCF):$672.50
市盈率法(P/E):$269.43
格雷厄姆成长公式:$79.06
盈利能力价值(EPV):$208.05
合理市净率(P/B):$100.24
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$86.93
P/FFO(运营资金):$251.34
周期中段收益:$1106.82
市销率法(P/S):$4738.19
分析师共识:买入 (16B / 16H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+4.34%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

40.72

ROE

6.7%

市净率(P/B)

2.47

P/FCF

36.02

毛利率

-

ROIC

5.7%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

5.7%

WACC

7.2%

ROIC − WACC

-1.5 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 7.22%
  • ROIC 5.7%
  • P/B Ratio 2.47
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 5.1%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.63
  • Share Dilution -0.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

未通过(10)

  • EPS CAGR 3.94%
  • P/FCF 36.02
  • Operating Margin 1.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 48% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 0.8% vs 1.4%

不可用(3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

6/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.63

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.2%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. James A. Rechtin M.B.A.President, CEO & Director54
Ms. Celeste Marie MelletChief Financial Officer48
Mr. Japan A. MehtaChief Information Officer44
Ms. Michelle A. O'HaraChief Human Resources Officer49
Dr. Sanjay K. Shetty M.B.A., M.D.President of CenterWell51
Mr. John-Paul William FelterSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller42
Mr. Bobby MukundanSenior VP & CTO-
Ms. Lisa M. StonerVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Joseph C. VenturaChief Legal Officer48
Mr. Bruce Dale BroussardStrategic Advisor63

审计风险

2

董事会风险

2

薪酬风险

5

股东权利风险

2

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-19

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-07-29

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-01

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for HUM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/29/2026NEGATIVE
    Humana Lower on Profit Guidance; P&G Moves on Results | Stock Movers

    Humana Inc. is experiencing a significant downturn as the health insurance provider maintained its annual profit guidance despite a robust second quarter performance. While the company delivered strong operational results for the period, the decision to keep the full-year outlook unchanged suggests potential headwinds or conservatism that has unnerved investors. This lack of upward revision, even with a positive quarterly showing, signals a cautious stance that could impact future revenue streams and profitability, leading to a sell-off in its shares.

via Markets Gazette