Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD)
合理估值基本面
73
价格
$225.64
市值
$33.71B
第一部分 · 这家公司值多少
概览
Steel Dynamics makes steel primarily from recycled scrap metal in electric-arc-furnace mills, rather than from iron ore in traditional blast furnaces, and sells it as flat and long steel products to construction, automotive, energy and manufacturing customers. It also owns a large scrap-metal recycling operation that feeds its own mills, a steel-fabrication business that turns raw steel into finished joists and decking, and a newer aluminum recycling and rolling operation.
盈利方式
Revenue comes from selling steel, fabricated steel products, recycled scrap and, increasingly, aluminum by the ton, so results move with steel and metal prices as much as with volumes sold. Because its mills run on scrap rather than iron ore, and its own recycling operations supply much of that scrap, Steel Dynamics has a lower and more flexible cost base than integrated steelmakers, which supports profitability even when steel prices are weak, though it remains a commodity business with thin control over the price it charges.
分部营收
Flat-rolled and long steel products made mainly from recycled scrap at electric-arc-furnace mills; by far the largest source of revenue and profit.
Collection and processing of scrap metal, sold to outside customers as well as feeding Steel Dynamics' own mills.
Steel joists, girders and decking made for non-residential construction projects, a step further down the value chain from raw steel.
Corporate functions and smaller operations not allocated to the four main reportable segments.
A newer recycled-aluminum flat-rolled products business, including a large new mill commissioned in 2025.
护城河
成本优势 · 狭窄Running mills on recycled scrap through electric-arc furnaces, backed by an in-house recycling network, gives Steel Dynamics lower capital and operating costs per ton than older integrated steelmakers using blast furnaces. That structural cost edge helps it stay profitable through the cycle, but steel remains a commodity: competitors run similar mini-mill technology, and none of them can charge more than the going market price for a ton of steel.
需求驱动因素
周期性Steel demand tracks construction, automotive production and broader industrial activity, all of which expand and contract with the economy, and steel prices themselves swing widely with global supply and demand and with trade policy. Steel Dynamics' results have historically moved up and down sharply with these cycles, even though its lower cost base helps it stay profitable in the troughs where higher-cost competitors lose money.
主要风险
- Steel price cyclicality — Steel prices move with global supply, demand and trade policy, and a sustained price downturn compresses margins across all of Steel Dynamics' operations at once, since steel, scrap and fabrication all move together.
- Trade policy and tariff exposure — Steel Dynamics' results are affected by US and foreign tariffs, quotas and trade disputes, which can help domestic producers when they restrict imports but can also invite retaliation or be reversed by future policy changes.
- Large capital projects and execution risk — Steel Dynamics is investing heavily in new capacity, including its aluminum business; cost overruns, delays or weaker-than-expected demand for the new output would reduce the return on that spending.
- Energy cost exposure — Electric-arc furnaces consume large amounts of electricity, so rising power costs directly raise production costs in a business that cannot easily pass higher costs through in a commodity market.
看多理由
Buyers argue that Steel Dynamics' low-cost, scrap-based mills keep it profitable through steel-price downturns that hurt higher-cost integrated competitors, that vertical integration into scrap recycling and fabrication captures margin at multiple stages, and that the new aluminum business opens a large adjacent market for the same cost advantages.
看空理由
Sellers fear that steel remains a cyclical commodity where even the lowest-cost producer suffers when prices fall industry-wide, that heavy capital spending on new capacity, including aluminum, raises the risk of a poorly timed expansion, and that trade-policy support for domestic steelmakers could be reduced or reversed.
Written by the editors, published on 2026年8月18日
Direct competitors
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资产负债表与流动性
营收
$20.54B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
净利润
$1.61B
最近12个月(截至2026/6/30)
自由现金流
$502M
股东权益合计
$8.96B
负债合计
$7.49B
流动比率
3.18
利息覆盖率
18.22
债务/EBITDA
2.06
每股收益
营收与净利润
自由现金流
收入构成
历史财务表
利润率变化
债务变化
债务负担有多重
增长一览表
增长 — 营业收入
公允价值估算
公允价值
$217.28
当前价格
$225.64
安全边际
-3.8%
公允价值区间
$141.78 - $292.77
所用估值方法之间的离散区间,并非经过统计校准的置信区间。
估算方法
估值指标
市盈率(P/E)
20.13
ROE
13.2%
市净率(P/B)
3.37
P/FCF
33.24
毛利率
14.7%
ROIC
11.0%
盈利能力雷达图
价值创造(经济护城河)
ROIC
11.0%
WACC
11.5%
ROIC − WACC
-0.5 pp
ROIC 与资本成本大致持平:公司仅仅覆盖了资本成本。
基本面分析标准
通过(20)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 7.97%
- Price CAGR 20.74%
- ROIC 11.0%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 10.0%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 17.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 13.6%
- Analyst Consensus 64% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.83
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.98
- Share Dilution -5.0%
- Net Margin Trend 7.8% vs 6.1%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
未通过(7)
- Gross Margin 14.7%
- P/FCF 33.24
- P/B Ratio 3.37
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg 2.0%
不可用(1)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-评分
信号混杂:部分领域需关注
盈利质量
中等:利润与现金之间存在一定差距
股权稀释
正在回购股份,对股东友好
机构持股
公司治理
管理团队
| 姓名 | 职位 | 年龄 |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Mark D. Millett | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | 65 |
| Ms. Theresa E. Wagler | Executive VP, CFO, Company Secretary & Director | 55 |
| Mr. Barry T. Schneider | Executive VP & CTO | 56 |
| Mr. Christopher A. Graham | Executive VP & COO of Flat Rolled Steel Operations | 61 |
| Mr. David A. Lipschitz | Investor Relations Director | - |
| Mr. James S. Anderson | Executive VP & COO of Construction Products Operations | 64 |
| Mr. Miguel Alvarez | Executive VP and COO of Aluminum Flat Rolled Products & Metals Recycling Operations | 57 |
| Mr. Richard A. Poinsatte CPA | Executive VP & Treasurer | 58 |
| Ms. Tricia Meyers | Investor Relations Manager | - |
审计风险
4
董事会风险
4
薪酬风险
5
股东权利风险
3
第二部分 · 价格与买入时机
这一部分不判断公司是否值得拥有:它帮助你在基本面说服你之后,选择何时买入。包含:技术分析、潜力、历史回撤、Gamma 敞口。
损益历史
via SEC EDGAR
Latest News
Recent headlines for STLD, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/16/2026POSITIVE$100 Invested In Steel Dynamics 20 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
An investment of $100 in Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) made 20 years ago would have grown to a substantial amount today, reflecting the company's strong performance and shareholder returns over the past two decades. This long-term growth indicates robust operational execution, strategic expansion, and effective capital allocation, likely driven by consistent demand in the steel sector and the company's ability to adapt to market cycles. For investors, this historical performance underscores STLD's potential as a long-term wealth-generating asset, highlighting its resilience and capacity for value creation.
- 5/20/2026POSITIVEHere's How Much $100 Invested In Steel Dynamics 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today
An investment of $100 in Steel Dynamics Inc. (STLD) five years ago would have grown to approximately $345 today, representing a substantial return of over 245%. This performance significantly outpaced the broader market, highlighting the company's robust growth and operational efficiency during the period. Factors contributing to this impressive valuation include strong demand for steel products, strategic capacity expansions, and effective cost management, all of which have bolstered investor confidence and share price appreciation.
- 4/20/2026POSITIVESteel Dynamics Revenue Grows Most Since 2022, Beating Estimates
Steel Dynamics Inc. reported first-quarter revenue growth that exceeded analyst estimates, marking the fastest expansion since 2022. This surge was propelled by a significant increase in steel prices and a record 3.6 million tons of steel shipments, which also contributed to a strong profit rebound. The company's performance indicates a robust recovery in demand and pricing power within the steel sector, offering a positive outlook for investors.
via Markets Gazette