Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)

合理估值

Consumer DefensiveEducation & Training ServicesUnited States

基本面

价格

$154.58

市值

$3.95B

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第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence, analytics, and data science, and market research and insights; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 20 university partners. Grand Canyon Education, Inc. was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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资产负债表与流动性

营收

$1.14B

最近12个月（截至2026/6/30）

净利润

$224M

最近12个月（截至2026/6/30）

自由现金流

$239M

股东权益合计

$747M

负债合计

$245M

流动比率

2.82

利息覆盖率

债务/EBITDA

0.35

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$180.16

当前价格

$154.58

安全边际

+14.2%

公允价值区间

$122.18 - $238.15

所用估值方法之间的离散区间，并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$195.00

现金流折现法（DCF）:$259.71

市盈率法（P/E）:$110.83

格雷厄姆成长公式:$166.86

盈利能力价值（EPV）:$103.48

合理市净率（P/B）:$138.87

股息折现模型（戈登模型）:数据不足，无法计算

P/FFO（运营资金）:$151.84

周期中段收益:$191.74

市销率法（P/S）:$51.60

分析师共识:强力买入 (8B / 1H / 0S)

最近财报超预期:+6.05%

估值指标

市盈率（P/E）

18.35

ROE

28.9%

市净率（P/B）

5.90

P/FCF

16.29

毛利率

ROIC

27.6%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造（经济护城河）

ROIC

27.6%

WACC

7.9%

ROIC − WACC

+19.6 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本：公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过（18）

EPS shows upward trend
EPS CAGR 17.30%
Price CAGR 9.93%
ROIC 27.6%
P/FCF 16.29
Debt/Equity ratio
Operating Margin 24.5%
Positive Free Cash Flow
CapEx intensity
Current Ratio
Debt/EBITDA
Return on Tangible Assets
ROE 31.2%
Revenue Growth 5Y 5.5%
Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.24
Share Dilution -4.2%
Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过（7）

P/B Ratio 5.90
Low reliance on intangibles
Price below Graham Number
DCF valuation (Overvalued)
Earnings Surprise avg 0.9%
PEG Ratio 2.38
Net Margin Trend 19.6% vs 22.2%

不可用（3）

Gross Margin NaN%
Dividend Payout NaN%
Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂：部分领域需关注

score

criteria

盈利质量

1.24

高质量：盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-4.2%

正在回购股份，对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名	职位	年龄
Mr. Brian E. Mueller	Chairman & CEO	71
Dr. W. Stan Meyer	Chief Operating Officer	64
Ms. Dilek Marsh	Chief Information Officer	51
Mr. Daniel E. Bachus CPA	Chief Financial Officer (Leave of Absence)	55
Ms. Lori Browning	Senior VP, Controller, Chief Accounting Officer, Interim CFO & Interim Principal Financial Officer	58
Ms. Sarah S. Collins	General Counsel	-

审计风险

董事会风险

薪酬风险

股东权利风险

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有：它帮助你在基本面说服你之后，选择何时买入。包含：技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

年度报告（10-K）
对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。
提交日期：2026-02-18
查看文件
季度报告（10-Q）
最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。
提交日期：2026-07-30
查看文件
临时报告（8-K）
关于重大事件（如管理层变动或重要公告）的通知。
提交日期：2026-10-01
查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for LOPE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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