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McDonald's Corp (MCD)

合理估值
Consumer CyclicalRestaurantsUnited States

基本面

74

价格

$231.74

市值

$165.31B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 17.1Score: 66Market cap: $37.74B

Through KFC, Taco Bell and Pizza Hut it competes for the same quick-service meal occasions and the same value-menu spending worldwide.

P/E: 9.7Score: 68Market cap: $1.22B

A direct burger-chain rival in North America, fighting for the same lunch, dinner and breakfast traffic with comparable combo pricing.

P/E: 54.3Score: 68Market cap: $106.76B

Competes with McCafé and the McDonald's breakfast menu for the same morning coffee-and-pastry customers, a daypart McDonald's counts inside its informal-eating-out market.

Restaurant Brands International Inc.QSR

Its Burger King chain sells the same burger-and-fries menu at the same price points to the same drive-thru and delivery customers as McDonald's in nearly every market McDonald's operates in.

Chick-fil-A, Inc.Not tracked

The chicken-focused chain that takes the largest share of U.S. quick-service spending after McDonald's, competing for the same drive-thru customers per restaurant.

Subway (Doctor's Associates Inc.)Not tracked

A global franchised chain of comparable store count, competing for the same fast, low-priced lunch occasion in the same high-traffic locations.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$27.70B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$8.79B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$7.19B

股东权益合计

$-1.79B

负债合计

$61.31B

流动比率

1.08

利息覆盖率

7.88

债务/EBITDA

4.25

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$293.76

当前价格

$231.74

安全边际

+21.1%

公允价值区间

$229.29 - $358.23

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$299.90
现金流折现法(DCF):$361.03
市盈率法(P/E):$225.68
格雷厄姆成长公式:$387.60
盈利能力价值(EPV):$177.81
合理市净率(P/B):$178.08
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$186.55
P/FFO(运营资金):$203.95
周期中段收益:$169.21
市销率法(P/S):$66.78
分析师共识:买入 (25B / 15H / 1S)
最近财报超预期:+0.93%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

18.76

ROE

-478.1%

市净率(P/B)

-

P/FCF

21.06

毛利率

-

ROIC

18.1%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

18.1%

WACC

6.6%

ROIC − WACC

+11.5 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 10.50%
  • Price CAGR 7.57%
  • ROIC 18.1%
  • P/FCF 21.06
  • Operating Margin 46.2%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 95.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 61% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 1.39
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.29
  • Share Dilution -0.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(4)

  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 0.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 31.7% vs 32.2%

不可用(5)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.29

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-0.7%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Christopher J. KempczinskiChairman President, & CEO56
Mr. Ian Frederick Borden CPAExecutive VP & Global CFO56
Ms. Gillian McDonaldExecutive Vice President & Global Chief Restaurant Experience Officer59
Mr. Joseph ErlingerAdvisor51
Mr. Manuel J.M. SteijaertExecutive VP & President of International Operated Markets54
Ms. Lauren B. Elting CPAVP, Chief Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller43
Mr. Brian S. RiceExecutive VP & Global Chief Information Officer62
Mr. Dexter P. CongbalayVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Desiree A. Ralls-Morrison J.D.Executive VP & Global Chief Legal Officer58
Ms. E. Morgan FlatleyExecutive VP and Global Chief Marketing Officer & New Business Ventures51

审计风险

6

董事会风险

5

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

7

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-02-24

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-07

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-09-23

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for MCD, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5d agoNEGATIVE
    McDonald’s Selloff Hits 30% as Big Mac Inflation Spurs Pushback

    McDonald's Corporation's stock has experienced a significant sell-off, dropping approximately 30%, as consumers push back against perceived menu price inflation. The company is facing a critical challenge in regaining cost-conscious diners who view the Big Mac and other items as too expensive. This pricing pressure directly impacts same-store sales and overall revenue growth, raising concerns about the company's ability to maintain market share and profitability in the fast-food sector. Investors are closely watching the company's strategic response to this consumer sentiment shift.

  • 7d agoPOSITIVE
    McDonald’s bets $8.5 billion on a productivity makeover across more than 46,000 restaurants

    McDonald's is investing $8.5 billion in a significant productivity and technology overhaul targeting over 46,000 global restaurants. This strategic move aims to enhance operational efficiency and drive growth by optimizing existing locations, particularly as the pace of new unit expansion moderates. The investment will focus on improving speed of service, enhancing digital customer experiences, and streamlining back-of-house operations. For investors, this initiative signals a commitment to long-term value creation through operational excellence, potentially leading to improved margins and sustained revenue growth.

  • 8d agoNEGATIVE
    McDonald’s is making a historic bet on chicken — and AI — to bring back customers

    McDonald's is reportedly making a significant strategic shift towards chicken-based menu innovation and AI integration to revitalize customer traffic. However, investor sentiment appears cautious, with recent analyst commentary highlighting a historical struggle for the company to achieve breakthroughs in chicken product innovation. The market's lukewarm reception to new McNugget flavor introductions suggests that these initiatives may not immediately translate into increased sales or market share, posing a challenge to the company's turnaround strategy.

  • 8d agoPOSITIVE
    McDonald's Billion-Dollar Plan; Cracker Barrel Gains on Forecast | Stock Movers

    McDonald's Corporation is investing approximately $8.5 billion to enhance its franchise operations, focusing on food quality, service improvements, and operational efficiency. This significant capital allocation signals a commitment to long-term growth and brand strengthening. The move is expected to boost franchisee profitability and customer satisfaction, potentially leading to increased same-store sales and market share. Investors will be watching for the tangible results of this investment in the coming fiscal years, as it aims to solidify McDonald's competitive advantage in the fast-food industry.

  • 8/4/2026NEUTRAL
    McDonald’s CEO turns to a trusted lieutenant with a turnaround record to revive its biggest market

    McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski has appointed Skye Anderson to lead the turnaround efforts in the company's largest market. Anderson, known for successfully handling challenging assignments, will focus on revitalizing sales growth and strengthening McDonald's value proposition. This strategic move signals a proactive approach to address potential market challenges and enhance customer engagement. Investors will be watching closely to see if Anderson's proven track record translates into tangible improvements in performance and market share for McDonald's.

  • 8/4/2026NEGATIVE
    McDonald’s Replaces US Boss After Slowest Growth in Over a Year

    McDonald's Corporation has appointed a new US president amid its slowest growth period in over a year. This leadership change aims to inject 'focus and urgency' into the domestic market. The company's recent performance indicates challenges in maintaining its growth trajectory, prompting this strategic move. Investors will be watching closely to see if the new leadership can revitalize sales and market share in the critical US segment, especially as competitors like Yum! Brands face their own issues.

via Markets Gazette