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Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft in München (MURGY)

被低估
Financial ServicesInsurance - ReinsuranceGermany

基本面

77

价格

$498.80

市值

$64.49B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Munich Re takes on risk that other insurers do not want to carry alone. As a reinsurer, it agrees to cover a share of the claims a primary insurer might face from earthquakes, hurricanes, life and health claims and other large exposures, in exchange for a share of the premium. Through its ERGO subsidiary, it also sells insurance policies directly to households and businesses, mainly in Europe and Asia.

盈利方式

Revenue is the premium collected for agreeing to take on risk, whether from another insurer (reinsurance) or directly from a policyholder (ERGO). Profit comes from two sources: an underwriting result, when premiums collected exceed claims paid and expenses, and investment income earned on the funds held between collecting a premium and eventually paying claims. Both depend on pricing risk accurately, which is the core skill of the business.

分部营收

Reinsurance64.1%

Property-casualty, life and health risk assumed from other insurers worldwide; the larger and more volatile of the two businesses.

ERGO (primary insurance)35.9%

Insurance policies sold directly to retail and commercial customers, mainly in Germany and other European and Asian markets.

护城河

规模效应 · 狭窄

Underwriting catastrophe and life risk well requires decades of loss data, capital strong enough to survive a very bad year, and pricing discipline, which keeps the reinsurance market concentrated among a handful of large global players. The advantage is real but not exclusive: Swiss Re, Hannover Re and others compete on the same basis for the same large ceding companies.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Reinsurance pricing moves in multi-year hard and soft cycles driven by recent loss experience rather than by GDP: after a run of large catastrophe losses, prices and terms harden industry-wide, and they soften again once capital rebuilds and competition returns.

主要风险

  • Natural catastrophe and climate risk — Insurance risk, mainly property-casualty underwriting risk, makes up around 60% of the group's regulatory capital requirement. Global natural-disaster losses reached about $224 billion in 2025, of which insurers covered roughly $108 billion, and Munich Re carries a direct share of that exposure.
  • Market risk on the investment portfolio — Premiums held between collection and claims payment are invested in bonds and other assets, so swings in interest rates and capital markets affect both investment income and the value of reserves held against future claims.
  • Credit and counterparty risk — The group is exposed to the risk that ceding companies, retrocessionaires or bond issuers in its investment portfolio fail to meet their obligations, one of the risk categories tracked under its Solvency II capital model.

看多理由

Buyers argue that rising natural-catastrophe losses are pushing the whole reinsurance market toward firmer pricing and stricter terms, that Munich Re's scale and underwriting discipline let it selectively write the most attractively priced business, and that a fifth straight year of exceeding profit guidance shows the model working through the cycle.

看空理由

Sellers fear that climate change is making catastrophe losses larger and less predictable than historical models assume, that a prolonged period of soft pricing could follow the current hard market as competitors rebuild capital, and that a sharp move in interest rates could hurt the investment portfolio at the same time claims are rising.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 10.8Score: 83Market cap: $16.52B

RGA is the direct rival of Munich Re's life and health reinsurance business, competing for mortality, morbidity and longevity treaties with the same life insurers.

Swiss Re Ltd (Schweizerische Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG)SREN

Swiss Re is the other global full-line reinsurer of Munich Re's size, bidding for the same property-casualty and life reinsurance treaties with the same large primary insurers worldwide.

Hannover Rück SEHNR1

The other large German reinsurer competes with Munich Re on the same European and international treaty renewals, with a leaner cost structure aimed at the same cedants.

SCOR SESCR

The French group is the fourth European composite reinsurer, competing for the same property-casualty and life & health reinsurance programmes in Europe, Asia and the Americas.

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (National Indemnity / Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group)BRK.B

Berkshire's reinsurance arm writes the same large catastrophe and retroactive covers, and its balance-sheet capacity makes it the preferred alternative on the biggest single placements.

Everest Group, Ltd.EG

The Bermuda-based group competes on the same property-catastrophe and casualty treaty renewals in North America and internationally, alongside its own primary specialty book.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$63.95B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

净利润

$6.87B

最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)

自由现金流

$6.89B

股东权益合计

$33.56B

负债合计

$8.22B

流动比率

0.28

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

-

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$1579.56

当前价格

$498.80

安全边际

+68.4%

公允价值区间

$1026.72 - $2132.41

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$549.78
现金流折现法(DCF):$2735.82
市盈率法(P/E):数据不足,无法计算
格雷厄姆成长公式:$2767.05
盈利能力价值(EPV):$780.49
合理市净率(P/B):$1077.63
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$523.87
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$1318.94
分析师共识:买入 (14B / 10H / 4S)
最近财报超预期:+20.15%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

9.53

ROE

21.3%

市净率(P/B)

1.92

P/FCF

9.36

毛利率

35.4%

ROIC

20.2%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

20.2%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

+13.1 pp

ROIC 超过资本成本:公司正在为股东创造价值。

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • Price CAGR 11.20%
  • ROIC 20.2%
  • Gross Margin 35.4%
  • P/FCF 9.36
  • P/B Ratio 1.92
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 20.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 4.9%
  • PEG Ratio 0.23
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
  • Net Margin Trend 8.5% vs 7.8%

未通过(3)

  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -0.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

不可用(9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-评分

2/9

存在严重财务隐患

score
criteria

盈利质量

1.08

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

-

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Dr. Christoph JureckaCEO & Chairman of Management Board51
Dr. Thomas BlunckMember of Management Board60
Dr. Markus RiessHead of Economics, Sustainability & Public Affairs and Member of Management Board59
Ms. Mari-Lizette MalherbeMember of Management Board-
Mr. Nicholas J. Gartside C.F.A.Chief Investment Officer & Member of Management Board50
Dr. Achim KassowChief Transformation Officer & Member of Management Board59
Mr. Stefan Heinrich GollingMember of Management Board & Labour Relations Director48
Ms. Clarisse KopffMember of Management Board-
Mr. Michael KernerMember of Management Board-
Mr. Andrew James BuchananCFO & Member of Management Board46

审计风险

2

董事会风险

4

薪酬风险

2

股东权利风险

1

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

Latest News

Recent headlines for MURGY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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