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Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)

被高估
TechnologyCommunication EquipmentUnited States

基本面

41

价格

$971.26

市值

$87.12B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers component products, including semiconductor laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, line subsystems, and wavelength management systems. The company also offers system products, such as optical modules, optical circuit switches, and industrial lasers, including short-pulse solid-state lasers and kilowatt-class fiber lasers. Its products and solutions are used in cloud, artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML), telecommunications, consumer, and industrial end-market applications. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$3.01B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/27)

净利润

$-6.94B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/27)

自由现金流

$300M

股东权益合计

$4.64B

负债合计

$2.66B

流动比率

1.68

利息覆盖率

24.07

债务/EBITDA

4.08

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被高估

公允价值

$618.06

当前价格

$971.26

安全边际

-57.1%

公允价值区间

$401.74 - $834.38

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$1159.40
现金流折现法(DCF):$90.78
市盈率法(P/E):数据不足,无法计算
格雷厄姆成长公式:数据不足,无法计算
盈利能力价值(EPV):$34.52
合理市净率(P/B):数据不足,无法计算
股息折现模型(戈登模型):数据不足,无法计算
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:$9.61
市销率法(P/S):$180.14
分析师共识:强力买入 (30B / 5H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+6.56%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

-

ROE

-149.3%

市净率(P/B)

18.76

P/FCF

290.31

毛利率

41.7%

ROIC

8.6%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

8.6%

WACC

12.9%

ROIC − WACC

-4.3 pp

ROIC 低于资本成本:公司每投入一美元都在毁灭价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(13)

  • Price CAGR 37.56%
  • ROIC 8.6%
  • Gross Margin 41.7%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 17.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 11.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 7.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(10)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 290.31
  • P/B Ratio 18.76
  • CapEx intensity
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE -300.1%
  • Share Dilution 6.6%
  • Net Margin Trend -230.1% vs 1.6%

不可用(4)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

-

低质量:需深入审查会计处理

股权稀释

6.6%

正在发行新股,稀释所有权

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Michael E. HurlstonPresident, CEO & Director58
Mr. Wajid Ali B.A., C.M.A., M.A., M.B.A.Executive VP & CFO52
Mr. Jae Kim Esq.Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary54
Mr. Vincent RetortExecutive VP of Module Business Unit, R&D and Product Development71
Dr. Wupen Yuen Ph.D.President of Global Business Units55
Mr. Eric Chang CPAChief Accounting Officer51
Ms. Kathryn TaVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Rafik WardSenior VP, Chief Strategy Officer & Chief Marketing Officer-
Ms. Heather PaschallSenior VP & CHRO-
Mr. John BagatelosSenior Vice President of Worldwide Sales-

审计风险

4

董事会风险

6

薪酬风险

9

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-08-17

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-05-06

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-11

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for LITE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 15d agoPOSITIVE
    Why optical stocks Lumentum and Coherent were the day’s biggest S&P 500 gainers

    Lumentum Holdings Inc. and Coherent Corp. emerged as the top performers on the S&P 500, driven by investor interest in the AI data-center supply chain. Despite broader concerns about a potential spending slowdown, the positive momentum in these optical stocks suggests sustained demand for AI infrastructure components. This trend indicates that companies providing critical optical networking solutions may continue to benefit from the ongoing AI build-out, potentially outperforming market expectations and signaling robust underlying demand in a key technology sector.

  • 8/12/2026POSITIVE
    Lumentum’s stock surges, giving a further boost to the optical-networking trade

    Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) saw its stock price surge, signaling positive momentum within the optical-networking sector. This upward movement is further amplified by anticipation for Coherent Corp.'s upcoming earnings report, which is expected to benefit from the positive sentiment generated by Lumentum's performance. Investors are closely watching this space for continued growth opportunities, as strong results from key players like Lumentum often indicate broader industry health and potential for further gains across related companies. The news suggests a favorable environment for optical-networking technology providers.

  • 8/11/2026POSITIVE
    Lumentum sees sales more than double as AI demand swells

    Lumentum Holdings Inc. reported a significant surge in sales, more than doubling year-over-year, primarily driven by robust demand for AI-related products. Despite this exceptional performance and a strong forecast, the company's stock showed a muted reaction in after-hours trading. The company's ability to capitalize on the AI boom highlights its strategic positioning in a high-growth market. Investors will be watching to see if the market eventually reflects the company's fundamental strength and future potential, especially given the substantial revenue expansion.

  • 7/20/2026POSITIVE
    Lumentum’s stock just got a lot more interesting — and Barclays has turned bullish

    Barclays analyst upgraded Lumentum Holdings Inc. to 'overweight' from 'equal-weight', citing a more constructive outlook for the company's optical networking segment. The upgrade follows a period where Lumentum's stock has significantly underperformed its peers in the broader semiconductor industry. The analyst highlighted improved demand signals for Lumentum's key products and a more favorable competitive landscape as reasons for the bullish stance. This shift in analyst sentiment could attract new investor interest and potentially drive share price appreciation.

  • 6/9/2026NEUTRAL
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Lumentum Holdings Stock In The Last 10 Years

    An analysis of Lumentum Holdings Inc. stock performance over the past decade reveals its historical returns for investors. While specific figures are not detailed in this summary, the article implies a review of past price movements and potential investment outcomes. Investors considering Lumentum should examine this historical data to understand its volatility, growth trajectory, and past market reactions to company-specific and sector-wide events. This retrospective analysis serves as a basis for evaluating future potential, rather than a direct indicator of current market sentiment.

  • 6/2/2026POSITIVE
    Why Lumentum, Coherent and other optical stocks rocketed to big gains Tuesday

    Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) and other optical component stocks experienced significant gains on Tuesday, following positive remarks from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang about Marvell Technology. Huang's endorsement has generated broad optimism across the optical components sector. This sentiment suggests a potential increase in demand or strategic partnerships benefiting companies like Lumentum, which are integral to the supply chain for high-performance computing and AI infrastructure. Investors are likely reacting to the perceived endorsement and its implications for future growth and market share.

via Markets Gazette