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NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

被低估
Consumer CyclicalFootwear & AccessoriesUnited States

基本面

64

价格

$35.95

市值

$53.39B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

Nike designs, markets and sells athletic footwear, apparel and equipment worldwide under the Nike and Converse brands. It owns no factories: production is contracted to independent manufacturers, mostly in Vietnam, Indonesia and China, while Nike keeps design, marketing and distribution in house. Products reach customers through wholesale partners — department stores, sporting goods chains, franchisees — and through Nike's own stores and digital channels.

盈利方式

Revenue comes from selling physical goods, split between wholesale shipments to retail partners and direct sales through Nike-owned stores and e-commerce (Nike Direct). Margins depend on how much of the mix runs through the higher-margin direct channel versus wholesale, and on how much of a premium the brand can charge over competing products — a premium built on marketing spend, athlete endorsement contracts and continuous product turnover.

分部营收

North America44.2%

The largest single market, covering the United States and Canada across both wholesale and Nike Direct.

Europe, Middle East & Africa27.1%

Second-largest region, spanning a wide range of income levels and football-driven demand.

Asia Pacific & Latin America13.5%

A wide grouping of developed and emerging markets outside the other three regions.

Greater China12.6%

China, Hong Kong and Taiwan; the region with the sharpest recent revenue decline as local competitors gain ground.

Converse2.5%

A separate footwear brand run as its own operating segment, much smaller than the core Nike business.

护城河

品牌 · 狭窄

Decades of marketing spend and athlete endorsements built a brand that commands a price premium and secures prime shelf space with retailers worldwide. That advantage is real but no longer unchallenged: revenue has declined for two straight fiscal years as Adidas, On, Hoka and other rivals take share, particularly in China.

需求驱动因素

周期性

Footwear and apparel are discretionary purchases: households cut back when budgets tighten, and wholesale partners cut orders further in anticipation. Demand also swings with fashion cycles and with how fresh Nike's product line looks against competitors, not only with the economy.

主要风险

  • Manufacturing concentrated in a few countries — Nike owns no factories and depends on independent contract manufacturers concentrated in Vietnam, Indonesia and China; disruption at a handful of them affects supply broadly.
  • Trade policy and tariffs — The company is exposed to tariffs, import duties and other protectionist measures on goods manufactured abroad and sold in the United States and elsewhere.
  • Intense competition — The athletic footwear and apparel market includes numerous established and emerging brands competing on price, innovation and marketing reach.
  • Currency and commodity volatility — A global business collects revenue and pays costs in many currencies and raw material prices, so exchange-rate and commodity swings move reported results.
  • Counterfeiting and IP infringement — The company periodically discovers counterfeit products and infringement of its trademarks and designs, which can dilute the brand and divert sales.

客户集中度

No single customer reaches 10% of consolidated revenue, but the top three wholesale customers account for about 29% of U.S. sales and the top three non-U.S. customers for about 16% of international sales, so a handful of large retail chains still matter disproportionately.

看多理由

Buyers argue that the Nike brand remains the strongest in the industry, that a renewed focus on sport-led product innovation and tighter wholesale discipline can rebuild margins, and that the recent share losses to smaller rivals are a cyclical stumble rather than a structural decline.

看空理由

Sellers fear that two consecutive years of revenue decline, sharpest in China, show a brand losing relevance to newer competitors, that tariffs on goods made in Vietnam, Indonesia and China compress margins further, and that rebuilding wholesale relationships takes years even if the product turnaround works.

Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated on 2026年9月19日 with claude-haiku-4-5 — shared with all users

P/E: 18.2Score: 66Market cap: $24.90B

The closest global rival to NIKE across performance footwear, sportswear apparel and football/basketball sponsorships, sold to the same consumers through the same wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels.

P/E: 11.1Score: 73Market cap: $10.69B

Through the HOKA brand it takes share from NIKE in premium performance running shoes sold in the same specialty run and athletic retailers.

PUMA SEPUM

Competes for the same sport-performance and sport-lifestyle customer in football, running and training, and for the same athlete and team sponsorships in Europe and the Americas.

On Holding AGONON

A fast-growing premium running and training brand competing for the same performance-footwear buyer and increasingly for the same shelf space in North America and Europe.

ANTA Sports Products Limited (安踏体育用品有限公司)2020.HK

The leading domestic sportswear group in Greater China, where it competes head-on with NIKE for the same running, basketball and outdoor consumers.

New Balance Athletics, Inc.Not tracked

Privately held US brand competing with NIKE in running and lifestyle sneakers across the same retail doors in North America, Europe and Asia.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$46.40B

最近12个月(截至2026/5/31)

净利润

$3.11B

最近12个月(截至2026/5/31)

自由现金流

$2.18B

股东权益合计

$14.87B

负债合计

$23.55B

流动比率

1.96

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

2.24

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形被低估

公允价值

$54.58

当前价格

$35.95

安全边际

+34.1%

公允价值区间

$35.48 - $73.69

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$47.32
现金流折现法(DCF):$98.54
市盈率法(P/E):$44.93
格雷厄姆成长公式:$15.71
盈利能力价值(EPV):$19.58
合理市净率(P/B):$28.55
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$26.76
P/FFO(运营资金):$72.11
周期中段收益:数据不足,无法计算
市销率法(P/S):$53.63
分析师共识:买入 (18B / 25H / 3S)
最近财报超预期:+50.15%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

16.86

ROE

20.9%

市净率(P/B)

2.04

P/FCF

13.86

毛利率

42.9%

ROIC

-

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

-

WACC

8.5%

ROIC − WACC

-

基本面分析标准

通过(15)

  • Gross Margin 42.9%
  • P/FCF 13.86
  • P/B Ratio 2.04
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 22.0%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 47.6%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.92
  • Share Dilution -0.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -3.16%
  • Price CAGR -3.38%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 0.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 39% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend 6.7% vs 7.0%

不可用(5)

  • ROIC NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

0.92

中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距

股权稀释

-0.7%

正在回购股份,对股东友好

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Mr. Mark G. ParkerExecutive Chairman69
Mr. Elliott J. HillCEO, President & Director61
Mr. Venkatesh AlagirisamyExecutive VP & COO48
Mr. Robert LeinwandEVP & Chief Legal Officer-
Ms. Treasure HeinleExecutive VP and Chief Human Resources & People Officer-
Mr. Matthew FriendAdvisor47
Mr. Philip H. KnightCo-Founder & Chairman Emeritus87
Mr. David M. DentonExecutive VP, CFO, Interim Corporate Controller & Principal Accounting Officer60
Mr. Michael GondaEVP & Chief Communications and Strategy Officer-
Ms. Nicole Hubbard GrahamExecutive VP & Chief Marketing Officer-

审计风险

9

董事会风险

9

薪酬风险

10

股东权利风险

10

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-07-15

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-04-01

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-10-01

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for NKE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 52m agoNEUTRAL
    Semmelhack on Nike’s Sneaker-Culture Future Post-Results

    Elizabeth Semmelhack acknowledges Nike's enduring cultural legacy in sneaker design, citing iconic models like Jordans, Dunks, and Air Force Ones that have shaped the market for decades. However, she highlights a significantly more competitive landscape compared to previous eras, with numerous brands vying for cultural relevance. This increased competition poses a challenge to Nike's dominance, even with its strong historical footing. Investors should monitor how Nike adapts its strategy to maintain its market position amidst this crowded environment.

  • 2h agoNEGATIVE
    Nike’s troubles are mounting, and sales could fall further

    Nike is experiencing a confluence of challenges, with significant headwinds in the crucial Chinese market and a slowdown in its core sneaker business. These combined pressures suggest a potential further decline in sales. Investors are closely monitoring the company's strategic response to these market shifts, as sustained weakness in these key areas could impact future revenue and profitability. The company's ability to innovate and regain market share will be critical in navigating this difficult period.

  • 1d agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Nike potrebbero scendere dopo utili Q1: i dettagli

    Nike is facing significant investor disappointment heading into its Q1 2026 earnings report on October 1st. The consensus forecast anticipates earnings per share of $0.44 on revenues of $11.34 billion, both representing year-over-year declines. Year-to-date, Nike shares have plummeted by 80%. Options market data indicates a prevailing sentiment that the stock is likely to fall further post-earnings, despite ongoing turnaround efforts led by CEO Elliott Hill. The put-to-call ratio on expiring options suggests a bearish outlook among traders.

  • 4d agoNEUTRAL
    Nike vicino al minimo in 12 anni: gli utili potrebbero cambiare tutto

    Nike shares are trading near a 12-year low, closing Friday at $35.75, down 44% year-to-date. Bank of America recently warned that a recovery might take longer than anticipated. The company is set to report its fiscal first-quarter results after market close on Thursday. Wall Street analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $0.44 on revenues of $11.35 billion. Investors will be closely watching CEO Elliott Hill's commentary on distribution strategies and any indications of a turnaround to gauge the stock's future direction.

  • 6d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike: il titolo non ha ancora toccato il fondo, avverte un'analista

    Nike Inc. (NKE) shares faced renewed pressure following a downgrade by Bank of America analyst Lorraine Hutchinson to 'underperform'. Hutchinson also slashed her price target for NKE to $30, indicating a potential 15% downside from current levels. This downgrade is particularly impactful as Nike stock has already been a significant disappointment for investors in 2026, trading down approximately 45% from its yearly high. The bearish outlook stems from expectations of continued revenue weakness across key athletic footwear segments.

  • 6d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike’s stock is one of the worst in the S&P 500 — and BofA says it’s not done sliding

    Nike's stock has been among the worst performers in the S&P 500, and Bank of America analysts predict further declines. Their latest report forecasts continued falling sales through May, contradicting earlier expectations of a "spring inflection." This revised outlook suggests ongoing challenges for the sportswear giant, potentially impacting its market share and profitability. Investors are advised to monitor upcoming earnings reports and management guidance for signs of a turnaround strategy or further headwinds.

  • 13d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike sottotono a Wall Street, Mbappé diventa testimonial della svizzera On

    Nike Inc. shares experienced a decline of over 2% on Wall Street following the announcement that Swiss competitor On has signed French football star Kylian Mbappé as a testimonial. Mbappé was previously associated with Nike. This move by On signals an aggressive expansion strategy, potentially impacting Nike's market share and brand appeal, particularly among younger demographics. Investors are watching closely to see how Nike responds to this competitive challenge and if it affects future sales projections.

  • 14d agoNEGATIVE
    Nike bets on a millennial Arnault heir after bleeding $200 billion and being ousted from the S&P 100

    Nike has appointed Alexandre Arnault to its board of directors, a move that comes as the sportswear giant faces significant challenges. The company has seen its market value plummet by approximately $200 billion and was recently removed from the S&P 100 index. Arnault, known for his role in revitalizing luxury brands like Rimowa and Tiffany & Co., joins Nike as it struggles to reignite growth and maintain its cultural relevance among consumers, particularly millennials. Investors will be watching closely to see if this strategic addition can help reverse Nike's recent performance decline.

via Markets Gazette