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J M Smucker Co (SJM)

合理估值
Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsUnited States

基本面

57

价格

$118.91

市值

$12.89B

第一部分 · 这家公司值多少

概览

The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. The company operates through five segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, Sweet Baked Snacks, and Away From Home. It offers coffee, sweet baked goods, pet snacks, frozen handheld products, peanut butter, cat and dog food, fruit and specialty spreads, cookies, frozen sandwiches and snacks, hot beverages, portion control products, toppings and syrups, baking mixes and ingredients, and flour. The company provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin', Jif, Smucker's, Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Canine Carry Outs, Hostess, and 1850 brand names. It sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers, club stores, discount and dollar stores, online retailers, pet specialty stores, distributors, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, supermarket chains, national mass retailers, convenience stores, vending channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

资产负债表与流动性

营收

$9.16B

最近12个月(截至2026/7/31)

净利润

$230M

最近12个月(截至2026/7/31)

自由现金流

$1.16B

股东权益合计

$5.54B

负债合计

$10.68B

流动比率

0.87

利息覆盖率

-

债务/EBITDA

3.07

每股收益

营收与净利润

自由现金流

收入构成

历史财务表

利润率变化

债务变化

债务负担有多重

增长一览表

增长 — 营业收入

公允价值估算

一般情形合理估值

公允价值

$138.07

当前价格

$118.91

安全边际

+13.9%

公允价值区间

$89.75 - $186.40

所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。

估算方法

分析师目标价:$142.13
现金流折现法(DCF):$301.93
市盈率法(P/E):$23.81
格雷厄姆成长公式:$34.84
盈利能力价值(EPV):$76.29
合理市净率(P/B):$14.74
股息折现模型(戈登模型):$81.28
P/FFO(运营资金):数据不足,无法计算
周期中段收益:$202.82
市销率法(P/S):$101.57
分析师共识:买入 (14B / 8H / 0S)
最近财报超预期:+7.21%

估值指标

市盈率(P/E)

55.57

ROE

-2.5%

市净率(P/B)

2.21

P/FCF

8.00

毛利率

38.7%

ROIC

4.7%

盈利能力雷达图

价值创造(经济护城河)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

5.2%

ROIC − WACC

-0.5 pp

ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。

基本面分析标准

通过(16)

  • Gross Margin 38.7%
  • P/FCF 8.00
  • P/B Ratio 2.21
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 9.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Analyst Consensus 64% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 3.4%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 8.32
  • Share Dilution 0.3%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.5% vs -16.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

未通过(8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR -0.55%
  • ROIC 4.7%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • ROE 4.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 2.5%

不可用(3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-评分

5/9

信号混杂:部分领域需关注

score
criteria

盈利质量

8.32

高质量:盈利有现金流支撑

股权稀释

0.3%

股份数量稳定

机构持股

公司治理

管理团队

姓名职位年龄
Captain Mark T. SmuckerCEO, President & Chairman55
Mr. Tucker H. MarshallCFO and Executive VP of Frozen Handheld & Spreads and Sweet Baked Snacks48
Ms. Jill R. PenroseChief People & Administrative Officer and Chief of Staff52
Ms. Jeannette L. Knudsen J.D.Chief Legal & Governance Officer55
Mr. Robert D. FergusonChief Product Supply Officer and Executive VP of Coffee, Pet & Away from Home51
Mr. Douglas GuilhermeSenior Vice President of Operations and Supply Chain-
Mr. Bryan HutsonSenior Vice President of Information Services & Supply Chain-
Mr. Jeffrey Varcoe Ph.D.Senior Vice President of Science & Technical Excellence-
Crystal BeitingVice President of Investor Relations and FP&A-
Abbey LinvilleVice President of Corporate Communications-

审计风险

7

董事会风险

4

薪酬风险

8

股东权利风险

8

第二部分 · 价格与买入时机

这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。

文件

  • 年度报告(10-K)

    对公司业务、财务业绩和风险的年度概述。

    提交日期:2026-06-09

    查看文件
  • 季度报告(10-Q)

    最近三个月财务表现的最新情况。

    提交日期:2026-08-26

    查看文件
  • 临时报告(8-K)

    关于重大事件(如管理层变动或重要公告)的通知。

    提交日期:2026-08-26

    查看文件

via SEC EDGAR

损益历史

via SEC EDGAR

Latest News

Recent headlines for SJM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 8/26/2026POSITIVE
    JM Smucker Rises on Outlook; Intuit Down on Full-Year Forecast | Stock Movers

    JM Smucker (SJM) experienced a stock price increase following the company's decision to raise its full-year outlook for both sales and profit. This upward revision is primarily attributed to robust growth observed in its popular Uncrustables sandwiches and coffee product lines. The positive momentum suggests strong consumer demand and effective brand management, providing a favorable outlook for investors.

  • 6/11/2026NEGATIVE
    Stock Of The Day: Is This The Top For J. M. Smucker?

    J.M. Smucker shares are exhibiting overbought conditions and have reached a significant resistance level, according to technical analysis. These bearish technical indicators suggest a potential downturn in the stock's price. Investors should note that the current price action indicates that the stock may have reached a temporary peak, and a correction lower is possible in the near term. The confluence of overbought momentum and price resistance presents a cautionary signal for current holders and potential new buyers.

  • 6/9/2026POSITIVE
    Smucker Profit Tops Expectations, Buoyed by Coffee Prices

    JM Smucker Co. reported fourth-quarter profits exceeding Wall Street estimates, driven by strategic price increases for its coffee and jelly products. The packaged food company's ability to pass on costs to consumers underscores its pricing power and resilient demand. This performance suggests effective management in navigating inflationary pressures and maintaining profitability. For investors, the results indicate a company capable of delivering value even in a challenging economic environment, potentially signaling a positive outlook for future earnings and stock performance.

  • 6/9/2026POSITIVE
    Smucker Plans to Lower Coffee Prices Next Year as Costs Decline

    The J. M. Smucker Company has announced plans to reduce coffee prices in the upcoming year, a move driven by declining input costs. This strategic pricing adjustment is expected to benefit consumers and potentially boost sales volume for Smucker's coffee products. For investors, this signals effective cost management and a proactive approach to maintaining market competitiveness. The company's ability to pass on savings suggests a healthy margin structure and confidence in future demand, which could lead to increased market share and improved profitability in the coffee segment.

  • 6/8/2026POSITIVE
    How To Earn $500 A Month From JM Smucker Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

    The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) offers investors an attractive dividend yield of 4.25%, translating to $4.40 per share annually. This payout structure allows for a consistent monthly income stream, potentially generating $500 for investors who hold sufficient shares. As the company approaches its Q4 earnings report, this dividend yield provides a compelling reason for income-focused investors to consider SJM, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

  • 5/8/2026NEUTRAL
    Deal Dispatch: J.M. Smucker Considers Strategic Review, Meta Buys Assured Robot Intelligence, Buzzfeed On Brink Of Bankruptcy

    J.M. Smucker Company is reportedly considering a strategic review, a move that could signal potential divestitures or a sale of the company. This news comes amidst other significant M&A activities, including Meta's acquisition of Assured Robot Intelligence and Gamestop's proposal to acquire eBay. Buzzfeed is also reportedly on the brink of bankruptcy. The potential strategic review by Smucker introduces uncertainty for investors, as the outcome could lead to significant changes in the company's structure and future operations. Further details on the scope and intent of the review are awaited.

via Markets Gazette